Internet Anthropologist Think Tank: 1/30/11 - 2/6/11

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    Sunday, January 30, 2011

    Next Blood in Egyptian streets.

    More of our INTEL


    Egyptian protesters full of good will and elated like boyscouts on a jamboree .
    But hanging out in the streets isn't a method to get Mubarak to step down.
    The demonstrators have no plan or strategy to bring Mubarak down.
    Demonstrations are not enough, a week and people go home,need Gandhi 
    and MLK tactics, they took on America, and the British empire and won.
    Just marching thru the streets en-mass won't do, it we have seen that 
    fail in Iran.

    Already many declaring victory or at least they are winning in Tweets.
    Waving flags and singing songs. Thus far they haven't won any thing.

    While Mubarak shuts off water, and cuts off food and supplies.

    And prepares for the next round.
    Blood in the streets, his thugs are instructed to force
    the demonstrators back to their homes by blunt force
    trauma if necessary, and some snipers to kill protesters
    and scare them off the streets, which they will blame on
    the looters, and start a big investigation, maybe even make
    some fake arrests.
    I dread the next Egyptian Nada.

    Paradigm Intel indicates they will declare peace established
    and send the Army back to their bases and bring in the police,
    security agents and street thugs, to do a number on the 
    Demonstrators.

    Most Governments know what is coming and have called
    all their citizens home, US, Turkey, Iraq, Switzerland urge 
    citizens to leave Egypt: Belgium, India, Philippines, China also.



    " Muslim Brotherhood figure tells me on phone this new govt 
    is a "war government" & that MB is preparing for the worst"

    The Government has just re-dispatched security agents through the
    country.  interior minister met with security officials and told them to 
    redeploy everywhere except in Tahrir sq. & to avoid the protesters

    The protesters have no Idea whats coming.
    Some quotes:
    These are representative of the mood of the demonstrators.

    "in short there is simply no way any of these people will go home
    and stop protesting without mubarak stepping down first"

    "This is something everyone has to know, I have never felt safer,
    well protected in my country as i did today"

    "but right now what happens next is determined by what the protesters want/will accept
    regime will fall, a new constitution will be written and free elections will be held, the demands of the people will be met"

    "we are winning seriously"

     "we don't need to look anywhere, the egyptian revolution is winning already"

     "but even this violent reaction has been limited to attacking police stations where torture was rampant"



    Mubarak has been ruler for 30 yrs and the naivete of the protesters is amazing.
    Its like a memory lapse. Many police were killed and we expect retribution
    when they return, Blood in the Streets.



    I pray our assessment is wrong, 100% wrong.


    Gerald
    Anthropologist


    Mubarak's Game plan

    Wider view Thomas P.M. Barnett 
    U vote; What you think will happen;
    not what you want to happen.
    http://www.wikistrat.com/war-room/

    .

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    Saturday, January 29, 2011

    Mubarak's Game plan.

    More of our INTEL

    Mubarak's Game plan.



    Paradigm Intel: Egyptian Paradigm.

    Mubarak is opting for a "Iranian Option."

    Iran was also taken by surprise by a popular uprising.
    Scared the hell out of the Iranian regime also.
    The Regimes response was to try and cut the
    demonstrators Command and Control, limiting WWW
    access and cutting off phones.
    Then they unleashed the Basiji.

    The Basiji were charged with killing and maiming enough
    demonstrators to stop or slow the demonstrations.
    Remember Neda Agha Soltan 
    Warning Graphic Murder:

    And then they arrested the opposition leaders,
    and replaced or weakened any showing any support 
    for the demonstrators.

    And Iran was able to emasculate the Green party.
    Turning the opposition to the regime into Jello.


    Egypt will too have its Neda.
    Mubarak will use the Army which the 
    people respect to restore order,
    and use the time to regroup and plan.

    He will then call Army off the streets
    and release a new group of hard line
    thugs to intimidate the people.

    And Mubarak has the support of most
    Arab Capitals. While this is NOT a religious
    uprising it is concentrated in Islamic countrys.

    Muslims are finding their voices and demanding
    freedom and democracy.
    They have seen the failure of the Terrorist paradigm,
    and elected a Gandhi type approach.

    Gandhi cast out one of the most powerful empires
    in the world, drove them out of India.
    And gained independence.

    Islam has yet to fully understand Gandhi's methods,
    Philosophy, non-violent confrontation.
    Mohandas Karamchand Gandhi was the pre-eminent 
    political and ideological leader of India during the 
    Indian independence movement. 


    And Martin Luther King, who confronted
    the American Government and changed America.

    Both were using the same approximate paradigm
    and employed it very successfully against very
    powerful adversaries and prevailed.

    Iranian Green movement failed because of this lack
    of a coherent paradigm.
    And Egypt's peoples movement has the same flaw.





    The only paradigm the Islamic peoples partys
    have with a chance of success is an Philosophy
    of  non-violent confrontation, and to date
    there is no evidence of such a stratagem.

    Tunisia was a successful operation, because the
    Military intervened on behalf of the people.
    Egypt has a slim chance of pulling off a Military
    coup d'état, Mubarak will not put the Military
    on the people, he will use them to restore order
    pull them out and send in his thugs.

    The Arab regimes face change, its inevitable,
    they fear the insurgent paradigm but its an
    animal they know and are some what comfortable
    with.

    This new "Marching" Paradigm is new.
    And they are very uncomfortable with it,
    and apply counter insurgent tools against it.
    They Crack down.
    The Arab regimes are simply tightening down
    a pressure cooker that will Blow eventually.

    As real world leaders they must adopt change,
    to slowly release the pressure, change the 
    power structure, and truly democratize their 
    countries.

    ( There are movements/powers afoot world Governments
    are still adopting to, learning of, the WWW has enabled
    massive crowd sourcing, and force multipliers like Anonymous.
    And a demonstrated power in the making exceeding that of US Military.
    Effective Regime change. )

    Other wise they are despots setting on a 
    power keg, not leaders.

    This paradigm will work its self out in a 
    partnership in the Arab nations.
    Between the people and the kings.
    Each beating the other into a middle
    ground leading to democracy, and
    Free Muslims.

    The wise leaders will move towards
    this goal, the faster the less painful for
    the regimes and people it will be.

    The Arab people are working out their
    paradigm for change, and many will die

    The Arab regimes are working on crack
    downs and many leaders will suffer heavily
    in the eyes history for all time.

    Despot or enlightened ruler?
    Change is in the wind and can't be stopped.
    They can slow it or take charge and speed it
    up, Control it.

    Surprisingly  it looks like mankind still
    marches towards enlightenment.

    The world take me by a pleasant surprise,
    AGAIN.



    Gerald




    Wider view Thomas P.M. Barnett 
    U vote; What you think will happen;
    not what you want to happen.


    .

    UPDATE: 02.07.11
    Mubarak moves to Infowar stage.
    Blame demonstrations for loss of profits, tourists,etc.
    Blame protesters and round up leaders, intimidate
    injure instill fear.
    Wait out media, how long will demonstrators keep
    world press attention.
    Wait for it to cool down, quietly remove key protesters.
    Big error on regimes part, shut off WWW.
    That didn't match what state TV and news were
    saying, alerted entire Egyptian population
    something big was going on and doubled
    or tripled number of demonstrators.


    Threatened Obama with deadly crack
    down on Egyptian people if kept pressuring
    on quiting NOW.


    Mubarak planning to keep his power structure
    in place. And rule by proxy.


    Evidence he is not sincere about leaving.
    Case against Mubarak: deceits after he agreed to step down.




    Doomed Uprising: Revolution,a Microcosm of the Arab Masses' Quest for a Share in Power and Resources  


    G


    .



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    Friday, January 28, 2011

    Work arounds for Egyptian Gov Web shut off

    More of our INTEL

    Syria:
    Dial up access for : +46850009990 +492317299993 +4953160941030 user:telecomix password:telecomix by

    Internet Anthropologist Think Tank: 
    Field treatment of war wounds, FIRST AID 




    شرکت يا عدم شرکت در انتخابات مجلس - سوالي که ديگر خنده دار نمي دانم 




    الانثروبولوجيا الإنترنت مفكرين : كن على البحث عن  BOLOs


    Internet Anthropologist Think Tank: three Twitter BOLO's Be On the Look Out


    Internet Anthropologist Think Tank:"Demonstrators Portal " SECURITY,MEDICAL,COMMUNICATION 



    During jamming Al Jazeera English can be watched on
    Hotbird 13E Frequency: 11034 Vertical FEC: 3/4 Symbol rate: 27500
    Badr4/Eurobird 2 (26East) Frequency : 11680.8 Horizontal; SR: 27.5: FEC: 3/4
    Nilesat/ Atlantic Bird4A (7West) Frequency: 11393 Vertical; SR:27.5; FEC :3/4
    During jamming, Al Jazeera Arabic can be watched on Nilesat 7W Frequency: 11555 Vertical FEC: 3/4 Symbol rate: 27500
    You can watch Al Jazeera English live stream directly on our website.
    See also: Satellite frequencies and full details of carriers on cable and ADSL.

    FOR THOSE WITHOUT INTERNET, TEXT TO +31624961351 / +390662207294 / +442033184514


    Dutch ISP provider XS4ALL has set up an internet dial-up for +31205350535 user / pass: xs4all


    +4923197844321 - User/Pass telecomix/telecomix , free internet for ! 

    Nour DSL is still working in Egypt, Dial up with 0777 7776 or 07777 666

    IP addresses for social media: pass on to people in : Twitter: 128.242.240.52. Facebook: 69.63.189.34  Google: 72.14.204.99 

    how to circumvent the communications blackout in  Arabic 

     frequenciesfor   PLEASE SPREAD IRC: 

    Ham Radio Software software for PC, Mac and Linux Communicate w/ 

    189.129.67.78:443 04FD6AE46E95F1E46B5264528C48EA84DB10CAC4 <- Tor Bridge

     there is an Old DSL Dialup 24564600

    Send SMS reports to +1 949 209 7559 and they will retweet for you. Please spread to Egyptians on battlefield

     hams are on 7.050-7.200 MHz LSB

    Egypt Gov only blocking by DNS. So for Twitter try 128.242.245.148 Facebook 69.63.189.11 Proxy

    VPN Server  is now stable and open for FREE to ALL 

    Help the Egypt Revolutionaries by overcoming the Firewall:

    0m band, 7.050-7.20­0 MHz LSB, 318.5 degrees (northwest­/north from cairo) Ham Radio Operators


    We are now providing dialup modem service at +46850009990. user/pass: telecomix/telecomix (only for , respect that please!).


    People of Egypt! Use this dial-up provided by friends in France 2 go online: +33172890150 (login 'toto' password 'toto')


    OTHER LAND LINES:


    Vodafone Customers in : change your Message Center Number from +20105996500 to +20105996713 to send SMS


    Al Jazeera has setup a hotline for emergencies. if you're in 
    , and need help, call +97444888873


    Msg on Al Jazeera: Our signal has been cut: new frequency is 10949V SR: 27500 FEC:3/4


    : Those wishing to depart via USG chartered transportation should contact us: EgyptEmergencyUSC@state.gov or 1-202-501-4444.


    Missing Persons list:




    Many courtesy of Anonymous.

    G

    My tweet: We are picking up some noise and chatter about a military take over in Egypt, NOTHING confirmed, Prez AWOL over an hour late for speech, G 3:00 pm est 01.28.10


    My tweet: Egyptian authorities were holding talks to establish a "transitional government," 4:00 pm est 01.28.10


    My Tweet: Wafd party:period of transitional rule, new parliamentary elections and amendments, constitution limiting presidential terms 4:05 est pm 01.28.10


    Current Gov failed to convince him to step down and are being replaced for
    their efforts.


    If your only reading the Blog your only getting half our Intel.
    Read http://twitter.com/#!/Geraldanthro




    Mubarak's Game plan:
    .


    How to Treat Gunshot & Knife Wounds




    Internet Anthropologist Think Tank: 
    Field treatment of war wounds, FIRST AID 

    Operations Security, PC, Cell phone etc, English, Arabic.


    Organize on Facebook Securely | Movements.org demonstrators, -


    EXCLUSIVE: Paradigm Intel on Libyan Operation


    We welcome sources,secure, encrypted,cloaked communications channel will be set up for you 
    .





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    Egypt live streams of demonstration

    More of our INTEL

    http://english.aljazeera.net/watch_now/

    Breaking , will be updated: G


     Security running down demonstrator, swerved to hit him.



     Weapon Gas launcher taken from Security truck.


     Demonstrators driving sec van BACK.

    Egyptian Army vech, in Cairo greeted with Flowers by demonstrators.
    Cairo heating up

    Rock throwing.

    Demonstration stopping for prayers.

     lining up for prayers. Police in front of protesters.
    Hundreds of troop trucks and sec vans.
    Thousands of reinforcements arrive in Cairo
    Click to enlarge.
     Attempt to burn troop transport, also tried to over turn it, dump in into nile, failed
    Second attempt to set troop carier on fire Same truck Try to set tire on fire.

     Success.
    Same truck
     Same truck.

    Ruling national dem party building on fire.
    People cheer Military.


      on IRC. Join us now  (SSL Webchat) 
    BS joke. kicking people off for fun, cluster F**k, G


    G

    Paradigm review, new power.
    http://warintel.blogspot.com/2011/01/egypt-desperate-cuts-off-own-nose.html

    Com work arounds for Egyptian shut off of WWW.

    .

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    PBS tape, Wall St Banks cause of economic crash

    More of our INTEL

    Just as we have been telling you, PBS tape: Wall St Banks behind economic crash.


    Financial Crisis Commission Divided Over Causes, Culprits Behind Meltdown.


    Wall St Banks have GOP on leash, bought and owned.





    http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/business/jan-june11/financial_01-27.html

    Our Backgrounder:
    To be clear this recession/depression 
    is world wide AND can be back 
    tracked to the Wall St Banks criminal 
    activities.
    Sub-prime fraud started a world wide
    credit collapse and accelerated the housing
    crash and massive layoffs as it dominoed
    through the economy. While the Banks
    with hold credit from American Businesses.
    Extending and expanding the economic slow down.
    Prison for Bankers? NO
    Wall Street Banks rewarded for causing Depression.
    Not even an Investigation, Billion $ bonuses,
    yes, $700 B inTax breaks, yes, Bailouts yes AND:

    Total Immunity for Wall St Banks criminal activities, NO limit to their impunity
    or limit on stealing and defrauding American citizens.
    Wall St Banks defraud American troops on the front line in the GWOT.
    Source:

    Total Immunity for Wall St Banks criminal activities


    GOP, It wasn't the fault of our MASTERS, the Wall St Banks.
    ( Voted NO on unemp benefits during recession and yes, on
    $700 billion Tax break for Wall St Billionaire Bankers, G )
    Who U vote 4? 

    G

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