Paranoid HYPOTHESIS:
Paki government is paying the Taliban
for distruptive services in Afghan
with part of $10 billion USD,
paid by the P. Army to Omar in Afghan.
Paid to keep USA busy, worried and far
enough away to Give Paki $ 10 billion.
Omar is ordering the stop of attacks
on Paki forces, because they are our
friends.
Paki Gov. and the Army don't fear the Taliban, because at 10 to 1
troop force and equipment The Paki Army can take out
the Taliban at any time.
500,000 to 50,000.
And the Paki Army and Taliban cry for
attack the Paki Army was able to reach
out and touch India very hard.
The Paki army ( Gov ) have Afghan
in a mess with the Taliban.
They have USA occupied, and
They do not fear the Taliban,
let them take over half the country.
They are on Paki's payroll and
the Paki Army can take them out
on demand.
Taliban are not a threat to Paki. Only bait for Americans and the
Taliban are a cash crop for ISI.
As they sell them out.
The Paki's are able to sign peace
treaty s with their own illegal secretarmy, and thus protect them, the Taliban.
From the Americans, except for the Drones.
The Paki's have a secret guerilla force
that can strike into Afghan and India
and run back to Paki for protection,
And Paki collects $10 billion USD.
Of course thats just my paranoia. HYPOTHESIS:
nOTE THE "FACTS" FIT THE TIMES STORY
AND THE PARANOID HYPOTHESIS, EQUALLY
WELL.
g
How the paradigm fits togetrher:
If the US had not invaded Afghanistan, the Paki
ISI would be running Mula Omar and the Taliban
in Afghan, as a break on the Afghan Country.
Just as the ISI is doing now.
ISI is the father of the Taliban, they ISI help found
and nurture the Taliban.
USA ran the Taliban out of Afghan into Paki.
Right back into the arms if the ISI.
ISI and the Paki Government know as long
as Paki have Binny and Omar, US will be close
by with CASH.
ISI sent Omar back to Afghan and are paying
Taliban of Afghan to help keep the Afghan Gov
off balance and US busy.
The Taliban of Afghan draw troops from the
Taliban Paki base. Where the Paki Government,
Military and ISI give them safe havens with their
own laws and Government.
Omar has to keep the Paki paymaster a secret,
and can't tell Paki Taliban that the Paki Government
are the paymasters. And the Paki Government
has to deal with some blow back from the Taliban
in Paki. Even Omar has ordered the Paki Taliban not
to attack Governent troops.
And the Pakli Taliban squeeze out sa much
as they can from the Paki Government from the
arrangement.
Using the Taliban as a secret army Paki
has stayed on the GWOT teat, kept Afghan
off balance and struck out against India.
The Paki Army doesn't fear the Taliban.
When they have gone into contested areas
they have a huge foot print, set up a fortified base
and pound the Country side.
The Taliban keep away from them, and move
back in when the Paki Army leaves.
The parts of Pakistan they ahve ceded to the
Taliban they can take back at any time.
With 10 to 1 troop ratio and a fully equipted
ARMY.
Taliban and al Qaeda have a safe haven in Paki
except for US drones.
When the US came to Afghan they told
Paki at gun point they would cooperate
or suffer invasion.
Paki having hundreds of years playing
the "great game" have had plenty of experience
to deal with US threats.
Paki still runs the Taliban just as they did
before the US invasion of Afghan.
And fear the Taliban not.
If this paradigm works out to be true,
then how does US deal with the Taliban
ally, Pakisitan?
Recongizing the Paki government is in
colusion with the Taliban and by association
al Qaeda is a good start.
And will allow the US military to excert
political and force with in an accurate
paradigm and should yeild better resuts.
Gerald
Anthropologist
This paradigm was developed when two other paradigm hypothesisfailed to meet muster.
If paradigms won't fit the facts, and don't meet logic tests
then we can assume they are false, and subject to review
and development of new hypothesis.
Both had problems and we couldn't even jam them into
the facts.
So we went back to the Hypothesis drawing board.
There are several key words when Holmes characterizes his own method of reasoning.
Method by elimination, method of exclusion
(Q3) "By the method of exclusion, I had arrived at this result, for no other hypothesis would meet the facts." [A Study in Scarlet, pt. 2, ch. 7]
(Q4) "You will not apply my precept," he said, shaking his head. "How often have I said to you that when you have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth?" [The Sign of Four, ch. 6]
So the first two failed and we are left with Hypothesis that the Paki ISI is running the Taliban. In 7 years they
couldn't find Biny or
an Army of 500,000 couldn't defeat the Taliban?
Gerald
Anthropologist
( GOOD EXAMPLE of "Paradigm Intel" looking into a closed cell. G )
.
Rebutal:
“U.S. Says Agents of Pakistan Aid Afghan Taliban” (front page, March 26) accuses the Directorate for Inter-Services Intelligence, or ISI, of colluding and supporting the Taliban against coalition forces in Afghanistan.
Quoting the usual anonymous sources, the report further alleges that one of its constituent wings actively supports certain factions of the Taliban and even helps them in recruitment of new terrorists.
These are, by far, the most serious allegations against an organization that has spearheaded the global war against terror with unprecedented contributions. Not only did it eliminate scores of important Al Qaeda and Taliban leaders, but it also apprehended hundreds of their members, including key leaders.
It also helped in unearthing some insidious global terror plots. Recurring suicide attacks on ISI compounds in Rawalpindi, Islamabad and target killing of its members in the Federally Administered Tribal Areas and elsewhere illustrate the frustration and the damage this organization has caused to the radicals.
Pakistan’s political and military leadership are in complete agreement to fight terrorism in all its forms and manifestations. Anything that goes wrong in Afghanistan is not Pakistan’s doing. We need to learn from our omissions and errors and move forward toward the common objective of dismantling the terror infrastructure.
Nadeem H. Kiani
Press Attaché, Embassy of Pakistan
Washington, March 31, 2009
.
SOURCE: nyTIMES.
xxxxxxxxxxxxx
Three more Swat Taliban freed
Sunday, April 05, 2009
PESHAWAR: The government freed three more Taliban from Mingora on Saturday, as part of its peace accord with Tehreek Nifaz-e-Shariat-e-Muhammadi. The total number of released Taliban has reached 47. The men freed on Saturday have been identified as Munawar Hassan, Abdul Haliq and Qadeem. The Taliban had provided a list of 220 of their men to the government that they wanted released. Meanwhile, Swat Taliban chief Mullah Fazlullah told a gathering at Darul Uloom in Charbagh that the Taliban were committed to the peace deal and that all matters should now be presented before the ‘independent’ qazi courts set up in the valley. ghulam farooq
SOURCE:
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