Assessing the ME nuclear threat/risk

By Gerald; Internet Anthropologist think Tank

Oct 21, 08

The nuclear threat in the middle East runs along 3 vectors, Iran, al Qaeda and the Caucuses.

Iran there can be no doubt about their intentions, they have made it plain they will do a underground

nuke test as soon as they have a weapon.

When Iran is attacked there is a possibility of a hand off of Nuclear materials to other terror groups

in countrys near Israel and even to al Qaeda.

al Qaeda is prusuing nuclear information our BSU have indications,

And shiptments of radio active materials have been intercepted in the Caucuses.

We have picked up intel, noise and chatter about an attack in USA, but it has been minimal, and not authortive.

Iran is ringed with anti-missile bases, and confidence is high anything they put in the air can be knocked down.

Confidence is less high of other nuclear smuggling by Qods to terrorist groups, as a fall back plan.

The destruction of Iran is not a deterent in Irans plan, it is part of their plan to bring on the 13 Imam.

And an accetptable loss.

MAD ( mutual assured destruction ) is not an preventive option with Iran, for Iran it is an acceptable result.

The President of Iran is an "Ithna Asharia", A "TWELVER" and if one of 'them' has A finger on the button IT WILL GET PRESSED.

They are inclined to believe pushing the button will bring the 13th Imam who is hidden and he will return as the Mahdi to restore Islam as the dominant faith, a new golden era for Islam.

Think suicide bomber, bigger scale.

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US intelligence: Iran will be able to build first nuclear bomb by February

DEBKAfile Exclusive Report

October 21, 2008, 1:37 PM (GMT+02:00)

US intelligence’s amended estimate, that Iran will be ready to build its first bomb just one month after the next US president is sworn in, is disclosed by DEBKAfile’s Washington sources as having been relayed as a guideline to the Middle East teams of both presidential candidates, Senators John McCain and Barack Obama. The information prompted the assertion by Democratic vice presidential nominee Joseph Biden in Seattle Sunday, Oct. 19: “It will not be six months before the world tests Barack Obama like they did John Kennedy.”

Israel has (nearly) run out of time. 
More...

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al Qaeda still has nuclear ambitions, and may have found what they were doing research on.

Internet Anthropologist Think Tank: Al Qaeda has nuclear ambitions.

Possible paradigms here are a dirty bomb from materials captured or stolen in the Caucuses. Our BSU and paradigm intel indicate al Qaeda has aquired the nuke info they were after, I will post any change in that status.G.

Remote possibility of a stolen finished product or hand off from Iran of materials.

G

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his report from BBC is officially the most frightening news ofthe day ...

employees of Pakistan's atomic energy agency have been abducted in the country's restive north-western region abutting the Afghan border, police say.

The technicians went missing on the same day as Pakistan's ambassador to Afghanistan, Tariq Azizuddin, was reportedly abducted in the same region.

Mr Azizuddin had been going overland from the city of Peshawar to Kabul.

From  

2/12/2008 06:26:00 PM




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A nuclear Iran will mean a nuclear arms race in the ME, and will take Irans offensive and aggressive actions to new levels.
If Iran gets a nuke paradigm Intel suggests they will export the nuke technology to S America, Syria.




Internet Anthropologist Think Tank: should the Mujahideen use a nuke?

Internet Anthropologist Think Tank: Al Qaeda has nuclear ambitions.

Internet Anthropologist Think Tank: From Arabic forum, AQ "nuke bag







G

USS Whidbey, "Landing Ship" in ME

US amphibious dock landing ship USS Whidbey Island deploys to Fifth Fleet headquartered in Bahrain

October 3, 2007, 9:50 PM (GMT+02:00)

The vessel departed Oct. 1 on its mission in the Fifth Fleet area of command, which encompasses the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Aden, Red Sea, Gulf of Oman, Arabian Sea and part of the Indian Ocean. On the decks of the Whidbey Island are a crew of more than 400 sailors, 500 marines and four air cushion landing craft.

Source

When USA leaves Iraq = WAR. Al Qaeda vs Iran

When USA does leave Iran it will be Persians vs Arabs.
Sunni vs Shiite.
Which is why the Arabs want AQ out of their countries but fund them in Iraq.
It keeps USA power in check and trains Arab fighters for war after USA leaves.
Qods vs Al qaeda

Iran has infiltrated Iraq
http://warintel.blogspot.com/2007/05/irans-qods-ramazan-base.html

Iraq thinks they will have the edge as they hope to have a Nuke by the time
USA leaves Iraq.

The Iraqi security forces are infiltrated with both Sunni and Shiite agents.

AQ is in place to take on the Iranians when USA leaves,

Need some proof?

Editor of Kuwaiti Daily: Arab Countries Must Join Forces to Counter Iranian Threat

In an article published in the Kuwaiti daily Al-Siyassa and in the English-language Kuwaiti daily Arab Times, the editor-in-chief of both papers, Ahmad Al-Jarallah, wrote that Iran was increasingly taking control of countries in the Middle East - including Gaza, Iraq, Lebanon, Egypt and the Gulf states - in order to strengthen its position in future negotiations with the U.S. over its nuclear program. In his article, he said that Arab countries must convene a summit to counter this threat, and must "hit the head of the snake in Tehran."

The following are excerpts from the Arab Times article, in the original English: [1]

"Tehran Will Gain Complete Control Over Iraq When the U.S.-Led Coalition Forces Leave Iraqi Soil"

"The entire Arab world is in danger, after becoming the epicenter of Iran's policies. Iranian dictator Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's aggressive policies confirm our fears. Many issues which concern only Arabs have now fallen into the hands of Iran. After Hamas, using weapons, separated Gaza from the West Bank, the Palestinian issue has become a property of Tehran.

"By seizing control of Nouri Al-Maliki's government, Iran has made Iraq a pawn in its hands. As a result, Iran is in a position where it can match the presence of the Unites States in Iraq. In other words, Tehran will gain complete control over Iraq when the U.S.-led coalition forces leave Iraqi soil.

"The issue of Lebanon, which is fighting for freedom, sovereignty and independence, has also become a trump card for Iran due to Hizbullah, which played the role of a Trojan horse in allowing Tehran's influence to sneak into the Lebanese fort.

"Currently, Iran is trying to extend its aggressive policies to all the Gulf countries and to Egypt, in a bid to use this economically vital region as an ace up its sleeve in its negotiations with the United States, when the time comes. This raises the question: Why are Arab countries not taking any steps or holding a summit to wrest control of these issues, which essentially belong to them? Arab countries have not done anything except send the secretary-general of the Arab League, Amr Moussa, to Lebanon, where he achieved nothing."

"The Battle is No Longer [Only] Between Iran and the U.S. - It Now Includes... All Arab Countries"

"Leaders of all Arab countries should hold a summit to prevent Iran from stealing Arab issues. They should tell Tehran to focus on its internal affairs instead of interfering in the affairs of other countries.

"The battle is no longer between Iran and the United States. It now includes Iran, Israel and all Arab countries... Whenever the U.S. forces Iran into a corner over its nuclear program, Tehran works hard to shift this battle to Arab countries.

"All Arab countries, except Syria, are convinced that Iran has stolen their issues. Iran's policies, which were active in Palestine, Iraq and Lebanon, are now expanding to Egypt and the Gulf states. We cannot forget the three islands which rightfully belong to the United Arab Emirates; the recent assault on a Kuwaiti diplomat in Tehran; or who made the Palestinians die twice - once at the hands of the Israelis and a second time at the hands of their own brothers. Are these not reasons enough to hold an Arab summit, and hit the head of the snake in Tehran without any fear?"

http://www.memri.org/bin/opener_latest.cgi?ID=SD165107

http://tinyurl.com/2wke8e

Arabs know they have a mad rottweiler in their midst, AQ but can they keep it on a chain?
or will it attack them too.

Gerald

ALERT: WE ARE TRACKING ALL OF YOU, 5 TODAY, 6 YESTERDAY.
Heavy cyber weapons team on alert, tracking team armed.

G

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Back ground, Inside Intel, ME interactive, powers..

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/17722026

Excellent, interesting, logical, much clear...
Thanks

Gerald