Paki Paradigm Intel.
Labels: Paki Paradigm Intel.
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Labels: Paki Paradigm Intel.
Pakistan's President Asif Ali Zardari said on Monday that the whereabouts of Al-Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden remained a mystery and there was a suspicion that he could be dead.
http://warintel.blogspot.com/2008/05/new-bin-laden-image.html
Speaking to international media, Zardari said US officials had told him that they had no trace of the Al-Qaeda chief, although they habitually say he is most likely in Pakistan.
Pakistan's own intelligence agencies were no wiser, either, Zardari said.
"There is no news," the president said. "They obviously feel that he does not exist anymore but that's not confirmed, we can't confirm that."
Al Jazeera aired excerpts of an audio recording in March in which the speaker's voice sounded like earlier messages from bin Laden, who has eluded all efforts to catch him since Al-Qaeda carried out the Sept. 11, 2001 attacks on the United States.
Bin Laden, if he is still alive, turned 52 on March 10, but he is known to suffer from ill-health.
There have been reports that he had died of natural causes in the past, but they have never been corroborated, and security analysts believe intelligence agencies monitoring jihadi websites on the Internet would have picked up some chatter.
Of course it may hurt morale if Binny were
dead, and slow recruitment.
G
Internet Anthropologist Think Tank: Bin laden, comatose:
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Labels: Binny dead
It’s the most secure distribution version of Windows XP ever produced by Microsoft: More than 600 settings are locked down tight, and critical security patches can be installed in an average of 72 hours instead of 57 days. The only problem is, you have to join the Air Force to get it.
The Air Force persuaded Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer to provide it with a secure Windows configuration that saved the service about $100 million in contract costs and countless hours of maintenance. At a congressional hearing this week on cybersecurity, Alan Paller, research director of the Sans Institute, shared the story as a template for how the government could use its massive purchasing power to get companies to produce more secure products. And those could eventually be available to the rest of us.
Security experts have been arguing for this “trickle-down” model for years. But rather than wield its buying power for the greater good, the government has long wimped out and taken whatever vendors served them. If the Air Force case is a good judge, however, things might be changing.
Threat Level spoke with former CIO of the Air Force, John Gilligan, to get the details. Continue Reading “Microsoft Offers Secure Windows … But Only to the Government” »
.I thought Vista was more secure?:
G
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WASHINGTON (CNN) -- U.S. Defense Secretary Robert Gates said Thursday that a military strike on Iran's nuclear program would not stop that country from pursuing the development of a nuclear weapon.
Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and Secretary of State Robert Gates appear before Senate committee Thursday.
Gates told a Senate panel that a military option would only delay Iran's nuclear ambitions and would further drive it underground, making it more difficult to monitor.
MIGHT IT NOT BRING ABOJUT A CHANGE IN LEADERSHIP? G
Gates said the better option would be for the U.S. and its allies to convince Iran that building a nuclear program would start an arms race that would leave Iran less secure.
"Their security interests are actually badly served by trying to have nuclear weapons," Gates said. "They will start a nuclear arms race in the Middle East and they will be less secure at the end than they are now."
AND LEAVE THE REST OF THE WORLD LESS SECURE ALSO.
A STRIKE ON IRAN COULD DETER OTHERS FROM PERSUING
NUKES. G
Bloggers are taking on Iran's mullahs and winning. In the Islamic Republic of Iran, bloggers are on the front line of the struggle for freedom. Today, there are about 80,000 bloggers in Iran living under constant threat of surveillance, harassment and imprisonment. One such blogger, Mojtaba Saminejad, 28, was arrested and tortured along with 30 others in 2004. He spent three months in solitary confinement in Iran's notorious Evin Prison. Two weeks after he was freed, he was arrested again for complaining on his blog about the mistreatment he had endured. He was held for 21 months on the charge of showing disrespect to Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and the late Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini.
We recently conducted an exclusive interview with Mr. Saminejad, translated by Ladan Yazdian. He told us Iranian blog sites have proliferated as a direct consequence of the regime's restrictions on other forms of public expression. "In Iran, people need to get a permit to publish any piece of information, including a book, an article or a song," he told us. "Therefore, with the government's total control over people's minds, it is difficult to bypass the government's numerous filters, and even more difficult to access information. Such boundaries do not exist in the blogosphere." He said blogs are "an ideal forum to express private thoughts" in a county where privacy is increasingly scarce.
The Iranian blogosphere took off in 2001 and has since faced a continually escalating war with the regime. "Monitoring all the blogs is not possible," Mr. Saminejad said, "so the government shows its frustration by imposing pressure and intimidation." Tehran began filtering Web sites, and bloggers responded with filtering countermeasures. Then bloggers were arrested, "frequently jailed for 'un-Islamic' content, which is against the national security interests of the country," so the opposition began to form closer, more cooperative ...more..
Some of the Iranian resistance is very Brave.
G
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Labels: Iranian Bloggers Info War
The Pakistani government's inability to stem Taliban advances has forced the Obama administration to recalibrate its Afghanistan-Pakistanstrategy a month after unveiling it.
What was planned as a step-by-step process of greater military and economic engagement with Pakistan -- as immediate attention focused on Afghanistan -- has been rapidly overtaken by the worsening situation on the ground. Nearly nonstop discussions over the past two days included a White House meeting Monday between Obama and senior national security officials and a full National Security Council session on Pakistan yesterday.
A tripartite summit Obama will host here next week with Pakistani President Asif Ali Zardari and Afghan President Hamid Karzai will center heavily on the Pakistan problem rather than the balance originally intended, officials said.
New consideration is being given to a long-dormant proposal to allow U.S. counterinsurgency training for Pakistani troops somewhere outside the country, circumventing Pakistan's refusal to allow American "boots on the ground" there. "The issue now is how do you do that, where do you do it, and what money do we have to do it with?" said a senior administration official who briefed reporters on the condition of anonymity yesterday.
On Capitol Hill, anxious lawmakers proposed breaking $400 million out of the administration's pending $83 billion supplemental spending request in order to fund immediate counterinsurgency and economic assistance to Pakistan. "We could pass it really quickly, in just a matter of days," said Senate Minority Whip Jon Kyl (R-Ariz.), who just returned from Pakistan. Waiting for debate and approval of the entire supplemental, Kyl said, "could be too little, too late.
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Some misconceptions about the Taliban
There are certain explanations of the phenomenon of the Taliban which tend to strengthen the broad misconceptions on the subject in Pakistan. When these come from retired Pakistani generals, such “theorising” points to the intent behind the policies followed in the past; it also complicates the collective effort in Pakistan to face up to the threat of the Taliban. Above all, it highlights the “psychological” problems among the officers who dealt with the Americans on the one hand and Afghan warlords on the other as “partners” in Afghanistan, and their ultimate “break” with the post-9/11 decisions made in Islamabad.
Some retired officers say the Taliban are fighting to avenge what took place in Pakistan following the September 11, 2001 attacks, especially those [Taliban] fighting to avenge what happened during the military operation that was carried out in Lal Masjid. But, they claim, these are not currently active after the new government took over power in Islamabad. Who, then, are these Taliban who apparently went to Afghanistan after 9/11 to “fight the Americans” and then got offended with the Lal Masjid operation in 2007, and then in 2008 simply stopped existing?
What has been left out in these claims is the “creation” of Pakistani Taliban to help the Kabul government of Mullah Umar after 1997 against resistance from what later came to be called Northern Alliance, whose leader Ahmad Shah Massoud was killed by Al Qaeda hours before 9/11. No reference is made by these retired army officials to the despatch of thousands of seminarians from the Pakistani border areas into Afghanistan as warriors. Before 9/11, when the Americans were bothered by Al Qaeda and wanted Pakistan to help get the Taliban to oust Osama bin Laden from Afghanistan, Pakistan decided to pursue strategic depth instead of fighting global terrorism. In fact, there is some evidence that on the Pakistani side, policy was “diversified” on the basis of “personal” affiliations between Mullah Umar and some key Pakistani officials.
One general interviewed proudly said that when “he sent his two sons to jihad” against the Soviet forces “along with the Afghan jihadi leader Jalaluddin Haqqani” it was on the general pattern of intelligence officers pursuing state policy without letting their personal friendships with the Taliban get in the way. Here is one classic view: “I am a retired official but the Al Qaeda Afghan elements — Abdul Rasul Sayyaf, Karzai (sic!), and others — are against Pakistan, but they are my friends”. What applies to this gentleman is, however, not supposed to apply to the personnel now in service. This is supposed to mean that the “allegations” that Pakistan has a nexus with Haqqani and Hekmatyar today are incorrect. The opposite is the case actually.
The part about those among the Taliban who were offended by the Lal Masjid affair and then “gave up” after the coming to power of the new government in 2008, remains obscure. Lal Masjid was the underside of Pakistan’s Taliban policy of “strategic depth”. The non-Islamists within the structure of the state focused on its India-specific intent and were not bothered by the nexus they thus formed with officials who interpreted “depth” as a transformation of Pakistan itself. Lal Masjid was allowed to become a watering-hole of all kinds of terrorist organisations with Al Qaeda affiliations. The proof of this came when revenge against the Lal Masjid operation was vowed by Aiman Al Zawahiri himself in a special message and echoed by the Taliban in South Waziristan and Swat.
The assertion that “we helped the Taliban at first but we ended the training in 1989”, leaves out the entire swath of activities that involved the preparation of jihadi organisations inside Pakistan used in Indian-administered Kashmir as “freedom-fighters” despite the fact that they were beginning to be dubbed terrorists at the UN Security Council and put on watch-lists in the West. As Mr Rehman Malik says, these Pakistan-trained militias are now with the Taliban.
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ISLAMABAD, Pakistan — Heavy fighting raged for a third day in Pakistan’s northwest on Thursday as civilians flooded from the area and the Pakistani military reported some gains in pushing backTaliban insurgents.
The Pakistani military secured mountain passes to the west and south of Buner, a district 60 miles from the capital, according to its spokesman, Maj. Gen. Athar Abbas, who spoke at a news briefing at the military headquarters in Rawalpindi. Helicopter gunships also rocketed Taliban positions in the north of Buner, where the militants had apparently fortified positions in areas adjoining their stronghold in the Swat Valley.
While government forces consolidated control of Buner’s main town, Daggar, General Abbas said it could take still another week for the operation to clear the whole district of militants, as the military was proceeding slowly to defuse booby traps and avoid civilian casualties.
The militants continued to unleash attacks, hitting a checkpoint belonging to government paramilitary forces from the Frontier Corps in northern Buner, and seizing several police stations across the region, including two in the upper reaches of Swat.
Suicide car bombers also tried to hit government troops in the south of Buner but were destroyed before they could reach their targets, General Abbas said. About 50 members of the police and paramilitary forces were still being held hostage by the Taliban in Buner.
Still, the government and the military repeated their support for the peace agreement forged in February with militants, under which the government agreed to install Shariah courts, based on Islamic law, throughout seven districts in the Malakand region, including Swat and Buner.
“The army has faced extreme criticism in the last two to three months, but we think that the peace agreement is a good agreement,” General Abbas said. “If peace can be brought in the region without further destruction, then it will be a victory for all. But the other side is violating from Day 1. We have kept informing the government of the violations.”
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In a conference held April 19, 2009 in Karachi, Pakistan, Islamic clerics and political leaders called the Taliban "enemies of humanity," and denounced the Pakistani government for signing the Shari'a for Peace deal, which permits the Taliban to enforce the Shari'a in Pakistan's Swat Valley district and broader Malakand Division. The deal was recently signed into law by Pakistani President Asif Zardari as "Nizam-e-Adl Regulation 2009."(1)
Following are details, and excerpts from statements by the conference participants, as published in Pakistani papers and websites.
Unite "Against the Scourge That Is the Taliban… to Save Pakistan from Utter Destruction"
The conference was organized by the Muttahida Qaumi Movement (MQM), the third largest political party in Pakistan, and led by Altaf Hussain, who resides in London.(2) It was attended by a large number of religious leaders, Islamic scholars, political activists and Sufis, representing various schools of Islamic thought, both Sunni and Shi'ite.(3)
Addressing the conference from London by phone, MQM leader Altaf Hussain expressed regret that no political party in Pakistan was voicing concern over the Taliban's takeover of the country, and urged both the people and the religious leaders of Pakistan to unite against the enforcement of the Taliban's version of the Shari'a. He also urged Pakistan's religious scholars, intellectuals, journalists, human rights activists and ''all peace-loving citizens who believe in humanity" to come out against the Taliban's "pseudo-ulema," and "to fulfill their religious obligations by uniting against the scourge that is the Taliban, in order to save Pakistan from utter destruction.'' (4)
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By Gerald
The Paki's are engaging in brinksmanship
with their nuclear weapons. Risking loosing
control of the nukes to the Taliban in exchange
for the billions of anti Terrorist dollars from the USA.
Paki is betting they can let the Taliban run wild
and still have tghe ability to stop the Taliban
if they need to.
The risk is loosing control of the nukes the reward
is billions of dollars to fight the Taliban.
The evidence is there for everyone to see.
Paradigm Intel is very clear,
see our article here, link
USA needs a new carrot and stick paradigm.
NEW $7.5 billion in civilian aid pay outs:
$3 Billion for Binnys head on a Stick.
$2 Billion for big Z;s head on a stick.
$2 Billion for Omars head on a Stick.
0 for Sacrifices, Payment for Victorys only
A Paki Army of over 500,000 trained troops
can't defeat the Taliban 50,000 farmers..
They can;t defeat them because they don't want to.
End the FREE lunch and watch the Paradigm switch.
Gerald
Anthropologist
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Training Paki troops for Insurgent fighting
is a no starter until the Taliban within the ISI
are removed.
Labels: Paki Brinksmanship
The U.N. Security Council's imposition of sanctions in response to the recent launch of a long-range rocket were "wanton provocations," North Korea charged.
A South Korea official viewed the threat as "very drastic."
North Korea staged its first nuclear test in June, 2006.
Experts believe North Korea can do a second nuclear test at any time, considering its plutonium stockpile and possession of several nuclear warheads, Chosun Ilbo reports say.
It appeared the tests would be prepared in any case. The foreign ministry said in a statement that "the first step in that process" was under way, namely construction of a light-water reactor power plant.
The statement also said technological development to secure its own supply of nuclear fuel would start "without delay."
N. Korea has just one shot, all out attack on S. Korea,
and USA can pick the time for a preemptive strike.
N. Korea and Iran are working together to share nuclear
tech.
Blow down the next missile they send up.
Set a punishment for violation UN sanctions.
And follow thru on the threat.
It would certanily give Iran pause.
That psycopath Kimmy doesn't have the money
to re-arm after a pre-emptive strike.
The world has the forces to take out both Iran and
N.Korea at the same time.
And would be a strong move towards thawartiung
nuclear terrorism world wide.
Gerald
Internet Anthropologist
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Labels: N. Korea Nuke test
WOOT '09 Call for Papers
3rd USENIX Workshop on Offensive Technologies (WOOT '09)
Submission topics include:
Program Co-Chairs
Dan Boneh, Stanford University
Alexander Sotirov, Independent Security Consultant
Program Committee
Dave Aitel, Immunity
Pedram Amini, TippingPoint
David Brumley, Carnegie Mellon University
Martin Casado, Nicira
David Dagon, Georgia Institute of Technology
Chris Eagle, Naval Postgraduate School
Halvar Flake, Zynamics
Tal Garfinkel, Stanford University and VMware
Alex Halderman, University of Michigan
Trent Jaeger, Pennsylvania State University
Charlie Miller, Independent Security Evaluators
Matt Miller, Microsoft
Tim Newsham, iSEC Partners
Jon Oberheide, University of Michigan
Dug Song, Zattoo
Michal Zalewski, Google
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It would seem this Workshop would be representing
the State of Art in Offensive Technologies.
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I also read the New York Times article on
"U.S. Steps Up Effort on Digital Defenses"
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/04/28/us/28cyber.html
Both are several years behind the curve.
The info in both articles suggests a lack of
comprehension of the current state of the Art
according to our paradigm intel.
The WOOT workshop is clearly from a defenders
point of view, the NYT article is no where near
state of the Art.
There seems to be a PARADIGM lacking for
even discussing offensive technologies.
The context is much more urgent than
either article suggests.
But the WOOT conference is a good start.
The Paradigm continues to builld towards a
big ass whoopin.
It feels like 'they' are talking about HTLM code,
When the bad guys are on 'The Cloud'.
Gerald
Suggested Paradigms and
Needed Cyber initiatives.
By Gerald; Internet Anthropologist
http://warintel.blogspot.com/2009/05/cyber-forces-authority.html
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Labels: offensive tech, WOOT
Labels: Interrogations vs Interviews, nuke
Shortly after 9/11, U.S. deputy secretary of state Richard Armitage gave Pakistan the ultimatum that, in Musharraf’s words, “we had to decide whether we were with America or with the terrorists, but that if we chose the terrorists, then we should be prepared to be bombed back to the Stone Age.”22 The first major battlefield in the war on terror was Afghanistan, and Pakistan’s geographic proximity and historical support for the Taliban made it strategically important. Armitage’s threat (along with several carrots) prompted Musharraf to announce a dramatic about-face, and closely align with the U.S. Mu-sharraf declared on January 12, 2002, that “no Pakistan-based organization would be allowed to indulge in terrorism in the name of religion.”23 He banned five jihadist groups that day, including Lashkar-e-Taiba and Jaish-e-Mohammed.
The ISI had already developed a distinctive strategic and ideological outlook prior to 9/11 that favored support for stateless Islamist fighters. Hence, along with his changed policies, Musharraf sacked pro-Taliban commanders at the top levels of the ISI and military. Altogether, he “forced the reassignment or resignation of Pakistan’s intelligence chief, two top generals and a number of other military commanders—most of whom were regarded as pro-Taliban or Islamist.”24
In addition to the firings, Mu-sharraf made other changes aimed at purging officers with extremist sympathies from the military and ISI. In February 2002, for example, Pakistan began “to disband two major units of its powerful intelligence service that had close links to Islamic militants in Afghanistan and Kashmir.”25 But this was not enough to transform the strategic and ideological outlook of either institution. Many military and ISI officers remained tied to the Taliban militants andmujahideen with whom they had built relations over the course of two decades. Moreover, the Frankenstein monster of Pakistan-created jihadist groups was now out of control: Pakistan created many such groups, and supported them for over a decade. It couldn’t simply cut them all off at once.
Today, support for jihadist groups occurs at three levels within Pakistan’s ISI and military. First, there is an institutional policy of support within the ISI for actors such as the Haqqani network, Mullah Omar’s Taliban, and perhaps other jihadist groups that have ties to al-Qaeda at top levels.
Second, beyond the ISI’s explicit policies, rogue elements of Pakistan’s ISI and military have provided support for jihadistgroups against the policies of their institutions. These elements have been implicated in several recent terrorist incidents, and peripheral evidence suggests that these may only be the tip of the iceberg. Major incidents where rogue elements within Pakistan’s ISI or military may have been involved include the November 2008 Mumbai attacks, the July 2008 bombing of India’s embassy in Kabul, the September 2008 Islamabad Marriott bombing, and assassination attempts directed at Pervez Musharraf and Benazir Bhutto. However, few—if any—Western analysts have a good sense of what percentage of people within the ISI support jihadistgroups against the policies of Pakistan’s government. There is also an open question as to whether these rogue elements are acting individually, or if they constitute factions within the ISI and the military.
Third, retired ISI and military officers with connections to Islamic militancy often remain influential following their retirement. One example is former ISI head Hamid Gul, who in 2003 declared that “God will destroy the United States in Iraq and Afghanistan and wherever it will try to go from there.” In late 2008, the U.S. sent a secret document to Pakistan’s government linking Gul to the Taliban and al-Qaeda, and India has demanded his arrest in connection with the November 2008 Mumbai terrorist attacks.26
There is frequently overlap between these three levels. For example, retired ISI officers frequently work for the organization as contractors, and a number of analysts believe that contractors are the strongest link insofar as support for jihadist groups against the ISI’s policies is concerned. It is clear that all three levels of support create problems for U.S. interests in the region, while strengthening jihadist groups.
Gerald
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Labels: Paki ISI is running the Taliban?
The Spanish flu, also known as La Gripe Española, or La Pesadilla, was an unusually severe and deadly strain of avian influenza, a viral infectious disease, that killed some 50 million to 100 million people worldwide over about a year in 1918 and 1919. It is thought to have been one of the most deadly pandemics so far in human history. It was caused by the H1N1 type ofinfluenza virus, which is similar to bird flu of today, mainly H5N1 and H5N2.
There is a fear it may morph into a drug resistant strain and have a very high mortality rate.
People with severe infection may need to be placed on a breathing machine. Experts recommend that persons diagnosed with avian flu be put in isolation.
This is a Pandemic now.
Experts warn that use of face masks does not provide adequate protection. Face masks only work when dry; after an hour or two the breath causes the fabric to become damp and then it does not provide filtration of infection. A face mask must be replaced every two hours and the one used disposed of or cleaned. The WHO have increased the level pandemic alert to phases 4 on a 6 point scale. Phase 4 indicates a "significant increase in risk of pandemic".
And not all surgical masks are equal. I've heard M95 masks are effective.
Anyone know the size ( microns ) of this virus?
The face mask must filter everything to that size.
Many don't.
Paradigm Intel:
The threat is so great that the White House spoksperson missed
the story about a Presidential Jet with Air Force Jets flying over NYC
at low altitudes.
There have been no deaths yet in USA.
This is temporary. There will be deaths.
This is the end of the Flu season, but this virus
has established its self in the population.
The question becomes can the out break be ended
before it morphs into something realy bad.
CDC has acted independently of WHO.
And their assessment activtivated
plans for a serious pandemic.
Stock up on food and water, etc.
Its to late to close the border between Mexico and
USA.
Now about the 500 lb gorillia in the room.
Was this a terrorist attack?
Paradigm Intel points to NO.
It would take a very advanced set up to create this bio. threat.
There could be reasons for releasing it in Mexico rather
than USA.
But the backblast could cripple the attackers also
But that wouldn't bother Iran or terrorist.
A clear sign that this is an terrorist attack would
be out breaks in USA without connections to Mexico or
other outbreaks.
A concern is the terrorist obtaining the virus and spreading it
of keeping it going till it does morph.
Other virus:
Conflicker:
Not a lot of information but Conflicker has apparently downloaded new instructions and a keylogger.
Certain Conflicker variants are apparently downloading new code and instructions via an encrypted Peer to Peer connection. According to Trend Micro the new code includes a keylogger and other code for stealing passwords and financial information.