Afpak internal relationship.
A workable paradigm for success.
By Gerald Intelligence Anthropologist Think Tank
The Russians swept into Afghan,
And were involved in a brutal subjugation
of the country.
For about 3 years the Afghan people
futilely resisted with WWI and WWII
The people formed up a Mujaheddin
to fight the Russians.
The Mujaheddin was formed and directed
by war lords and tribal leaders and others
drawn form the Middle East to defend
Afghan from Russia. This includes
Bin Laden, Omar and their ilk.
America started to help the Afghan
people with a black budget of $5
million dollars, and expanded to
$1 billion dollars a year syphoned
USA was using the ISI
to pass out the funds and arms.
And Paki took a 'handling ' cut.
But more important Paki became
the teat for insurgency against
the Russians in Afghan.
The Paki intelligence agency
developed deep and close
relationships with the Mujaheddin
army in Afghan fighting the Russians.
Which was easy to do as they
controled the purse strings to
the American billion.
They developed secret C&C over
the Mujaheddin by reason of the
purse strings the ISI controlled.
The ISI has a close working
relationship with that Mujaheddin
that defeated a super power,
After Russia was driven out
USA dropped Afghan like
a hot potato.
No money, no support,
no continued funding.
US Congress refused a
bill for $1 million for
schools after the Russians
were defeated, so the
Taliban set up schools.
Out of this Mujaheddin the Taliban
was formed. And the warlords
and the extremest religious leaders
set up the Taliban as the Government.
Paki fearing this Taliban's capabilities,
they just took out the Russians, has
tried to keep relationships with the
Taliban. Some control and support
to try and contain the Taliban.
Paki viewed the Taliban in Afghan
as a threat to Pakistan.
The new Afghan government was
rife with religious despots and war
But the Taliban formed a
Government of a kind giving the
people courts and a brutal form
of religious culture
more related to the 1700 than
It was corrupt, brutal and backwards.
After the Mujaheddin defeated RussiaBin Laden was suffering from a Mohamed
And offered HIS troops to drive Iraq
back and defend Saudi Arabia.
Bin Laden really thought he could
defeat Iraq. Some how he didn't
realize with out USA support and the
shoulder fired missiles from USA he
could have not defeated Russia.
When Saudi Arabia rejected his
offer of his army he saw it as
a denial of his true place as
the leader, savior of Islam.
This rejection unbalanced
him and he became delusional.
Because Saudi Arabia accepted
military help from USA instead
of Bin Laden, he blamed USA.
And his ego couldn't adjust to
the rejection, and he attacked
He brought Omar funding at
a key point in the development
of the Taliban Government in
Afghan and Omar was bought
USA drove out the Taliban Government
in Afghan and DROVE them into
And the Taliban propaganda spins
America as the new Russians and
calls to the people to rejoin the
new Mujaheddin, the Taliban.
And fight the Americans.
And they attempt to replay
the Russian scenario.
Pakistan rather than go to war, befriended
the Taliban and al Qaeda in Pakistan.
As they already have a relationship
with them as sponsors, funding etc,
with the Russians.
Now that the USA drove the old
Taliban government out, the new
Government rose to power,
the war lords and corrupt politicians.
Which the USA is trying to deal with
in Afghan today.
There is a lot of talk about the areas
the Taliban "hold".
For the Taliban to hold an area they
only have to move into an area where
one heavy weapons squad can be
the dominating power.
Alone Taliban squad could control
100 squares miles just by patrolling
and posting night letters and running
a small FM station. If the Government
pushes back they call al qaeda for
a few suicide bombers. And ask/demand
for recruits from villiages to fight the
new Russians, the Americans.
A good info war effort can unspin
this. FM stations.
In Pakistan they tried to live with the
wolf, and hoped they could tame it
before it ate them.
They have learned the wolf
was intent on eating them
and still has that interest.
But Paki now seems to
have the Taliban on the run.
The Taliban is no longer one
group it several groups.
In Paki in Afghan, all with
And while Paki goes after
those in Waristan it still has
contacts with those in Afghan,
Paki is looking to their own self
interests. USA has abandoned
Afghan before. And if that happens
Paki wants some inroads into the
Taliban in Afghan for reasons of
Throw into this mix the Taliban
stealth border, the Durand line.
And the possibilities for combinations
of terrorism and insurgency are
are almost endless.
The basis for this conflict
is 911 and the Talibans
support for al Qaeda.
If USA ties Afpak into
the electric grid
countries underdeveloped areas
that will lead them to link up to
( Thomas P.M. Barnett
) eventually.Barnett's take on electric grid.
And if the Taliban would
give up Al qaeda to USA,
then USA could reduce its foot
print by 80%.
Just train the Afghan Military
and police to handle the Taliban
if they get out of order. And provide
protection in the mean time.
While USA has no fight with
the Taliban other than their
connection to al Qaeda,
it wouldn't be just or wise to
abandon Afghan to its
fate with the Taliban.
The key maybe to bring
enough pressure against
the Taliban in Afghan
to make them give up
The Taliban have no honor.
They have sold out their own
for the right price before.
Bring on the 40,000
troops. Increase protection,
and train Afghan troops.
The more troops the faster
the Afghan troop build up.
Attrit the Taliban till they do.
The Taliban understand
force, and hate it, the drones.
We may have all the pieces
for a successful paradigm
Its a question of the will and
ability to piece it together.
Intelligence Antropologist October 14, 2009 12:34 PM ET
By Bill Roggio
The fighters were loyal to Ghulam Yahya Akbari, who was killed in a strike last week. Akbari's successor is said to be close to al Qaeda.