Want email addy

"Help Israel Win" Web site has been shut down.

We want to make contact with them.

Anyone know their email addy.

Please forward to

InternetAnthropologistTT at Gmail dot com

Gerald

.

Getting hot, Syria, Israel

Syria moves more tank-artillery forces south to Israel border

DEBKAfile Special Report

November 3, 2008, 12:57 PM (GMT+02:00)

Syrian T-80 tank facing South Lebanon, northern Israel

Lebanese sources and eye witnesses report Syrian tanks, artillery and commando units have taken up battle positions in four villages around Hasbaya opposite Mt. Hermon and northern Israel.

According to DEBKAfile’s military sources, Syrian tanks and artillery units continued to move into their new positions Sunday and Monday, Nov. 2-3, so completing their deployment the full length of the Syrian-Lebanese border. Elements of the Syrian 10th, 12th and 14th Divisions and the 3rd Army - withdrawn last week from the 600-km long Syrian-Iraq border - are now poised opposite Israeli positions holding the disputed Shebaa Farms enclave on Mt. Hermon.

Military sources say that whereas opposite the northeastern Tripoli region, Syrian forces are strung out in small clusters of 2 to 3 tanks one or more kilometers apart, their tank units are massed tightly opposite Mt. Hermon and northern Israel.

There are other differences: Heavy Syrian armor is positioned well back from the front-line infantry and commando troops in the north, whereas tanks, artillery and special forces are deployed right up to the border opposite South Lebanon and Israel.

Western and Lebanese military observers relate Syria’s military movements to Damascus’ threats, growing more strident Sunday, of “painful punishment” for the US Oct. 26 raid in northern Syria unless Washington apologizes, clarifies its action and pays compensation.

These observers stress that Damascus has no real expectation of a US apology or clarification, because Syria knows as well as the US that the target was its own forward military base for terrorist strikes in Iraq.

While insisting that an innocent farm was attacked and the 8 people killed were all civilians, the Syrians are taking advantage of the Bush administration’s silence to argue that Damascus has the same right as Washington to carry out cross-border attacks against “terrorist targets” i.e. in Lebanon and Israel. Damascus is winding the tensions up to a pitch where some military action against a US Middle East target or ally in Lebanon or Israel is becoming hard to avoid.

Senior IDF officers and some Western military sources are perplexed by the Israeli government’s failure to pursue deterrent action against the Syrian tanks poised in battle array on its border. Instead, the outgoing prime minister Ehud Olmert is busy trying to reviving indirect talks with Syria before he quits, while defense minister Ehud Barak and Kadima leader Tzipi Livni appear unconcerned.

Background noise and chatter + ops.

By Gerald; Internet Anthropologist Think Tank
Oct 5, 08

We are picking up some noise and chatter about Syaria Nuke attempts.
Support from Moles, sources, BSUs, and OSINT.

The reactor at Deir al-Zor that was bombed was nearly identical to the N Korean reactor at Yongbyon that can only produce (small amounts) of weapons-grade plutonium. No fuel was there but start-up was only months away. That site has been under construction/planning for over ten years. The secret tunneling to bring water in from the Euphrates started many years before that.

Mossad has significant penetration into Syrian security and is steadily killing the leadership of Syria's nuke program. The Syrian colonel killed by car bomb, in Damascus, outside the headquarters of the Palestine branch of Syrian security, last week and the sniper assassination of senior Syrian security official, Gen. Mohammed Suleiman, in Tartus were nuke program related.

The Syrians wised up and took note of the Iranian program to scatter nuke sites all over Syria. Upwards of 31 locations are believed to be related and highly secretive.

N Korean is all over the Syrian program. Syria has the money and the desire to do it,

Iran is looking to do a underground test. Iran is the game changer because their bomb is Hezbollah's bomb.

Regarding Lebanon, the next Israeli/Hezbollah war will see a much more massive strike from Israel, occupation of all Lebanon.

Our BSU's and paradigm Intel indicates al Qaeda has some nuclear material and are looking for

instructions on how to use it.

They have been researching this for over a month.

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Here is a photo of an offshore FBX-T. We have many forward sensor stations like this, such as in Poland, Czech Republic, etc. And many on our Aegis cruisers.

The Israeli installation adds to the over-lapping grid of radar we are establishing. Having forward sensors ringing the Middle East and N Korea adds to our probability of detecting launch phase trajectories of ICBM's, that is the key. Knowing the destination and range of an ICBM tells us whether it is a test or a hostile launch so that we can respond accordingly.

In a conflict, Iran will likely launch many Shahabs, before and during, hoping to mask their real target by over-whelming our detection. ICBM's are the primary threat to us and our allies, as they are the most deliverable ordnance we face. The global network of detection eventually neutralizes that problem.

Having a very timely and accurate detection of test launches has an underlying goal, finding Iran's hidden launch sites. Iran has very hardened sites in uncertain locations. Launch phase detection and our subsequent "triangulation" spots those sites.

The reason the Ruskies are so mad about Poland, etc. is that they are trying to sell weapon systems to Iran and our radar defenses make those systems obsolete and hard to sell. We want Russia, Iran, N Korea out of the ICBM business for good and this global system makes their efforts futile and not marketable to say a Venezuela or Cuba.....

Gerald

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Iranian fools

Ayatollah Jannati In Iran Friday Sermon: U.S. Economic Woes 'Divine Punishment' – 'The Unhappier They [Americans] Become, The Happier We Get'; 'Americans Should Wait To Be Slapped In The Face By Islam, Muslims, And The Islamic Revolution'

Iranian economic woes must be "divine punishment" for

insulting Allah by lying about their intentions about nuclear arms, 25% inflation, gas shortage, huge increase for basic foods.

The Iranian Military is waiting to be destroyed by a wave of the US Military's hand. For supporting politics in the name of religion. Iranian Military needs to remove some mullahs

before they start a war with USA.

Gerald

Whats it like in Iran?

In the depression of the 1930's USA had an inflation rate of 25%, just like Iran has now. 

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• Irans nukes

Al Qaeda has nuclear ambitions.

BSU's

Al Qaeda has nuclear ambitions.
By Gerald, Internet Anthropologist
Aug 31, 08

Just released BSU report.

Al Qaeda is actively pursuing an Nuclear option.

Some of A;Qaeda's command and control are being run out of Lebanon.

They think that is safer than Pakistan.

Their head nuclear guy is a former IT or has had some hacking experience.
We haven't been able to trace HIM yet, his security is top notch.
But we can track him we have had him on a Trap but he didn't stay for the required 15 seconds to trace him.

We have deployed more BSU's from remote PCs.
We have armed cyber recon squads on standby for any thing the 'Bot surveillance units' develop.
We are using a heavy cyber weapons squad for over watch.
Our G2 has an officer on duty 24/7 ( to evulate evidence ) with the watch officer
And our tip line is open.


Paradigm Intel suggests 3 targets, Iraq, USA and Israel.
And they hope Iran gets blamed.

We are publishing this so other Government Intelligence agencys will have at least heard it.

Gerald
Anthropologist, et Magnum
Internet Anthropologist Think Tank


Confirmed: Barb

Confirmed Bill

News finally got story: Here 08 Sep 2008

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• BSU op. Terrorist financing. EXCLUSIVE
• 
  

From comments:
Company C's evil nemisis: Saif al-Din

http://www.ynetnews.com/Ext/Comp/ArticleLayout/CdaArticlePrintPreview/1,2506,L-3590179,00.html

IDF has a pervasive www Force

Image via Wikipedia
Photo by Gerald


Wednesday, July 23, 2008 - 12:03 PM,

Representatives from IDF Intelligence, Shin Bet, Mossad warn government global terror groups like al-Qaeda, which use civilian information technology to enlist, mobilizing operatives

Roni Sofer Published: 07.23.08, 19:23 / Israel News

Substantial threats to Israel, its citizens, and Jewish people all over the world exist from worldwide Jihad organizations, specifically al-Qaeda, intelligence reports discussed by the government's Security Cabinet on Wednesday stated.

Growing Terror

Representatives from IDF Intelligence, the Shin Bet, and the Mossad said during the discussion that global Jihad constitutes a threat to all Western countries, democratic regimes, and moderate Arab nations. They also expressed fear that the worldwide organizations would develop cooperation with local extremist groups such as Hamas and Hizbullah.

The representatives also mentioned that the Jihad organizations' operatives make use of civilian infrastructures such as the internet and information technology in order to enlist and mobilize terror cells. Prime Minister Ehud Olmert directed the intelligence officials to continue their efforts in gathering information and thwarting the threats, through cooperation with other countries seeking to battle terrorism.

On Sunday Director of Military Intelligence Major-General Amos Yadlin told the cabinet that Israel's enemies have no interest in provoking any military conflict while US President George W. Bush is still in office.

The military, he warned, does believe a limited military campaign, which will probably not escalate into a full-fledged war, is possible.

Yadelin also surveyed the circumstances that could instigate terror attacks on Israel. "We have intelligence indicating terror activities are possible both on the northern and southern fronts. Hizbullah may choose to use one of their still disputed subjects, such as the Shaaba Farms or Imad Mugniyah's assassination," he told the cabinet.

As for the Iranian threat, Yadlin briefed the cabinet on the latest intelligence assessments, saying that Iran is forging ahead with its nuclear developments, despite the international community implementing some diplomatic and financial duress.

Syria, he said, is slowly by surely "escaping its international isolation, despite assisting Hizbullah. Damascus is taking several steps in order to get closer to the West, but is still very much a part of the axis of terror."


http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-3572348,00.html

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Israelis Internet Force is also collecting Intelligence from Allied friendly forces without their being aware. We have conflicted feeling about Intel ops against friendlies.

Gerald
Barb
Bill

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Paki's reach into Europe

Germany and Jihad

By Jeffrey Imm

With the World Cup opening June 9 in Munich, Germany is having an increasing problem with the growth of radical Islamism. German Federal Prosecutor Kay Nehm has recently stated that the country is sitting on a "powder keg" of radical Islamist migrants who could be plotting an terror attack in Germany. Today - Der Spiegel has reported on a foiled suicide bomb plot by three German women. German intelligence sources prevented three German Muslim women from traveling to Iraq; one of the German women planned to blow herself up with her child in Iraq. At least one of the women was a convert to Islam and sources state that all the German women were sympathizers of Ansar al Islam. Ansar al Islam has a history of smuggling suicide bombers from Germany to Iraq. Germany's domestic security agency, the Verfassungsschutz, has also reported recent growth of Islamists in Germany - 32,100 as of 2005, including representation in Hamas, Hezbollah, Muslim Brotherhood, Milli Gorus (Turkish group). Islamists are also angry over the recent death of Amir Cheema, a Pakistani who died in Berlin, while in custody as a suspect in a plot to kill Die Welt's editor-in-chief over publication of Muhammed cartoons. Moreover, the goals of radical Islamism's growing ranks are supported by a growing Neo-Nazism which plans to use the World Cup event to defend Iran's Holocaust Denial and denying Israel's right to exist. Germany is anxious to avoid a repeat of the 1972 Munich Olympics where 11 Israeli athletes were killed by a Palestinian terror group. Some experts believe that Germany is not sufficiently prepared in terms of security for the World Cup and that security plans are relying too much on emergency forces.

May 30, 2006 08:07 PM

SOURCE:
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The NEFA Foundation has released a new report I have written titled “Jihad Networks in Pakistan and Their Influence in Europe.” The paper is based upon a presentation I gave on July 10 before the III International Course on “Jihad Terrorism: Contingency Plans and Response”, organized by the Pablo Olavide University and the Granada University in Spain. It assesses the proliferation of jihad training camps in Pakistan—particularly in Waziristan and the region bordering Pakistani-controlled Kashmir—and the subsequent impact that those training camps have had on the proliferation of terrorist networks in Western Europe.

The report can be downloaded from the NEFA Foundation website.

July 11, 2008 11:07 AM Link

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"More than 100 terror camps" in operation in northwestern Pakistan
July 11, 2008 9:05 AM ET
By Bill Roggio

Al Qaeda and the Taliban extend their power in the Northwest Frontier Province. A cross-border attack into Pakistan wounds 11, including 9 Pakistani soldiers.

http://www.longwarjournal.org/

http://snipurl.com/2xj79

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G

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yo

Analysis: Rice presses for a US diplomatic presence in Tehran

June 24, 2008, 9:05 AM (GMT+02:00)

DEBKAfile’s Washington sources, report that by the dramatic step of establishing a US interests section in Tehran, 27 years after relations were severed with the Revolutionary Republic, the Bush administration would hope to wash its hands of any Israeli plan to strike Iran’s nuclear sites this year.

Behind the step are US secretary of state Condoleezza Rice and her former deputy Nicholas Burns; its disclosure to the American media attests to White House backing.

The step slots into the American presidential campaign by distancing President George W. Bush from conservative elements, whose thinking was encapsulated by Bill Kristol, of the Weekly Standard when he told Fox News Sunday, June 22: “If President Bush foresees the likelihood of an Obama election, he may decide to go ahead with such an attack. However, if the President thinks Sen. McCain will be the winner, he would leave the Iranian situation for President McCain to handle.” This view was endorsed by Daniel Pipes, a Middle East expert and member of the conservative Hoover Institution.

Democratic Barack Obama has increased his margin against the Republican John McCain by 15 percent.

Regarding the likelihood of an Israeli go-it-alone attack on Iran, former U.N. Ambassador John Bolton said in the same broadcast:

"I think if they [Israel] are to do anything, the most likely period is after our elections and before the inauguration of the next President. I don’t think they will do anything before our election because they don’t want to affect it.”

Sunday, DEBKAfile reported the estimate of Israeli intelligence and military circles that the extension of Mossad director Meir Dagan’s tenure for another year up to the end of 2009 points to a probable Israeli military action against Iran this year before the Bush presidency runs out.

The unsolicited statement by Condoleezza Rice came next on Monday, June 23. On her way to a conference in Berlin of donors to the Palestinian Civil Police Force, she spoke of opening a US interests section in Tehran similar to the one maintained in Cuba. In so saying, she broke away sharply from the international drive led by the Bush administration to isolate Iran for refusing to give up uranium enrichment.

She said: “We do have the station in Dubai where [Iranians] can get visas, but we know that it's difficult for Iranians sometimes to get to Dubai. We want more Iranians visiting the United States. We are determined to find ways to reach out to the Iranian people."

Middle East peace negotiators, Israeli foreign minister Tzipi Livni and Palestinian ex-prime minister Ahmed Qureia are attending the Berlin conference.

Since the 1979 siege of the US embassy in Tehran by revolutionary zealots, Washington has been represented in Tehran by the Swiss embassy. This arrangement has become untenable since Switzerland signed a bi gas deal with Iran, in breach US sanctions against the Islamic Republic.

SOURCE:

xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

I started to digram DEBKA's Paradigm, and it is not adhering to it's own standards of clarity or argument within its own ontology.

DEBKA isn't usually sloppy, and I don't think they are here.

Gerald

.

Iran nuke in 6 months? or sooner...

Mohamed ElBaradei assumes there are no secret production programs in Iran he doesn't know about. ( 6 months is VERY CLOSE, ) I think this is a risky assumption. G

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If It Wants To Produce Nuclear Weapons, Iran Would Have To "Leave The NPT, Expel The IAEA Inspectors, And... It Would Need At Least Six Months to One Year"

Mohamed ElBaradei: "If Iran wants to turn to the production of nuclear weapons, it must leave the NPT, expel the IAEA inspectors, and then it would need at least... Considering the number of centrifuges and the quantity of uranium Iran has..."

Interviewer: "How much time would it need?"

ElBaradei: "It would need at least six months to one year. Therefore, Iran will not be able to reach the point where we would wake up one morning to an Iran with a nuclear weapon."

Interviewer: "Excuse me, I would like to clarify this for our viewers. If Iran decides today to expel the IAEA from the country, it will need six months..."

ElBaradei: "Or one year, at least..."

Interviewer: "... to produce [nuclear] weapons?"

ElBaradei: "It would need this period to produce a weapon, and to obtain highly-enriched uranium in sufficient quantities for a single nuclear weapon." [...]


"A Military Strike [Against Iran] Would Be the Worst Thing Possible"

"In my view, a military strike would be the worst thing possible. It would turn the Middle East into a ball of fire."

Interviewer: "It would be worse than sanctions?"

ElBaradei: "Much worse, because a military strike would mean, first and foremost, that even if Iran does not produce nuclear weapons today, it would implement a so-called 'crash course,' or an accelerated plan to produce a nuclear weapon, with the agreement and blessing of all the Iranians – even the Iranians living in the West."

[...]

Interviewer: "Dr. ElBaradei, what do the Iranian officials tell you when you confront them about the need for more transparency?"

ElBaradei: "They say there will be more transparency, but at the end of the day, I'd rather wait to see this transparency.

[...]

"I always think of resigning in the event of a military strike."

Interviewer: "You will resign in the event that..."

ElBaradei: "If military force is used, I would conclude that there is no mechanism left for me to defend."

Interviewer: "This is a threat directed at the Americans – if you strike, I will resign."

ElBaradei: "I am not doing this for material profit. If I was working in the private sector, I would... I am doing this out of the conviction that I am defending shared values. If we deviate from these shared values..."

Interviewer: "So there is no justification for an attack..."

"There Will Be No Point in My Continuing My Work If Military Force Is Used"

ElBaradei: "The day I believe that the international system has begun to collapse is the day I will resign."

[...]

Interviewer: "If the world reaches a consensus that there is no solution but to attack Iran, would you still resign? What if Europe, America, and the entire West agree that the only resolution is a military one?"

ElBaradei: "I don't think that what we are seeing today in Iran poses a clear, imminent, and immediate danger."

Interviewer: "But in a year or two, it could become..."

ElBaradei: "If this happens, it will be a different story, but if a military strike is launched against Iran now, in my opinion, I will have no choice but to..."

Interviewer: "So there is no justification for a strike against Iran today."

ElBaradei: "None whatsoever. There will be no point in my continuing my work if military force is used at present."

To view this clip on MEMRI TV, visit http://www.memritv.org/clip/en/1797.htm .

xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx

I repeat:

Mohamed ElBaradei assumes there are no secret production programs in Iran he doesn't know about. ( 6 months is VERY CLOSE, ) I think this is a risky assumption. G

G

Iran's secret war plan.

Al Qaeda gives free hand to Iran in Palestine.

Qods flush with cash and 5gw

Iran leader of al Qaeda?

Iran readies for war.

Iran blueprint warhead nuke.

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Does the world wait to fight a nuclear Iran?

How Iran would retaliate if it comes to war.

I've been reading a lot on the web about how Iran migh retaliate,
Secret cells, Rockets, suicide squads etc. Iran 4 front missile comand.

But one is for sure if the attack on Iran is timed right
the retaliation will NOT be nuclear.

The Paradigm is clear.

Iran is currently exporting terrorism, Iraq, Afghan, Paki and Palistine and Gaza.
Palestinian TERROR GROUPS

Question is do we confront them before they have a nuke or after?

Iran has demonstrated its ability to strike in unconventional ways, 5GW.
State suicide, nuclear bomb, to bring on the Mahdi.
illusion of deniability ( al Qaeda )

Does the world want to deal with Iran's unconventional ways, before or after they get a nuke?

If they get a Nuke it is a huge force multiplier, and they have convinced me they will use it
for both political and religious reasons ( Iran will push the button ), and the very best scenario is they only use it as a threat to bend Middle eastern countries to their will, blackmail.
Persians SKUNK Arabs

The Iranian paradigm is targeting Israel, they have the religious conviction and mandate to use
a nuke, and see a heavemly reward for doing so. And a nuclear suicide attack is not out of their preview.

Iran's intentions are clear.

Question becomes are they allowed to execute their plan, or disrupt it before they are ready to execute.

Fight a Nuclear Iran or fight a non-nuclear Iran?

The choice is ours. Their intentions have been demonstrated in their actions, in Iraq, Syria, Afghan, Paki, Palestine, Gaza.

Their religious convictions have been publicly stated.

They have admitted their intentions towards Israel.

There is going to be a fight on Iran's terms or on the Worlds terms.

I chose a non-nuclear Iran.

What will be G. Bush's legacy?

Gerald
Anthropologist.

Fight a Nuclear Iran or Fight Non-Nuclear Iran

Iran nuke in 6 months

Iran's secret war plan.

Al Qaeda gives free hand to Iran in Palestine.

Qods flush with cash and 5gw

Iran leader of al Qaeda?

Iran readies for war.

Iran blueprint warhead nuke.

report International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Director General Mohamad ElBaradei, to quit, OK, he failed.
.

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Israeli military preps for Iran's nuke plant STRIKE

Image via WikipediaUS military officials say that a major Israeli military exercise conducted two weeks ago appeared to be a rehearsal for an attack on Iranian nuclear facilities, according to a New York Times report.

The Times writes that the exercise took place during the first week of June, and was so large as to be nearly guaranteed to be detected by US and other foreign observers, including Iran itself.

More than 100 Israeli F-16 and F-15 fighters participated in the maneuvers, which were carried out over the eastern Mediterranean and over Greece during the first week of June, American officials said.

The exercise also included Israeli helicopters that could be used to rescue downed pilots. The helicopters and refueling tankers flew more than 900 miles, which is about the same distance between Israel and Iran's uranium enrichment plant at Natanz, American officials said.

A Pentagon official, speaking anonymously due to the sensitivity of the issue, told the Times that the high profile of the exercise was not an accident. Rather, it was one of Israel's two intended goals for undergoing the rehearsal.

One Israeli goal, the Pentagon official said, was to practice flight tactics, aerial refueling and all other details of a possible strike against Iran's nuclear installations and its long-range conventional missiles.

A second, the official said, was to send a clear message to the United States and other countries that Israel was prepared to act militarily if diplomatic efforts to stop Iran from producing bomb-grade uranium continued to falter.

http://www.csmonitor.com/2008/0621/p99s01-duts.html

http://snipurl.com/2lsto

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Adventure Travel

Image by Quiplash! via FlickrYet, despite dire official pronouncements and travel sanctions, a brave few are venturing where no man has gone before. Why not romp through the poppy fields of Afghanistan? Play golf on dirt-and-oil "browns", fly kites, check what's left of the Bamiyan Buddhas, and dodge rocket-propelled grenades.

Wild Frontiers (www.wildfrontiers.co.uk) is one outfit that can get you there to "follow in the footsteps of Marco Polo" and Alexander the Great, if not Gulbuddin Hekmatyar. ( a good friend of MR.Laden, probaly knows where biny is, G ) Don't fret about car bombs. Travel is by donkey.

Iraq Tours (www.iraqtours.net) offers a picture of a fighter jet taking off on its home page with the caption, "Enjoy a wide variety of sightseeing tours in Iraq." Among the places you might wish to visit is the fortified Green Zone, also referred to as Little Venice on account of the numerous waterways criss-crossing the area between the palatial homes once occupied by Saddam's family. As in Venice you might get that sinking feeling but this is perhaps the safest spot in the country. One of the largest and biggest spending international tour groups – the US Army – is based here. And boy they're having fun.

Iraq Kurdistan Tourism (www.tourismkurdistan.com) is seeking capital, ideas and travellers to leverage its mountain views, rivers, idyllic sheep farms, and relative peace from Kirkuk and Erbil to Mosul. Taking a leaf from the US, the Turkish Army was among the first to respond. It conducted long hikes, took pictures and let off fireworks. The overjoyed local population threw up its hands in welcome and ran, in the opposite direction.

If all this does not slake your curiosity, what about Palestine (www.visit-palestine.com)? The tourism department is promoting trips to places like Bethlehem, Jerusalem, Jericho, Nablus, the Dead Sea and Gaza. Roll about in Dead Sea mud without paying a penny, or visit historic Gaza for a crash weight-loss programme involving a scientifically calibrated zero-calorie diet – courtesy Israel – and lots of walks. Everyone walks. There's no petrol. This is how the other half live their healthy, well exercised lives. It's time people around the world had a chance to enjoy all this. Perhaps one day I'll get you to Mars. – www.SmartTravelAsia.com

http://thestar.com.my/lifestyle/story.asp?file=/2008/6/15/lifetravel/21426110&sec=lifetravel

http://snipurl.com/2iorv

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All bad ideas, but if you insist on travel adventure on the cheap, Join the US Army.

Bill


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Iran's Secret WAR plans.

While on a virtual picnic on the WWW one of Company "C" troopers ran into ayatollah Farehd.
And with her best charming virtual personalty got him to explain the Khamemini's secret war plans.
this is what he said:


I am on the Iranian council, of Khamenei, ( his hat Was charming. )

I believe the Americans are a paper tiger. After all, we held Americans hostage for a year, have warred against them in Iraq, and done other stuff with no consequences meaningful to us.

I have lots of assets. I have a recently developed nuke, and means of delivery. I have Hezbollah, thus control Lebanon, an alliance with AQ, and relations with Hamas and Fatah as well. Have the ability to attack in Iraq and Afghanistan. My ally Syria has many of the missing weapons of Saddam. Iran 4 front missile comand.

I or my allies have agents in the US, Britain, and throughout Europe, in India, and worldwide. These agents have identified targets, and are ready to move. Probably have agents inside Israel, also ready.

I have alliances of a sort with Venezuela and North Korea. Though most Arab countries don't like me much, they like me better than the US and Israel, and we have important interests in common. I know things about them the west doesn't know. Plus I can intimidate them with my nukes.

Persians invented chess. So the plan includes surprise, misdirection and distraction. My pieces are in place, but timing is a question.

Even if US is a paper tiger, I want to act when US is weakest and most confused. Lame duck president is known to be aggressive, still capable of action. If I believe McCain is likely, November/December will be attractive. If Obama is likely, after January may be better. If I'm uncertain of being able to accurately gauge election probability, then right after a setback for Bush may be best. Considering experts in the US can't predict election results, the last may appeal most. Don't want to lose a window of opportunity.

The Supreme Court decision re Guantanamo, or something similar, might suffice as a setback for Bush.

Other factors re timing:

Wait: My weapons may need more testing/development. US displays increased aggression re Pakistan. AQ is not quite ready in Palestine. Recent attention to weapons I shipped to Hezbollah. If the nuke is ready, others factors are not too important.

Move ASAP: Political rebellion in Iran, supported by US, adds pressure to move when able. US gains in Iraq and Afghanistan. Turkey acts against terrorism. US distracted by major floods and election hoopla. I see most US alliances as weak right now. Israel ruler weakened, act before he is replaced.

Goal: wipe out Israel, humiliate the US, establish Iran as a power, and manipulate God into bringing the Mahdi now and making Islam supreme. This last makes sense to me, seems a reasonable undertaking. We have personal suicide bombing now the world will see State suicide
nuclear bomb, to bring on the Mahdi.

My scenario:

Ally Syria distracts Israel with negotiations, the Golan issue appears plausible, provides potential hostages. Egypt negotiates re Hamas, may not relate to me, but I don't mind, muddies the water.

Hamas lures Israel military into Gaza.

Once Israel is committed in Gaza, make a big political stink in the UN, rouse the ME street. At the same time, Venezuela and N. Korea make some waves, create a ruckus.Palestinian TERROR GROUPS

I plan to deter and dismay the US by a rapid succession of surprises: terror attacks on US homeland and ally Britain, attacks in India, and elsewhere. Particular focus on European attacks to defuse NATO. Iran's pay-for-performance ... Coordinated attacks in Iraq & Afghanistan using not only expected insurgents and techniques, but infiltrated agents. May use Saddam's weapons, might even threaten Baghdad with a nuke, play on Western humanitarian weakness. Hezbollah's Cyber attacks, disrupt communication. The longer it takes the US to assess the intent of the attacks, the more likely success.

I nuke Israel. Their retaliation will be confused, and my facilities are hardened. I have missile defense. Iran will push the button

Agents in Israel take control of possible assets, hostages, engage in terror strikes. Hezbollah attacks, Hamas uses advanced weapons I have supplied. Syria moves in. What Iranian forces can be spared from Iraq move in. I hope that Egypt and other Arab countries that hate Israel jump in, I have some influence in those countries. Persians SKUNK Arabs. My prediction is that once they see I meant what I said, they will be reluctant to defy the new regional power, and at the minimum will not interfere. My nuke will be influential.

A weapon is meaningless if its possessor is unwilling to use it. I believe the US will not use nukes at all - too timid and concerned about approval of world community. Israel might in retaliation, but not in initial attack. I believe I can prevent, withstand, or deter Israel's retaliation. I'm not concerned about the people of Iran, they exist to support the Islamic Revolution. Thus once I use my nukes, mine are more powerful than those belonging to the unwilling.

If I can envelope and seriously menace Israel fast enough, Israel itself will be hostage against the US. Only rapid overwhelming force against Iran could stop me. I can then destroy Israel, while promising not to and engaging in diplomacy. Europe, and probably the US, will dither. China and Russia will only pretend to care.

Speed is essential. However if the attack on Israel is not successful within a couple days, need to be able to maintain the illusion of deniability ( al Qaeda ) and Hamas attacks to allow needed time to destroy Israel. Must maintain power of public opinion to hamstring action.

Once the US engages in defense of Israel, events become unpredictable, other countries including Russia and China engage, and the situation goes out of control. I can threaten the US and Europe that I still have agents in place for more terror attacks. I trust to my political skills to ride the tide of events, and hopefully the Mahdi will take charge then. Islam and sharia will reign.

Ayatollah Farehd



A production of the staff at Company C.
Sourced from still classified material from terrorist sites.
Unreleased Paradigm Intel and posts linked in article .

Gerald.

Fight a Nuclear Iran or Fight Non-Nuclear Iran

Iran nuke in 6 months

Iran readies for war.
Preps for war.

Iran's blueprint warhead nuke.

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Israeli official says attack on Iran 'unavoidable

updated 6:39 p.m. ET, Fri., June. 6, 2008

JERUSALEM - An Israeli attack on Iranian nuclear sites looks “unavoidable” given the apparent failure of sanctions to deny Tehran technology with bomb-making potential, one of Prime Minister Ehud Olmert’s deputies said Friday.

“If Iran continues with its program for developing nuclear weapons, we will attack it. The sanctions are ineffective,” Transport Minister Shaul Mofaz told the mass-circulation Yedioth Ahronoth newspaper.

“Attacking Iran, in order to stop its nuclear plans, will be unavoidable,” said the former army chief who has also been defense minister.

Story continues:

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Iran 4 front missile comand.

Iran Achieves a Four-Front Missile Command, Breakthrough on Nuclear Missile Warheads

DEBKAfile Exclusive Report

May 31, 2008

Gen. Mohammed Ali Jafari, chief of Iran's Revolutionary Guards Corps

DEBKAfile’s military sources disclose that Iran’s Revolutionary Guards Corps have created a separate missile command, in which Syria’s missile force is to be integrated. The joint command was formalized in a new mutual defense treaty signed by the Syrian defense minister, Gen. Hassan Turkmani in Tehran last week.

Israeli military sources judge the operational merger of Iranian and Syrian missile corps to be a major strategic hazard to the Jewish state.

Western and Israeli military experts connect it with other indications that Iran’s program for developing missiles capable of delivering nuclear payloads has gone into high gear and reached an advanced stage. They believe the Iranians have beaten most of the technical difficulties holding it up.

On May 26, the International Atomic Energy Agency in Vienna, which often goes easy on Iran, released a harsh report confirming Iran’s progress in “missile warhead design.”

The new missile command was cautiously announced last week by the IRGC commander, Gen. Mohammad Ali Jafari. He said: “An independent command might be created in Sepah (IRGC) in order to fortify the structure and activities of the missile section.”

DEBKAfile’s Iranians sources explain Jafar’s cautious language on three grounds:

1. He was preparing Iran’s population and the Arab world for a pretty portentous development.

2. He was at pains not to put off figures in the West who argue strongly in favor of unconditional talks with Tehran over its nuclear misdeeds. He counted on those advocates shouting down the Western strategists who would appreciate the startling significance of the separate command.

3. Tehran also views Syria’s co-option and the new mutual defense treaty as a sort of guarantee that Assad’s “peace talks” with Israel will in no way detract from his military and other commitments to Iran.

DEBKAfile’s Iranian sources disclose that the details of the combined command were worked out ahead of the Syrian defense minister’s talks in Tehran: It was agreed that Syria’s missile units would come under the new independent Iranian missile section and their operations would be fully coordinated with Tehran. Iranian officers are to be attached to Syrian units and Syrian officers posted to the Iranian command.

In the interim, Hizballah’s rise to power in Beirut has brought Lebanon into the shared Syrian-Iranian orbit. This development has enabled Tehran to line up a row of missiles deployments of varying strengths from Iran, Syria and Lebanon and up to the Hamas-ruled Gaza Strip – a missile array never before seen in the Middle East and a strategic menace most of Israel’s security leaders rate unacceptable.

Military experts comment that Tehran’s centralized control of four hostile missile fronts will virtually neutralize the American and Israeli anti-missile defense systems in the region; the Arrow and the Patriot missile interceptors could handle incoming missiles from one or maybe two directions – but not four.

DEBKAfile’s military sources report that Israel’s armed forces have been working overtime, against repeated holdups, to get the third Arrow battery installed. It is to be deployed in northern Israel as a shield against Syrian ballistic missiles and Iranian missiles stationed in Syria.

The formation of the joint Iranian-Syrian missile command has slowed the project down. It calls for modifications in the Arrow’s deployment to meet the fresh challenge and a time-consuming study by US and Israeli intelligence specialists of how the new command structure functions. Western military sources doubt the Arrow system will be up and running by this summer, a period considered critical by military observers.

They discount as over-optimistic recent claims by Israeli officials that the new Iron Dome will be ready for operational testing against short-range missiles in the next year or two.

In a related development, DEBKAfile’s Gulf sources report that next week, Iran’s supreme ruler Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and Syrian president Bashar Assad launch a major campaign to further isolate American influence and bludgeon moderate Arab governments into alignment with their extreme anti-US, anti-Israel line.

Assad sets out Sunday, June 1, for the United Arab Emirates for talks with Sheikh KHalifa bin Zayed al-Nahayan in Abu Dhabi. Tuesday, he spends two days in Kuwait. The visits were set up by the Qatar ruler Sheikh Hamad bin Khalifa al-Thani, who spent Friday, May 30, in Assad’s palace, gathering compliments for the Doha accord he mediated which solved Lebanon’s political crisis by installing a national unity government in Beirut dominated by Hizballah.

The Qatari ruler, Assad and Khamenei have joined forces to use the Lebanon accord as an object lesson to teach Arab governments that they do not need the United States or Saudi Arabia to help them manage their problems.

This message was relayed in Iran foreign minister Manouchehr Mottaki’s arrogant statement in Stockholm Friday. He said: “The United States of America needs a serious review of its foreign policy towards the Middle East. These policies in… Afghanistan, Iraq, Lebanon, Palestine and generally speaking in the Middle East are mistaken policies.”

DEBKAfile’s political sources point out that these reverses are piling up against the United States and Israel at the worst time possible: both governments are hobbled - Washington in the dying days of the Bush administration, and Israel, by the grave corruption allegations against prime minister Ehud Olmert which have placed him and the other two senior policy-makers, the defense and foreign ministers, at loggerheads.

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Hmm Ok need to take out missile comand in Iran, Syria, Lebonan and Gaza all at once.

Nuke sites and command and control at each location, freeze computers, and cut phone and Internet connections, just makin a list. OK thats air power from two air craft carrier groups, and we still have the third carrier group in reserve.

I for got the new cruise missiles, and new warheads.

Warning IRAN, SYRIA LEBANON AND GAZA civilians put in three months supply of water, food and fuel. Its gona be a while before your governments are up and running again.

Gerald

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Bin Laden backs America and Israel

Image via WikipediaAnalysis: Osama bin Laden attacks Hizballah’s Nasrallah and Shiite Iran

May 20, 2008, 11:17 AM (GMT+02:00)

Examination of the full text of the al Qaeda leader’s second audio-taped message in three days, aired On May 18, shows him exploiting the Palestinian issue to fan the flames of the Sunni-Shiite dispute raging in Iraq and Lebanon - and carry it over to the Gaza Strip.

His 22-minute diatribe calls Arab leaders “agents of crusaders,” and “wolves,” who have stopped taking instructions from Islam and take them from the United States. The only Arab leader bin Laden singles out by name is Hizballah’s secretary general Hassan Nasrallah.

He says: He claimed [in starting the 2006 Lebanon War] that he had enough resources, such as money and combatants, to fight Israel. “But the truth is the opposite.” Al Qaeda’s leader asks: “If he were honest and had enough resources, why then did he not support the fight to liberate Palestinian?”

Bin Laden also attacked Nasrallah for allowing the deployment of UN peacekeepers in South Lebanon “to protect the Jews.”

The Sunni terrorist chief went on to lambast Shiite Iran for its efforts to dominate the Middle East.

The message, released to mark Israel’s 60th anniversary, pandered to anger in the Arab world over US president George W. Bush’s fulsome praise of Israel. He called on Muslims to ignore the Islamic prohibition against raising arms against fellow Muslims, pointing to the kings and leaders who “sacrificed Palestine and al Aqsa to keep their crowns.” They have decided that peace with the Zionists is their strategic option, “so damn their decision,” bin Laden said.

DEBKAfile’s terror experts note that, without saying so, Osama bin Laden has fetched up in for the first time in the same corner as the United States, Israel and Sunni Arab governments in opposing Iran’s attempts to dominate Lebanon and the Gaza Strip.

SOURCE:

oLE binny is impotent in the face of Iran.

Gerald

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Image by zeevveez via FlickrMofaz: Israel will not accept a nuclear-armed Iran. All means of prevention legitimate

May 1, 2008, 1:06 PM (GMT+02:00)

The Israeli transport minister Shaul Mofaz, speaking at Yale University Tuesday night, April 30, on the eve of Holocaust Remembrance Day, warned Iran may attain command of enrichment technology before the end of this year. He said: "Israel will not tolerate a nuclear-armed Iran. This time, the Jewish people won't let it happen. I would like to believe the world will not let it happen. To prevent this, all means are legitimate."

Israel's annual Holocaust remembrance ceremonies focused this year on the theme of courage displayed by Warsaw Ghetto Uprising leaders 65 years ago, knowing they were doomed. Israeli's president and prime minister laid wreaths in their honor at the Yad Vashem Holocaust Memorial Institute in Jerusalem.

Israelis stood in silence as sirens wailed for two minutes in remembrance of the victims of Nazi World War II genocide, two-thirds of Europe's nine million Jews. Cafes and places of entertainment were closed and TV and radio broadcast special programs.

In Sderot, memorial ceremonies took place in a new, fortified social center under relentless Palestinian missile fire from Gaza - nine by midday Thursday.

And in Poland, Israel's chief of staff Lt. Gen. Gaby Ashkenazi led the March of Life from the gates of the former Auschwitz concentration camp to Birkenau. He was joined by 12,000 people from 52 countries. In a short speech, the general noted that the world had stood aside when the Nazis murdered the Jews of Europe.

Avram Grant, the British Chelsea football team's Israeli coach, whose mother was a Holocaust survivor, joined the procession.

http://www.debka.com/headline.php?hid=5232

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The unspoken paradigm

Image via WikipediaTestimony of Under Secretary for Intelligence and Analysis Charles E. Allen before the Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs, "Assessing the Nuclear Attack Threat"

Release Date: April 2, 2008

Dirksen Senate Office Building
(Remarks as Prepared)
SOURCE: dhs

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Iraqi WMD Found…In Syria?!

By David Schenker

Yesterday, the Jerusalem Post ran a short story about a soon-to-be released US-Israeli report on the September 6, 2007 attack on the alleged North-Korean supplied Syrian nuclear facility. The Post says the (Israeli) attack was related to Saddam’s WMD. This is the text of the relevant part:

'Report on Sept. 6 strike to show Saddam transferred WMDs to Syria': An upcoming joint US-Israel report on the September 6 IAF strike on a Syrian facility will claim that former Iraqi president Saddam Hussein transferred weapons of mass destruction to the country, Channel 2 stated Monday.

It’s a pretty remarkable story. Given Syria’s support for Saddam in the run-up to the war and the Asad regime’s ongoing efforts to support former regime elements after the fall of Baghdad, it wouldn’t be surprising if some of Iraq’s WMD actually made it to Syria. While many still believe that Saddam transferred his WMD out of Iraq on the eve of the 2003 US invasion, however, to date, no evidence has been found to corroborate the theory.

April 8, 2008 02:09 PM Link

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Exclusive: Israel’s five-day missile defense exercise exposes unready home front

April 8, 2008, 1:23 PM (GMT+02:00)

DEBKAfile’s military sources report that the 19 o’clock warning siren Tuesday, April 3 – day three of the nationwide missile defense exercise – was not heard in many parts of Israel, including the Knesset – as criticism of the exercise spread.

Most people did not know where to find public shelters – none were marked - and were given no answers about protection against chemical or biological missile warfare.
More...

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Experts: Real, growing nuke threat
USA Today - Apr 1, 2008
"Today, al-Qaeda's nuclear intent remains clear," his testimony says. The near-monthly reports of people trying to smuggle "real or purported" nuclear ...

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Background noise, Nuke Chatter

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