For a Victory in Afpak all the players need to be
on the same page
And working for the same objectives.
USA is after al Qaeda and their
chief enablers the Taliban.
Afghan Government is running
a corruption model with profits
as the mainstay, and they use
the war lords and Taliban for
this purpose.
The Taliban are of two minds but
of one geographic area, central
Afghan and Paki. They use the Druand
line as a stealth border, neither Afghan
nor Paki will cross it in pursuit of the Taliban.
And the
Taliban cross it like its a chalk line.
Paki look to Omar of the Afghan Taliban
to keep Afghd and off balance and will use
them to go after the $3 trillion in Minerals
in Afghan.
MAP OF AFGHAN MINERALS
Paki has been playing the
"Great
Game" with the USA, motive has been
the $1 Billion in aid from the US for anti-
terrorism efforts. Of course if the terroists
were defeated the US might pull out,
leaving Afpak in a lurch like they did after
the US defeated and ran off the Taliban
the first time. The Taliban were chased
into Paki's ISI's arms.
2000
Budget Paki:
revenues: $10 billion
SOURCE:
The value of the US assistance
to Paki is equal to its COPPER
Industry, with the 7th biggest
mine in the world.
Terrorism is a major industry in
Paki and large contributor to
to its revenues via its anti-
terrorism budget contributions
from USA.
Killing OBL and the Taliban
would also kill the funding for
that industry.
US is using anti-insurgent strategy in
Afghan trying to win the hearts and
minds, while in Paki they run a anti-
terrorist Strategy targeting al Qaeda
and Taliban with drones.
US is in over drive to set up a sysadmin
in Afghan while the Afghan leader is
trying to negotiate some kind of
settlement with the Afghan Taliban.
And the Paki ISI has alot of influence
with the Afghan Taliban as their former
controllers during the Russian war.
The tribal cultures in the Pashtoon area
is dismissive of both the Afghan and Paki
Governments. And prefer their autonomy.
And are willing to take up arms to defend
what they see as their territory.
Which is problematic for the US as
the Taliban are assisting al Qaeda
and al Qaeda is launching attacks
world wide from Afpak.
The Taliban don't understand
that if they wish to be left alone
then they must leave the rest of the
world alone. Which is OBL preferred
paradigm, an ignorant Taliban.
The discovery of Afghan's minerals and resulting
wealth and will cause Paki to use ISI and the Taliban to
attempt and divert the minerals and wealth
to Paki's control. All the while using deniable
operations and cutouts to steal the wealth,
ISI will use the Taliban to those ends.
"The new US policy must also take into account Pakistan’s concerns about the future of Afghanistan. It is perturbed not only by the growing Indian activism in Afghanistan but also by the threat of anarchy in Afghanistan, which can make this country the site for a proxy war by various countries ( and terrorists.G ) in the region. A turbulent and strife-ridden Afghanistan threatens Pakistan’s internal security and stability."
There is a way to get everyone on one page.
Find the equivalent minerals in Paki.
The country has immense reserves of various minerals and natural resources. Important minerals found in Pakistan are
gypsum,
limestone,
chromites,
iron ore, rock salt,
silver,
gold, precious stones,
gems, marble,
copper,
coal,
graphite,
sulphur, fire clay,
silica. The salt range in Punjab Province has the largest deposit of pure salt found anywhere in the world.
Balochistan province is a mineral rich area having substantial mineral, oil and gas reserves which have not been exploited to their full capacity or fully explored, recent government policies have begun to develop this region of the country and to tap into the immense resources found there. The province has significant quantities of copper, chromite and iron, and pockets of antimony and zinc in the south and gold in the far west. Natural gas was discovered near Sui in 1952, and the province has been gradually developing its oil and gas projects over the past fifty years.
[2]
Major reserves of copper and gold in Balochistan's
Reko Diq area have been discovered in early 2006. The Reko Diq mining area has proven estimated reserves of 2 billion tons of copper and 20 million ounces of gold. According to the current market price, the value of the deposits has been estimated at about $65 billion, which would generate thousands of jobs.
The discovery has ranked Rekodiq among the world's top seven copper reserves. The Rekodiq project is estimated to produce 200,000 tons of copper and 400,000 ounces of gold per year, at an estimated value of $1.25 billion at current market prices. The copper and gold are currently traded at about $5,000 per ton and $600 per ounce respectively in the international market.
[2]
North West Frontier Province accounts for at least 78% of the marble production in Pakistan. Pakistan is home to some of the most finest and purest grades of marble, granite and slate found in the world. Much of the grades A Marble that is exported out of European countries like Italy actually have their origins in Pakistan which previously lacked fine polishing and processing machinery. The Government has taken steps to invest in this crucial sector with the recent establishment of a
Marble City within Balochistan.
[3]
The
Federal Bureau of Statistics provisionally valued this sector at Rs.211,851 million in 2005 thus registering over 99% growth since 2000.
But is it $3 trillion dollars?
SOURCE:
How to find the Paki minerals?
Afghan and Paki would need peace
to exploit the mineral wealth, to mine
them.
Investors if they can be induced to
invest in the middle of a terrorist war
will want a substantial premium.
"A few high-risk investors are sufficiently intrigued by the country’s potential to take an early look. JP Morgan, for instance, has just sent a team of mining experts to Afghanistan to examine possible projects to develop.
“Afghanistan could be one of the leading producers of copper, gold, lithium and iron ore in the world,” said Ian Hannam, a London-based banker and mining expert with JP Morgan. “I believe this has the potential to be transforming for Afghanistan.”"
SOURCE:
Paki is in a position to get Omar
to pull in its horns in Afghan and
crush the Taliban in Paki if there
was sufficient mineral wealth
to be gained from peace.
Paki has offered to replace US
if US withdraws.
Further incentive could be gained
by offering the Pashtoons their
own country. No more
stealth borders( map)
and they would have
an incentive to reduce violence
in their own Pashtoon country.
They are already operating
independently as a defacto
state rebuffing both the Afghan
and Paki Governments.
MAP
Operating in the heartland of the Pashtun Tribe.
Bring it home to the Taliban.
All because of the al Qaeda cult.
#1 is Kandahar, Afghanistan a US major push.
#2 is N and S Waziristan, Paki Army major push.
Time for a Joint Af-Pak Mil cross border force.
And if some Mineral wealth
was found in the Pashtoon area
they would have further incentive
to bring peace to the area to attract
investment.
This is doable if you align the motives
and incentives for all parties, Taliban;
East and West, and the Pashtoons,
Afghan, Paki, USA.
Bin Laden is trying to get everyone
on the same page, changed his focus
to Palestine.!!
Very few goals at cross purposes.
All working towards the same objective.
Wealth.
No easy way out of Afghanistan BY
Dr Hasan-Askari Rizvi.
Gerald
Internet Anthropologist
.
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