Assessing the ME nuclear threat/risk

By Gerald; Internet Anthropologist think Tank

Oct 21, 08

The nuclear threat in the middle East runs along 3 vectors, Iran, al Qaeda and the Caucuses.

Iran there can be no doubt about their intentions, they have made it plain they will do a underground

nuke test as soon as they have a weapon.

When Iran is attacked there is a possibility of a hand off of Nuclear materials to other terror groups

in countrys near Israel and even to al Qaeda.

al Qaeda is prusuing nuclear information our BSU have indications,

And shiptments of radio active materials have been intercepted in the Caucuses.

We have picked up intel, noise and chatter about an attack in USA, but it has been minimal, and not authortive.

Iran is ringed with anti-missile bases, and confidence is high anything they put in the air can be knocked down.

Confidence is less high of other nuclear smuggling by Qods to terrorist groups, as a fall back plan.

The destruction of Iran is not a deterent in Irans plan, it is part of their plan to bring on the 13 Imam.

And an accetptable loss.

MAD ( mutual assured destruction ) is not an preventive option with Iran, for Iran it is an acceptable result.

The President of Iran is an "Ithna Asharia", A "TWELVER" and if one of 'them' has A finger on the button IT WILL GET PRESSED.

They are inclined to believe pushing the button will bring the 13th Imam who is hidden and he will return as the Mahdi to restore Islam as the dominant faith, a new golden era for Islam.

Think suicide bomber, bigger scale.

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US intelligence: Iran will be able to build first nuclear bomb by February

DEBKAfile Exclusive Report

October 21, 2008, 1:37 PM (GMT+02:00)

US intelligence’s amended estimate, that Iran will be ready to build its first bomb just one month after the next US president is sworn in, is disclosed by DEBKAfile’s Washington sources as having been relayed as a guideline to the Middle East teams of both presidential candidates, Senators John McCain and Barack Obama. The information prompted the assertion by Democratic vice presidential nominee Joseph Biden in Seattle Sunday, Oct. 19: “It will not be six months before the world tests Barack Obama like they did John Kennedy.”

Israel has (nearly) run out of time. 
More...

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al Qaeda still has nuclear ambitions, and may have found what they were doing research on.

Internet Anthropologist Think Tank: Al Qaeda has nuclear ambitions.

Possible paradigms here are a dirty bomb from materials captured or stolen in the Caucuses. Our BSU and paradigm intel indicate al Qaeda has aquired the nuke info they were after, I will post any change in that status.G.

Remote possibility of a stolen finished product or hand off from Iran of materials.

G

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his report from BBC is officially the most frightening news ofthe day ...

employees of Pakistan's atomic energy agency have been abducted in the country's restive north-western region abutting the Afghan border, police say.

The technicians went missing on the same day as Pakistan's ambassador to Afghanistan, Tariq Azizuddin, was reportedly abducted in the same region.

Mr Azizuddin had been going overland from the city of Peshawar to Kabul.

From  

2/12/2008 06:26:00 PM




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A nuclear Iran will mean a nuclear arms race in the ME, and will take Irans offensive and aggressive actions to new levels.
If Iran gets a nuke paradigm Intel suggests they will export the nuke technology to S America, Syria.




Internet Anthropologist Think Tank: should the Mujahideen use a nuke?

Internet Anthropologist Think Tank: Al Qaeda has nuclear ambitions.

Internet Anthropologist Think Tank: From Arabic forum, AQ "nuke bag







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