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    Thursday, May 22, 2008

    Major World Paradigm Shift

    Wheat prices:


    Hubbert peak graph showing the world's oil production peak.Image via WikipediaPeak oil and its effects on the shape of USA's future Military forces.

    Peak oil is the point in time when the maximum rate of global petroleum production is reached, after which the rate of production enters its terminal decline. If global consumption is not mitigated before the peak, an energy crisis may develop because the availability of conventional oil will drop and prices will rise, perhaps dramatically. M. King Hubbert first used the theory in 1956 to accurately predict that United States oil production would peak between 1965 and 1970. His logistic model, now called Hubbert peak theory, has since been used to predict the peak petroleum production of many other countries, and has also proved useful in other limited-resource production-domains. According to the Hubbert model, the production rate of a limited resource will follow a roughly symmetrical bell-shaped curve based on the limits of exploitability and market pressures.

    Image:Hubbert peak oil plot.svg

    Something this chart doesn't show is the relationship of Oil Price to increasing demand and decreasing supply.

    The increasing price of oil has a multiple effect on the price of food, in terms of fertilizer, and production costs and delivery costs.

    We have see this already in the price of wheat from $3.75 a bushel to a high of over $12 a bushel.

    There are psyops in play now blaming USA for the price increases in food, and starvation in some countrys.

    USA must mount its own major internet operation explaining the source and cause of these prices increases.

    Or we face a "FOOD" al Qaeda in our future, and a hungry man is much easier to recruit to insurgency.

    The social destabilization caused by the lack of affordable basic life needs, food, shelter ( heating ) and transportation will cause civil wars and the over throw of many third world governments.

    Some will be USA allies which may call the USA to defend these regimes, which portends more of the same warfare as we have in Paki and Iraq.

    Globalization will also contribute the the decline in living standards in America, and severe stress on the social security systems as basic living costs continue to escalate.

    The Military paradigm for the foreseeable future will be small wars with major threats from non state entities seeking nuclear arms.

    Insurgents with starving families will be a formidable adversary and al Qaeda has established the paradigm for 5GW.

    USA needs to be in the planning stages to handle this new paradigm in the form of cheap food stuffs and Military counter measures.

    We can see it comming, What are we going to do to prepare?

    Winning their hearts and minds is eaiser and cheaper than killing them.

    USA's "hearts and minds" paradigm is in absymial disarray.
    A fundemental basic requirrment is communication, currently the Google translation engine, doesn't cover many of the most critical languages
    needed most right now, Pashton, and Persian.

    USA can't win hearts and minds if they can't talk to them en mass.

    Gerald
    Internet Anthropologist, ad Magnum


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    Sunday, December 30, 2007

    Shoring up the Banking System


    Shoring up the Banking System

    December 19, 2007
    Author:

    Shoring up the Banking System

    Banks fear runs of the sort seen earlier this year at Britain's Northern Rock bank. (Press Association via AP Images/John Giles)

    It’s not so often that central banks team up. This month, for the first time since 9/11, they did just that when the U.S. Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank (ECB), and three other major banks announced they would attempt to coordinate (Reuters) their responses to global credit concerns. The ECB and the Swiss National Bank said they would provide more loans in dollars (FT). The U.S. Fed, for its part, took a page from the playbook of several European central banks, setting up an auction facility (MarketWatch) through which banks can lend each other emergency funds. Commercial banks have expressed hesitancy about the process of taking short-term loans from the Fed’s discount window—the place where such funds are ordinarily doled out—due to the public stigma and possible share price implications associated with taking a loan. The new scheme aims to better cloak the process, allowing banks that aren’t at risk of collapsing—but need need short-term loans—to get them anonymously.

    The news of the varying plans brought mixed reaction from economists. Martin Wolf writes in the Financial Times that “central banks must be pretty worried to take such a joint action.

    SOURCE: MORE.Council on Foreign Relations

    More: world money markets, ( Secret War? )

    G
    WHO IS WITH DRAWING THE LIQUIDITY?
    WHO IS REMOVING/WITHDRAWING THE CASH? into Gold?
    THEY MUST KNOW.
    Somebody is buying a lot of Gold.
    UPDATE 2-Gold nears record-high on dollar, Pakistan turmoil
    DOES THIS HAVE AN "ASYMMETRIC" SMELL?
    .
    .

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