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Gen. Ashfaq Kayani isn't going after the Taliban
and al qaeda sanctuaries in North Waziristan.
( former head of ISI, and head of Paki Military )
While Pakistan is a nuclear power they don't
act like one, their actions more bespeak of
a 3rd world WWII armed nation.
Half their defense forces are on the border with
India, and fear to remove them. Worried like
an old matron of an invasion from India.
And their pre-nuclear history speaks to their
reasons to fear India, their history with India
But they are a nuclear power, and still they
fear an attack form India, maybe a deficiency
in Military self esteem.
So Paki uses India as an excuse not to go after
the bad guys in North Waziristan.
But even that maybe just a cover.
They view part of the Taliban as Paki shock
troops, to be used for adventurism in Afghan
or undercover troops in covert battles with
And Paki saw what US did after helping Afghan
defeat the Russians, US abandoned Afghan,
and the war lords and drug lords took power.
The Taliban with the help of Paki swept in
and took over from the Drug lords and War
Paki fears US may do it again, just abandon Afghan.
Hell Karzi has spoke of going over to the Taliban
side. Afghan even with US as a partner isn't all
If US just dumps Afghan again then Paki has
do deal with the after math.
And who wants to rely on American Congressmen?
I suppose they could Buy the Republicans off like
the Wall St Banks do.
But thats expensive even if the Supreme Court
opened the door for them to do so.
So Gen. Ashfaq Kayani sees the Taliban
in Paki as providing some control
over what happens after US leaves Afghan.
The tactical ability to tamp down any war lords
or drug lords causing problems for Paki.
So the US struggles with its past actions
and short sightedness in its recent history,
and searches for a way to deal with past
If he takes out the Taliban then he is left with
his flank left open, and cross border incursions
against the Paki Government.
If he leaves the Taliban alone in N Waziristan
then the US is left to deal with cross border
incursions into Afghan.
He views his best tactical decision as leaving
the Taliban and al qaeda in tact for use after
the US leaves Afghan.
His decision leaves a sanctuary for the Insurgents
in Paki for incursions and supplying the insurgency
in Afghan. US has grown tired of these sanctuaries
and have recently been targeting insurgents in
The paradigm is fairly clear and no easy solution
presents its self.
One side view the Taliban as hosts for the real
Enemy al Qaeda and the other side view them
as auxiliary forces for emergency deployment.
Every time a drone kills key insurgents, they
will pressure and threaten Paki General Kayani to
stop the drone attacks, expect escalating protests
to killing terrorist leadership in N Waziristan.
Karzi wants to adopt the Taliban and Kayani
wants to employ them.
And US would like to kill them or force
them to hand over al qaeda.
The problem seems to be how to get
all; Afghan, Paki, Taliban to want to hand
over al qaeda or execute them.
A minimum win, for all maybe.
Of what use is the al qaeda cult to
Afghan or Paki?
al qaeda cult does directly connect both
Afghan and Paki to the US multi-billion dollar anti-
Our paradigm Intel on what happens when US does leave.