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    Thursday, August 07, 2008

    Afghan, Paki update

    Afghanistan: Mapping the rising violence

    Click to view map of attacks in Afghanistan by province, 2007 versus 2008.

    By Chris Radin and Bill Roggio

    Attacks in Afghanistan by province, 2007 versus 2008. Click to view chart.

    Afghanistan has seen its worst bout of violence since the US overthrew the Taliban government in 2002. Taliban-related attacks and incidents have skyrocketed as the Taliban seeks to destabilize and de-legitimize the weak Afghan government and break NATO's will to fight a protracted counterinsurgency campaign.

    The number of Taliban-related incidents per day has jumped by almost 50 percent, according to data compiled by Vigilant Strategic Services Afghanistan. The data compares the Taliban-related incidents from the Jan. 1 to July 13 time periods in 2007 versus 2008.

    Afghanistan experienced 18.4 attacks per day in 2008 compared to 12.4 in 2007. Much of the violence can be traced back to Pakistan's lawless border region, where the Taliban openly control wide swaths of territory.

    More than two-thirds of the Taliban-related violence has occurred in nine of Afghanistan's 34 provinces. Each of the nine provinces borders Pakistan and seven of them border the volatile tribal areas where the Taliban and al Qaeda have a de facto sanctuary and maintain more than 100 camps.

    SOURCE: More:

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    Some Afghan MPs back Taliban, drugs trade -official

    Wed Aug 6, 2008 3:38am EDT

    KABUL, Aug 6 (Reuters) - A senior Afghan intelligence official has accused a number of parliamentarians of supporting Taliban insurgents, Afghan newspapers said on Wednesday.

    Afghan and foreign troops are struggling to contain the growing Taliban insurgency while President Hamid Karzai's government is also coming under increasing international pressure to rein in rampant corruption fed by the booming drugs trade.

    The deputy head of the National Directorate of Security (NDS), Dr. Abdullah, told parliament on Tuesday that a "number of delegates" in the parliament "supported drug traffickers and terrorists", several newspapers reported on Wednesday.

    Abdullah, who uses only one name, did not elaborate and did not name any politicians.

    http://www.reuters.com/article/asiaCrisis/idUSISL50881

    http://snipurl.com/3cnaa


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    MQM ready to counter Taliban threat

    * Sattar says extremists trying to plot ethnic, sectarian violence with variety of weapons

    Staff Report

    KARACHI: A day after the Pakistani Taliban said it was targeting Karachi, Muttahida Qaumi Movement (MQM) leaders declared that they had proof the Taliban were plotting to "spread ethnic and sectarian violence" with a variety of weapons but the party was prepared to counter the threat.

    "After this open announcement from the Taliban, can these religious and political personalities still deny the conspiracy of Talibanization in Karachi?" asked MQM Rabita Committee Deputy Convener Dr Farooq Sattar at a press conference at party headquarters Nine Zero Tuesday. In an interview with BBC Urdu on Monday, Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan spokesman Maulvi Umar said that they aimed to establish themselves in Karachi. Umar said that the MQM was working on the agenda of foreign agencies and was responsible for terrorism in Karachi.

    At his press conference, the MQM's Sattar referred to these words and demanded the government do something to stop the spread of 'Talibanisation' and investigate the sources of its funding and weapons. The Rabita Committee deputy convenor reiterated the MQM's anti-extremism stance. This was their "true cause" he said. The MQM sees religious extremism as a threat to peace in the country and has organized many rallies in Karachi, attended by hundreds of thousands of people, to raise public awareness.

    Over the last few months, MQM chief Altaf Hussain has been warning of what he referred to as signs of Talibanization.

    http://www.dailytimes.com.pk/default.asp?page=2008%5C08%5C06%5Cstory_6-8-2008_pg12_1

    http://snipurl.com/3cnb0

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    Lot going on, things moving fast.

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    Friday, June 27, 2008

    al Qaeda killing Taliban..


    Former Taliban leader shot dead
    CHAMAN (PPI): Chief of Ulema Council Kandahar and former Taliban Commander Syed Muhammad Rafiq Agha was shot dead near Killa Abdullah Thursday. According to details, Syed Muhammad Rafiq Agha was going to Quetta from Chaman today. Unknown motorcyclists opened fire on him near Killa Abdullah in which he died. He was former Taliban Commander and Chief of Kandahar Ulema Council for the last three years. he was supporter of Karzai government. Police cordoned the area and started search of the motorcyclists

    http://www.thefrontierpost.com/News.aspx?ncat=ts&nid=1468&ad=27-06-2008

    http://snipurl.com/2pnvq
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    Tuesday, June 10, 2008

    Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan, LIES


    The Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan (IEA): The Position of the IEA on the Peace Accord in Pakistan.

    June 7, 2008

    In the name of Allah, the Compassionate and Merciful. Peace in any part of the world serves the

    interests of humanity and holds benefit for the people.

    YES PRAISE ALLAH.g ( MY COMMENTS IN CAPS, FOR EASE OF READING )

    We consider the peace accord in Pakistan

    as an internal affair, which pertains to that country alone—yet the occupation forces in

    Afghanistan and the forces hostile to Islam around the world oppose this peace accord and argue

    it will lead to an escalation in jihadi activities in Afghanistan. This claim is groundless and it is far

    from the truth. Since 2001,

    BATULLA HAS SAID HE WILL SEND TROOPS TO AFGHAN AND SOME OF HIS TROOPS WERE'

    RECENTLY KILLED THEIR, YOUR FIRST LIE.G


    the resistance against the crimes of the occupation forces in

    Afghanistan has grown stiffer with each passing year. In this context, 2007 was the bloodiest and

    filled with the most horrific events for the enemy. All expectations and predictions were that, in

    2008, the resistance against the occupation would continue to increase and be stronger than

    ever before, and that is what has actually happened.

    According to the plans prepared by the Islamic Emirate,

    CORRECTION YOU MEAN THE PLANED totalitarian STATE, G.

    the armed jihad against the enemy has

    undergone a dramatic escalation, and thus the regime in Kabul and its foreign supporters have

    raised this issue for several reasons:

    1.) The occupying forces and their supporters are facing total defeat in Afghanistan,

    ANOTHER LIE.G

    and

    therefore, they are trying to use these kind of statements and claims in order to distract the gaze

    of the Afghans and the rest of the world in another direction—so that the Afghan resistance will

    appear to be weak.

    HMMM I SEEM TO REMEMBER THE TALIBAN RUNNING LIKE LITTLE GIRLS FROM AFGHAN TO PAKI

    NOT SO LONG AGO.G.

    2.) In order to keep the flame of its propaganda battle alive, the enemy in Afghanistan and across

    this region has caused public uneasiness, as it has used violence in this affairs in order to assure

    the success of its campaign.

    THE TALIBAN IS USING KIDS FOR SUICIDE BOMBINGS AND EVEN TO CUT THROATS AND BEHEADING PEOPLE.

    WHOM IS USING VIOLENCE, BOMBING MARKET PLACES, MOSQUES AND FUNERALS? G

    3.) The occupying forces wish to present Pakistan to the Afghans as an enemy overstepping all

    bounds, and through this, they seek to lay the groundwork in the public consciousness to accept

    their presence, occupation, and their future existence.

    YOU ARE CONFUSING THE TALIBAN WITH THE PAKI GOVERNMENT, DON'T DO THAT.

    TALIBAN RUN FROM PAKI TO AFGHAN TO FIGHT AND WHEN THE TALIBAN IS BLODDIED AND BEAT

    THEY RUN LIKE LITTLE GIRLS BACK TO PAKI. G

    4.) Since Pakistan is the only nuclear-armed Islamic force in the world, the forces hostile to Islam—

    led by America—

    THE THIRD LIE, I CAN TELL WHEN YOU LIE, YOUR LIPS MOVE.

    AMERICA IS NOT HOSTILE TO ISLAM, AL QAEDA AND TALIBAN HAVE KILLED MORE MUSLIMS THAN

    AMERICANS. WHOM IS HOSTILE TO ISLAM? WHO KILLS CHILDERS WOMEN AND BOMBS MOSQUES? G.

    are preparing themselves in order to interfere in her affairs under these

    pretenses, in order to weaken this Islamic state.

    WHO IS BLOWING UP POWER PLANTS, OIL PLANTS , CELL PHONE TOWERS?

    WHO IS FIGHTING THE ISLAMIC STATES IN AFGHAN AND PAKI? G.

    5.) The United States and those in league with her are entangled in serious problems and an

    unexpected insurgency in Afghanistan—and now they are trying to win the favor of other

    international governments using various strategies in order to lure them to come and jointly fight

    against the Muslims.

    CAN YOU TYPE ONE SENTANCE WITHOUT LYING? THEY ARE FIGHTING AL QAEDA AND THE TALIBAN

    WHO CLAIM TO BE ISLAMIC, AGAIN ANOTHER LIE, ALLAH WILL PUNISH THEM FOR THAT. G.

    In this context, they have exerted pressure on the new Pakistani

    government and the political circles behind it in order to use them to further their cause in

    Afghanistan.

    The Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan,

    OH YES WE REMEMBER THE LAST EMIRATE OF AFGHAN, 108 TRIBAL LEADERS WERE KILLED BY TALIBAN,

    CLOSED SCHOOLS FOR WOMEN, NO SMOKING, NO VIDEOS OR EVEN MUSIC, YES WE REMEMBER, G.

    hopes that the nations of the world, including Pakistan, and

    individual people would seek to make decisions according to their own national interests,

    IF THEY EVER GET TOGETHER, AND SHAKE THEIR FEAR OF YOU , THE TALIBAN WILL BE DEAD, g.

    regardless of any kind of external pressures. America and her agents face a historic, total defeat

    in Afghanistan, and this defeat shall mark the beginning of the end of her oppressive policies

    WHO HAS OPRESSIVE POLICYS, CUT MENS TONGUES OUT, KILLED FATHERS IN FRONT OF CHILDREN, RAPED

    AFGHAN WOMEN, BOMBED MOSQUES, FUNERALS KILL CHILDREN? G.

    across the entire world. Allah the Exalted wills it, and no one is mightier than Allah... Allahu

    Akhbar, and may the honor go to Allah, his messenger, and the believers.

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    WE WILL SEE WHAT ALLAH WILLS/:

    MUSLIM KILLING MUSLIM, ALL FOR PERSONAL GLORY OF A FEW munaafiqeen.

    al Qa'ida has taken a switch to the Lion and now wants Islam to bare the burden.

    Allah is great,

    Those who believe, fight in the Cause of Allâh, and those who disbelieve, fight in the cause of the (false moujadeem), Tâghût (Satan). So fight you against the friends of Shaitân (Satan). Ever feeble indeed is the plot of Shaitân (Satan the false Moujahedeen ). ] al-Nissa:76.

    Allah said : (Allah has promised, to those among you who believe and work righteous deeds, that He will, of a surety, grant them in the land, inheritance (of power), as He granted it to those before them; that He will establish in authority their religion -the one which He has chosen for them; and that He will change (their state), after the fear in which they (lived), to one of security and peace: 'They will worship Me (alone) and not associate aught with Me. 'If any do reject Faith after this, they are rebellious and wicked.) 55,AlNOOR.

    Allah said: "The punishment of those who wage war against Allah and His Messenger, and strive with might and main for mischief through the land is: execution, or crucifixion, or the cutting off of hands and feet from opposite sides, or exile from the land: that is their disgrace in this world, and a heavy punishment is theirs in the Hereafter." 33:Al-Maeda .

    Gerald
    Anthropologist

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    Thursday, May 01, 2008

    Snipers miss President Karzai

    Hamid KarzaiImage via WikipediaTHE Mujahideen Day parade in Kabul on April 27th was meant to show Afghanistan's new, Western-trained, armed forces coming of age. President Hamid Karzai, the country's political elite and a jumble of Western diplomats packed a podium to review the troops. Then, just as a 21-gun-salute began, three lightly armed Taliban fighters began to take pot-shots from a shabby hotel nearby. The dignitaries scrambled in panic for safety.

    Casualties were not as serious as they might have been: the gunmen managed to kill three and wound 11 but missed their main target, Mr Karzai. Afghanistan's intelligence chief said there was evidence that the attackers had ties with militant groups linked to al-Qaeda and based in Pakistan (see article). For the Taliban the attack is a propaganda victory, showing that Afghanistan's capital is within their reach. This was the second big attack in Kabul this year. In January a four-man Taliban suicide-squad blasted its way into a luxury hotel, killing eight staff and guests.
    More:
    http://www.economist.com/world/asia/displaystory.cfm?story_id=11293810

    http://snipurl.com/26qo2

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    Snipers at Mujahideen Day parade in Kabul miss Karzai...

    More al Qaeda incompetence. Glad they missed but using 3 and 4th level cadre is a severe handicap, and portends future screw ups, al Qaeda has become a third rate insurgent group.

    Sloppy security, US Secret Service would have prevented the attack.

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    Monday, April 28, 2008

    Intel and Ops Update

    Analysis: Assad’s one half-truth and three lies to al Watan

    April 27, 2008, 2:42 PM (GMT+02:00)

    Elements of the Syrian-North Korean reactor’s cooling system

    Elements of the Syrian-North Korean reactor’s cooling system

    In an interview Sunday, April 27 with the Qatari daily al Watan , Syrian president Bashar Assad said: "We don’t want a nuclear bomb, even if Iran acquires one.” DEBKAfile’s military sources say that was only half true.

    What he omitted to mention was the division of labor agreed between Damascus and Tehran in a potential war against Israel: The Syrian reactor Israel destroyed last September would produce “dirty weapons,” while Iran would go for a nuclear bomb. Tehran therefore funded the North Korean reactor in Syria. The radiological weapons made there were to be distributed to the terrorist organizations fighting Israel and used as leverage to control them.
    More...


    Karzai escapes Taliban attempt on his life at military parade in Kabul

    April 27, 2008, 1:21 PM (GMT+02:00)

    Afghan president Hamid Karzai and other dignitaries, including the US ambassador, were safe after being swiftly hustled off the saluting stand away from the explosions and gunfire. Hundreds fled. Two Afghan lawmakers were said to have been injured. According to one report, four suiciders armed with bomb vests and guns carried out the attack. The parade Sunday, April 27, marked the 16th anniversary of the Soviet Army’s defeat in Afghanistan.


    Exclusive: First frank talk of potential war on Iran from top US soldier

    April 26, 2008, 10:10 AM (GMT+02:00)

    Adm. Michael Mullen, chairman of Joint Chiefs of Staff

    Adm. Michael Mullen, chairman of Joint Chiefs of Staff

    Addressing a news conference in Washington, Adm. Michael Mullen, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, said Friday, April 25, the Pentagon is planning for “potential military courses of action” against Iran. He spoke of the Tehran government’s “increasingly lethal and malign influence” in Iraq. A conflict with Iran would be “extremely stressing” he said, but not impossible and “it would be a mistake to think that we are out of combat capability.” The admiral stressed the reserve capabilities of the Navy and Air Force.
    More...


    Israel Air Force Chief: Iran is a serious threat. We should trust only ourselves

    April 25, 2008, 7:37 PM (GMT+02:00)

    Maj. Gen. Eliezer Shkedy

    Maj. Gen. Eliezer Shkedy

    Maj. Gen. Eliezer Shkedy tells CBCNews 60 Minutes Bob Simon that Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s threats against Israel must be taken extremely seriously. In an interview to be aired Sunday, April 27, the general said: “I think it is a very serious threat to the state of Israel, but more than this, to the whole world. They are talking about what destroying and wiping us from the earth.”

    He said it reminds him of the Holocaust. “We should remember. We cannot forget, We should trust only ourselves.”
    More...


    Exclusive: Closest aide of Hamas hard-line Khaled Meshaal dies in suspicious "accident"

    April 25, 2008, 10:07 AM (GMT+02:00)

    Mysterious death in Damascus of his top aide

    Mysterious death in Damascus of his top aide

    DEBKAfile’s counter-terror sources report that Hisham Faiz Abu Libda, Khaled Meshaal’s chef de bureau, was killed in Damascus by a hit-and-run car. Syrian authorities have ordered a blackout on the incident. His was the second mysterious death of a high-profile terrorist in the Syrian capital in recent weeks after Hizballah’s military chief Imad Mughniyeh was blown up in a high-security district on Feb. 13.
    More...


    Analysis: Assad caught red-handed may now go for revenge

    April 25, 2008, 6:54 PM (GMT+02:00)

    Ready for nuclear fuel rods as per North Korean model

    Ready for nuclear fuel rods as per North Korean model

    US and Israel intelligence experts upgrade the chances of president Bashar Assad retaliating for the Israeli attack, which irreparably damaged the secret nuclear North Korea built for him in eastern Syria - now that the episode is out in the open. DEBKAfile quotes those experts as recalling Saddam Hussein’s burning ambition to hit Israel’s nuclear site at Dimona after Israeli jets smashed Iraq’s French built nuclear reactor in 1981.
    More...



    • Clear Iranian role in Baghdad violence: military

      - 12 hours ago

      Iraqi and US military commanders on Sunday claimed a clear Iranian role in violence engulfing Baghdad's Sadr City, where Shiite militiamen have been battling security forces for the past month.



    Microsoft didn't crush Storm, counter researchers

    menelaus writes "Microsoft Corp. didn't crush the Storm botnet as it has claimed, rival security researchers argued today. Instead, the criminals responsible for the army of compromised computers diversified last year to avoid attention and expand their business.

    Paul Ferguson, a network architect, and Jamz Yaneza, a research project manager, both at Trend Micro Inc., disputed Microsoft's contention that its Malicious Software Removal Tool (MSRT) had beaten Storm into submission.

    The MSRT is a program that Microsoft updates and automatically redistributes to Windows users each month on Patch Tuesday. It includes definitions for the most popular malware, sniffs systems for malicious code and then deletes it. Microsoft first added detection for the Storm Trojan horse in September 2007.

    By the company's count, the MSRT cleaned more than 526,000 Storm-infected PCs in the final four months of last year. After some back and forth between the Storm bot herders and Microsoft, the former gave up, said Jimmy Kuo, a senior security architect at the company.

    "Even though they were able to maintain parts of their botnet, they knew they were in our gun sights," Kuo said in an interview earlier this week. "And ultimately they gave up."

    Not so fast, said Trend Micro.

    "The MSRT had an impact on Storm," Ferguson acknowledged, citing Trend Micro statistics that showed a 20% to 25% reduction in the number of bots within the Storm botnet late last year. "But there are some key gaps in the reality on the ground.

    "Storm is still out there," he said. And active. "We've seen campaigns to renew their [botnet] body count within the last 48 hours," Ferguson said.

    The full article can be found at computerworld.com." Like I said...others have picked up where storm may have dropped off. It doesn't sound like Storm has really dropped off that much. Its a much more difficult scenario now with smaller botnets running from more locations all over the world.

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    Sunday, April 27, 2008

    If the Taliban would fight al Qaeda, we could work with them

    * (en) World MapImage via Wikipedia

    Afghanistan: Taliban Evolves Into Network Of Groups
    By Ron Synovitz
    Afghanistan -- Taliban representatives Mullah Bashir (L) and Mullah Nasrullah addresse the media in Ghazni, 28Aug2007
    Taliban spokesmen speaking to the media
    (AFP)
    When the Taliban began its rapid rise to power in Afghanistan in 1994, the vast majority of its members were young students of the Koran recruited from hundreds of madrasahs set up at Afghan refugee camps in Pakistan. Fourteen years later, the Taliban leadership and its supporters no longer consists of young students, as the movement has evolved into more of a network of divergent groups and individuals.

    Drawn mostly from Afghanistan's majority Pashtun ethnic group, the original leadership of the Taliban chose the name for the movement because it denotes students of Islamic theology.

    Barnett Rubin, a leading expert on Afghanistan and director of New York University's Center on International Cooperation, explains that the youngest of the original Taliban were Afghans who were born or grew up in refugee camps in Pakistan during the Soviet occupation of Afghanistan.

    "The Taliban, of course, are an indigenous Afghan or Afghan-Pakistani organization which really grew up during the 20 years that there were millions of Afghan refugees in Pakistan -- where the only education available for them was in madrasahs, often in [Pakistan's] tribal territories," Rubin says. "It recruited from those people and it really had a local agenda."

    But the Taliban's supreme spiritual leader, Mullah Mohammad Omar, is much older. Born sometime around 1959 in the village of Nodeh near Kandahar, Omar's family members were poor, landless members of the Hotak tribe -- one of many sub-tribes and clans within the Ghilzai branch of Pashtuns.

    Omar became a village mullah in the Mewand district of Kandahar Province. He also fought against Afghan President Najibullah's communist regime from 1989 to 1992 as a member of Mohammad Yunus Khales' Hizb-e Islami -- a mujahedin group headquartered in Pakistan that had received Western aid and support during the 1980s that was channeled through elements of Pakistan's Interservices Intelligence (ISI).

    Significantly, Mullah Omar's Ghilzai tribe is a historical adversary of another important ethnic-Pashtun group -- the Durrani tribe of Afghan President Hamid Karzai.

    Religion To Politics


    Antonio Giustozzi is a research fellow at the London School of Economics who has studied the evolution of the Taliban since the September 11, 2001, terrorist attacks in the United States. Giustozzi tells RFE/RL it would be wrong to consider today's Taliban a single ethnic group or tribe.

    "I would basically describe it as a religious network which turned into a political movement," Giustozzi says. "And then they started expanding -- co-opting other religious networks, and then gradually going beyond those religious networks to start forming alliances with local communities or local power players."

    He explains that the Taliban lacks a strong organizational structure and is essentially still a network based on personal relations between the leadership and people at the local level.

    "Mullah Omar is not an authoritative leader," Giustozzi says. "He is more like a broker among different members of the leadership who may have differences over issues of how to fight the war or whether to negotiate or not. So in a sense, it is modeled from their experience as clerics."

    In his recently published book, "Koran, Kalashnikov And Laptop: The Neo Taliban Insurgency In Afghanistan," Giustozzi describes how the Taliban leadership has recently embraced new strategies and technologies, including computers and suicide bombings. Giustozzi's book also describes how the Taliban has reorganized and adapted to changing political conditions in Afghanistan since 2002.

    "Of course, the top leaders are people who have been with the Taliban for a long, long time. So in that sense, the very top leaders are still the same," Giustozzi explains. "What is new is that they are trying to incorporate new constituencies and, therefore, represent different tribes and communities. So as their constituencies change, they also adapt to those constituencies."

    He says the original Taliban were largely Ghilzai, from the Ghilzai confederation, while in 2003 and 2004, the majority of the leadership were actually Durannis.

    "We actually are not totally sure today what the composition of their leadership is," Giustozzi adds. "But one can detect an attempt to represent the different constituencies at the level of the leadership."

    Revised Goals

    Giustozzi also notes that the goals claimed by the Taliban have changed, along with its fighting tactics, as the security and political situation in the country has evolved.

    "Today, the Taliban are essentially a guerrilla movement, whereas in the 1990s -- even in the early days of 1994 or 1995 -- they were never something like that," Giustozzi says. "Even when they were fighting for power, they were not using these guerrilla tactics. They were more like an army moving along the highways and trying to occupy the provincial centers. In that sense, the main difference is the way they operate. It is not so easy to say what their actual aims are."

    But he says that, too, might change.

    "Essentially, they say what they want is just to get the foreigners out of the country," Giustozzi explains. "But even in the early days, they were claiming that their main aim was to pacify the country and bring back law and order -- not to become a kind of government which would stay in power indefinitely, which, of course, proved not to be correct once they actually took Kabul."

    As for ordinary Taliban foot soldiers, recent research suggests that the Taliban has been recruiting a younger generation of Afghans to carry out suicide attacks and to fight within its rank and file.

    Working for the United Nations Assistance Mission in Afghanistan, Christine Fair last year studied the phenomenon of suicide bombings across Afghanistan. Her work led to important conclusions not only about suicide bombers, but also about the emergence of this new generation of Taliban fighters.

    "The important big picture is Afghans like to tell you that this is a Pakistani phenomenon," Fair says. "As we all know, there is Pakistani involvement. There is recruitment across the border. In the tribal areas, madrasahs figure prominently. But even if Pakistan went away, you still have a largely Afghan-driven insurgency."

    Fair describes the situation as a "cross-border phenomenon," and says that "the insurgency is not going to be resolved if you think that the problem stops either at one side or the other of the Afghan border."

    Her findings are supported by a series of interviews with Taliban fighters in Kandahar Province that was published online last month by the "Toronto Globe And Mail."

    Those interviews suggest NATO air strikes and drug-eradication programs have fed the insurgency in southern Afghanistan. Many Taliban soldiers said their family members had been killed in air strikes or that they had been opium-poppy farmers until their crops were destroyed by drug-eradication teams.

    Some said family members who were killed were innocent civilians. Others admitted that they joined the insurgency to replace older male relatives who were killed while fighting in the Taliban ranks.

    Complex Realities

    Paul Fishstein, the director of the Afghan Research and Evaluation Unit, an independent Kabul-based research organization that receives funding from the United Nations, the European Commission, and other international donors, says that researchers should be careful not to oversimplify the demographics of today's Taliban.

    "We always have to be careful about referring to 'The Taliban,'" Fishstein says. "Often, anything violent -- anything bad that happens -- is attributed to either 'the enemies of Afghanistan' or, more generally, 'The Taliban.'"

    Fishstein concludes that the structure of today's Taliban is complex -- and that foreign researchers often have difficulty understanding the rivalries and local agendas that have contributed to the resurgence of the movement.

    "What we generically refer to as 'The Taliban' is a set of different individuals and groups who have differing grievances, differing motivations, differing attitudes -- and take a hostile attitude toward the [Afghan central] government," Fishstein says. "There's an awful lot of groups out there that either have personal grudges, political grudges, or actually profit from the lack of law and order in the country."

    SOURCE:

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    Two kidnapped Sikhs rescued by local Taliban in NWFP: Report
    27 Apr 2008, 1330 hrs IST,PTI

    ISLAMABAD: Two Sikhs, who were abducted from a district in Pakistan's restive North West Frontier Province, have been rescued by the local Taliban and religious scholars, who decided to publicly hang their nine kidnappers tomorrow to "discourage crimes" in the region.

    Attar Singh and Sehra Singh were kidnapped by a group of criminals from Dowaba in Hangu district. They were freed on Saturday after the intervention of local Taliban, religious scholars and tribal elders, 'The News' daily reported.

    Members of a tribal jirga or council of elders took the two Sikhs back to their homes.

    Sources told the daily that the Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan and local council of clerics had taken nine kidnappers into their custody. One kidnapper was also killed by the Taliban.

    A jirga of religious scholars and local Taliban held at Khadezai area of nearby Aurakzai Agency decided to publicly hang the kidnappers tomorrow to "discourage crimes in the area".

    Maulvi Omar, the spokesman for the Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan, said the Sikhs were taken by their kidnappers from Dowaba in Hangu to Baghu in Aurakzai Agency. The Taliban then conducted an operation yesterday to release them, he said.

    Omar said one of the kidnappers was killed during the operation while their leader, Ghani, was apprehended. The kidnappers will be punished in accordance with Islamic injunctions and operations by the Taliban against anti-social elements will continue in the Aurakzai Agency, he said.

    North West Frontier Province has a small population of Sikhs and members of the minority community run several businesses in the provincial capital Peshawar.

    http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/World/Two_kidnapped_Sikhs_rescued_by_local_Taliban_in_NWFP_Report_/articleshow/2987541.cms

    http://snipurl.com/261y8

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    Seems like a convergence on central theme New al Qaeda Paradigm.

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    Saturday, April 26, 2008

    Leave Taliban alone, Afghan president

    Ethnic groupsImage via Wikipedia

    Leave Taliban alone, Afghan president tells West

    Karzai says US and British troops are undermining his authority and stopping insurgents from laying down their arms

    This article appeared in the Observer on Sunday April 27 2008 on p35 of the World news section. It was last updated at 00:00 on April 27 2008.

    Hamid Karzai, the Afghan president, has called on British and American troops to stop arresting Taliban insurgents in Afghanistan, saying that their operations undermined his government's authority and were counter-productive.

    Well Gee I just don't know what to say? I just didn't expect him to defect to the Taliban.

    The stinging attack, made in an interview with the New York Times published yesterday, is the latest in a series of rows between Western governments with troops in Afghanistan and the elected leader of the country. Western diplomats expressed surprise at the Afghan leader's criticism and the Foreign Office played down the row yesterday.

    'We fully support the Afghan government and continue to work with it, President Karzai and the international community in the interests of the Afghan people and the long-term peace and stability of Afghanistan,' said a spokesman.

    Karzai is facing re-election next year and may be hoping to bolster flagging support with a populist stance.

    Is he playing for the Taliban vote? Is that a viable electorate?

    However, in recent months relations have deteriorated seriously, with Western officials openly doubting the ability of the Afghan president, who was heavily backed by the US and the UK in 2001 after the fall of the Taliban regime, to manage rampant corruption and combat drug trafficking in the war-wracked southwest Asian state.

    Karzai said he wanted American forces to stop arresting suspected Taliban members and their supporters, saying that fear of arrest and their past mistreatment were discouraging them from coming forward to lay down their arms.

    Yes arrest offends their little beheading sensibilities.

    'It has to happen,' he said. 'We have to make sure that when a Talib comes to Afghanistan ... he is safe from arrest by the coalition.'

    'We have to make sure that when a Talib comes to Afghanistan ... he is safe from arrest by the coalition.' isn't that what they are doing in Paki?

    So the Taliban will be safe from arrest in Afghan and Paki.

    Both Afghan and Paki have taken a wild wolf into the house and hope they can train it before it eats them.

    Karzai is the closest thing they have to a wolf trainer, born Pushtun, speaks Pushtun, Dari, Urdu,English and French.

    Briefly supported the Taliban in 2000 before they went extreme fundamentalism then he turned against them.

    His father, Abdul Ahad Karzai was killed by the Taliban in Quetta.

    I want to give him the benefit of doubt but would like to know the Goal.

    Does he know where this road leads. G

    Efforts at winning over Taliban fighters or sympathisers are mired in confusion: Nato allies in Afghanistan are divided over the exact nature of the amnesty or 'reconciliation programme' for insurgents. British policy, despite official insistence that 'there are no negotiations with the Taliban', is to weaken the radical Islamic movement by splitting off foot soldiers tempted by money or misled by tribal chiefs, religious leaders and ideologues from a 'hardcore' of leaders.

    'We fully support efforts to bring disaffected Afghans into society's mainstream, providing they renounce violence and accept Afghanistan's constitution,' said the Foreign Office spokesman. 'We have always said there is no military solution in Afghanistan - a fully comprehensive approach is needed ... and that will involve reconciliation of those Taliban prepared to integrate into the new Afghanistan.'

    However, Washington is more sceptical of such efforts, and has been fiercely critical of some British tactics aimed at winning over key Taliban commanders in the past, as has Karzai himself.

    Karzai also attacked the number of civilian deaths inflicted by the coalition. Although levels of 'collateral damage' inflicted by Nato operations have dropped substantially, deaths still continue. Two women and two children were killed recently in an air raid by Nato troops on a suspected Taliban position after a firefight. Up to 9,000 civilians have died since 2001.

    'I want an end to civilian casualties,' the Afghan president said in the interview. 'And as much as one may argue it's difficult, I don't accept that argument.'

    Relations between Karzai and London were strained last month by the Afghan premier's rejection of Lord Paddy Ashdown, the favoured candidate to take up a post as 'aid tsar' in Kabul with a brief to coordinate the international aid flowing into the country. Karzai blocked the appointment amid negative local press coverage, a historic popular distrust of the British and advisers' fears of a potential crackdown on corruption.

    With casualties and costs mounting and little obvious progress, Western governments are looking increasingly for an exit from Afghanistan, where 94 British servicemen have been killed since 2001. 'Nato now wants a way out which is not failure,' said Mike Williams, of London's Royal United Services Institute. 'They need to redefine the situation which will allow them to leave without failing.'

    A key problem for policymakers is 'battle fatigue' among Western populations. 'We are going to get bored of the war long before the Taliban are,' said one Nato official

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    Karzai will loose the election, the average Afghan knows the Taliban for what it is, Karzai just removed himself from office, who is next in line?

    What in hell is Karzai thinking?
    The Taliban will come in and just lay down their arms if they feel no threat/power?
    I don't understand his Taliban Paradigm.
    Taliban will cut Karzai throat first chance they get.
    DAY after I posted about Taliban willing to cut his throat,
    Taliban attacked him.
    Video: Karzai Escapes Unharmed After Taliban Attack


    USA could accept the Taliban in Afghan and Paki if they
    killed off al Qaeda, otherwise with a nuclear issue in the offing
    USA will have no alternative that to go back to war in Paki and Afghan
    to take out al Qaeda.

    al Qaeda cannot have a safe haven any where in the world to launch attacks against the rest of the world.

    The shape of this paradigm is a no brainer, the diplomats must see this.
    Safe haven is a non starter.

    al Qaeda's silence on these TALIBAN negotiations is DEAFENING.

    USA force will continue to be applied against al Qaeda and the Taliban
    unless the Taliban gives up al Qaeda.
    Biny doesn't trust the Taliban, when he was in trouble in Tora Bora he split his forces, separating the Taliban off from himself.

    al Qaeda's developing new Survival Paradigm.

    al Qaeda continues to experience heavy losses and fears USA Military and are allowing the negotiations with their tacit silence/approval.
    al Qaeda is concerned with survival, huge losses in Iraq and Afghan and
    Paki, loss of key cadre.

    Intel is on their tails, they know who is tracking them and their time is limited. Its a matter of time before their hide aways are visited by a rain of hellfire rockets.

    al Qaeda is looking for a way out, breathing space, some R&R.
    Top al Qaeda cadre have been in a very Black covert security operation for six years, and its getting heavy and they are short money, men and suicide bombers, and webmasters. And Biny is in terminal stages of his disease.

    Olde Zee's load is too heavy and showed signs of desperation in his last
    town hall meeting, with weak arguments that run counter to the Koran
    and logic and reason. al Qaeda's killing of Moslems women children blowing up mosques and market places has roused Allah's anger.
    Watch what happens.


    Gerald
    Anthropologist


    Update: Is the Taliban evolving a new paradigm?

    Negotiate PEACE with Afghan and Paki so the Taliban and al Qaeda have a safe base of operations, in these states to conduct terrorism?

    WE quit suicide bombings in your countrys and WE don't get arrested, and get immunity for past acts. And a free hand to operate outside your borders.

    G

    .




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    Friday, April 11, 2008

    TALIBAN pinned:

    Northrop Grumman RQ-4 Global HawkImage by James Gordon via FlickrU.S. Needs Taliban to Regain Afghanistan

    Eye on the Arab Media

    New America Media, News analysis, Jalal Ghazi, Posted: Apr 10, 2008

    Editor's Note: The Taliban have changed their tactics in order to capitalize on anti-occupation sentiment in Afghanistan. Now Arab media commentators say the United States and NATO will have to negotiate with a resurgent Taliban in order to reassert control over Afghanistan writes Arab media monitor Jalal Ghazi. Ghazi is the associate producer of the Peabody Award-winning show Mosaic: World News from the Middle East, and writer of the column "Eye on Arab Media" for New America Media.

    The Taliban are back and stronger and more popular than ever.

    THE TALIBAN ARE NOT POPULAR WITH ALL THEIR SUICIDE BOMBERS, MOST ARE FED Up WITH THE TALIBAN.G

    NATO and the United States will soon have no choice but to negotiate with them six years after driving them out of Kabul. That's the impression one gets from reading Arab media on the war in Afghanistan.

    The Afghan government, led by President Hamid Karzai and backed by the United States and NATO, does not even have full control of Kabul. Basdir Ghafuri, a former professor at Kabul University, told the London-based Arab News Broadcast (ANB) in February 2008, "NATO and the U.S. forces have even failed to establish security in Kabul."

    The Afghan people have lost confidence in NATO and the United States. Journalist and political writer Ahmad Asfahani told ANB, "There is a large segment of the Afghan people who will not accept the presence of occupation forces in Afghanistan and will not accept a government that is linked to the occupation." Many Afghans do not see much difference between today's occupation and that of the British in the 19th century or the Soviets from 1979 to 1989.

    NOTE: HE PROVIDES NO STATS FOR THIS CLAIM JUST HIS OPINION, MANY OR A FEW?
    MOST WANT PEACE AND GOOD ECONOMY, NOT TALIBAN SUICIDE BOMBINGS, WHICH RUN COUNTER TO THE AFGHAN CULTURE, AND DONE ONLY BY ARABS.G

    The Taliban has capitalized on this anti-occupation sentiment by establishing itself as the main resistance force against the occupation. Many Afghans are now willing to overlook the Taliban's rigid interpretation of Islam. "The Taliban movement is no longer just a former regime. It rather represents a large segment of the Afghan population regardless of whether we agree [with its ideology] or not," said Asfahani.

    Some of the reasons may have to do with the evolution of the Taliban in the last several years. For example, Afghan writer Musbah Alah Abdel Baki wrote on Al Jazeera's website, "The Taliban focus their attacks on NATO, and avoid attacking the government forces or institutions. They also do not interfere with schools or relief agencies. They usually ask the Afghan forces to stay away from NATO forces so they wouldn't get hurt when NATO is attacked."

    THE SUICIDE BOMBINGS OF CIVILIANS WOULD SEEM TO PROVE THAT A LIE.G

    Another commentator, Muhna al Habil, recently wrote for Islam Today's website that the Taliban's Mullah Omar has evolved as a leader. "The statements and speeches made by Mullah Omar prohibited attacks on civilians and condemned attacks on mosques," wrote al Habil.

    According to al Habil, Mullah Mansoor Dadullah, the commander for southern Afghanistan, was relieved of his command by Mullah Omar because of his willingness to take money from Arab fighters. This is an indication that the Taliban is trying to operate independently from Al Qaeda.

    THE ACTIONS OF ANY HOST WHO IS TURNED ON BY A GUEST.G

    This could also allow the Western powers to negotiate with the Taliban as a way to attempt to restore stability to Afghanistan. Arab media experts say the war of attrition launched by the Taliban is really aimed at forcing the United States and NATO to the negotiating table.

    Though the Taliban insist that they will not negotiate unless the occupation forces leave Afghanistan, Ahmad Asfahani believes that they are just playing tough. The Taliban know that they need NATO to return to power. At the same time, the West has reached the conclusion that they can't win the war in Afghanistan militarily and will have to use political and economic venues to find a resolution.

    TALIBAN WILL NEVER "RETURN TO POWER" THE UMMAH WON'T ALLOW IT.G

    NATO-led forces have risen from 33,000 troops in January 2007 to 47,000 in March to confront the increasing attacks by the Taliban. But this number is not enough to win the war. Only three of the 26 NATO countries are willing to send their troops to direct conflict areas in southern Afghanistan.

    This means that NATO and U.S. forces have no choice but to negotiate with Taliban to end the fighting. The United States has already proposed the idea of negotiating with the Taliban according to Muhammad Aatif, head of the Afghan Association for Reform and Social Development. He told ANB in August 2007 that the Afghan and Pakistani presidents met for three days in Kabul and 50 members of the Loya Jirga tribal council were selected to negotiate with the Taliban and their supporters. The meeting, he said, had the support of the United States.

    KILL THE TAKIBAN OR THEY negotiate. USA HAS CHOICES.G

    On the British side, Hani al-Sibai, director of the London-based al-Maqreze Center of Historical Studies, told ANB that he believes the British who have been doing much of the fighting have been simply making deals with the Taliban and handing some areas back to them. "An agreement was made between the British and the Taliban," Al-Sibai said, "in which Musa Qala was handed over to the Taliban forces."

    AGAIN FALSE, MUSA QALA IS NOT IN THE TALIBANS HANDS.G

    The United States did the same thing in Iraq when they handed Fallujah over to a Ba'ath general after intensive fighting did not establish control of the city. Today former Ba'ath leaders are leading Awakening Councils, or Sahwa, against Al Qaeda. Could the Taliban do the same in Afghanistan for the Americans?



    Middle East

    Articles by Jalal Ghazi

    http://news.ncmonline.com/news/view_article.html

    http://snipurl.com/244sj

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    Jalai has the cart infront of the horse.

    The taliban are being attrited, the pressure increases daily on the Taliban to come to the table.

    Once the Taliban feels enough pain they will
    start negotiating.
    Mullah Mansoor Dadullah was relieved of command, NOT.
    Omar is upset the Paki Taliban would not buckle under to al Qaeda in Afghan and send troops to rescue them in Afghan.

    The Taliban realize their struggle is not global but local to the region.

    The Guest has turned against the Host.
    al Qaeda against the Taliban.

    Taliban continue to come to its senses.

    Gerald

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