Paki won't go after the Sanctuarys.

This blog set to diaplay 20 days of posts. Sorry Blogspot only shows 3 days, waiting for a Google fix, G

Gen. Ashfaq Kayani isn't going after the Taliban 

and al qaeda sanctuaries in North Waziristan.

( former head of ISI, and head of Paki Military )

While Pakistan is a nuclear power they don't 

act like one, their actions more bespeak of

a 3rd world WWII armed nation.

Half their defense forces are on the border with

India, and fear to remove them. Worried like 

an old matron of an invasion from India.

And their pre-nuclear history speaks to their

reasons to fear India, their history with India

is problematic.

But they are a nuclear power, and still they

fear an attack form India, maybe a deficiency

in Military self esteem.

Fly over N Waziristan

So Paki uses India as an excuse not to go after

the bad guys in North Waziristan. 

But even that maybe just a cover.

They view part of the Taliban as Paki shock

troops, to be used for adventurism in Afghan

or undercover troops in covert battles with 

India.

And Paki saw what US did after helping Afghan

defeat the Russians, US abandoned Afghan,

and the war lords and drug lords took power.

The Taliban with the help of Paki swept in

and took over from the Drug lords and War 

lords.

Paki fears US may do it again, just abandon Afghan.

Hell Karzi has spoke of going over to the Taliban

side. Afghan even with US as a partner isn't all

that stable.

If US just dumps Afghan again then Paki has

do deal with the after math.

And who wants to rely on American Congressmen?

I suppose they could Buy the Republicans off like

the Wall St Banks do.

But thats expensive even if the Supreme Court

opened the door for them to do so.

Internet Anthropologist Think Tank: Supreme Court sells out America

So Gen. Ashfaq Kayani sees the Taliban

in Paki as providing some control

over what happens after US leaves Afghan.

The tactical ability to tamp down any war lords

or drug lords causing problems for Paki.

So the US struggles with its past actions

and short sightedness in its recent history,

and searches for a way to deal with past

bad decisions.

If he takes out the Taliban then he is left with

his flank left open, and cross border incursions

against the Paki Government.

If he leaves the Taliban alone in N Waziristan

then the US is left to deal with cross border 

incursions into Afghan.

He views his best tactical decision as leaving

the Taliban and al qaeda in tact for use after

the US leaves Afghan.

His decision leaves a sanctuary for the Insurgents

in Paki for incursions and supplying the insurgency

in Afghan. US has grown tired of these sanctuaries

and have recently been targeting insurgents in

N Wazirstan with drones, leaving Paki to its

objections.

SOURCED FROM.

The paradigm is fairly clear and no easy solution

presents its self.

One side view the Taliban as hosts for the real

Enemy al Qaeda and the other side view them

as auxiliary forces for emergency deployment.

Every time a drone kills key insurgents, they

will pressure and threaten Paki General Kayani to

stop the drone attacks, expect escalating protests

to killing terrorist leadership in N Waziristan.

Karzi wants to adopt the Taliban and Kayani

wants to employ them.

And US would like to kill them or force

them to hand over al qaeda.

The problem seems to be how to get

all; Afghan, Paki, Taliban to want to hand

over al qaeda or execute them.

A minimum win, for all maybe.

Of what use is the al qaeda cult to

Afghan or Paki?

al qaeda cult does directly connect both

Afghan and Paki to the US multi-billion dollar anti-

terrorism Teat.

Our paradigm Intel on what happens when US does leave.

http://warintel.blogspot.com/2010/12/paradigm-intel-after-withdrawal.html

A solution: Honorable Win, and gets the Terrorist.6 mos.

Gerald

War Anthropologist.

.