Mubarak's Game plan.

More of our INTEL

Mubarak's Game plan.

Paradigm Intel: Egyptian Paradigm.

Mubarak is opting for a "Iranian Option."

Iran was also taken by surprise by a popular uprising.

Scared the hell out of the Iranian regime also.

The Regimes response was to try and cut the

demonstrators Command and Control, limiting WWW

access and cutting off phones.

Then they unleashed the Basiji.

Internet Anthropologist Think Tank: Basiji Intel, NAMES

The Basiji were charged with killing and maiming enough

demonstrators to stop or slow the demonstrations.

Remember Neda Agha Soltan 

Warning Graphic Murder:

Internet Anthropologist Think Tank: WARNING GRAPHIC IRAN MURDER

And then they arrested the opposition leaders,

and replaced or weakened any showing any support 

for the demonstrators.

And Iran was able to emasculate the Green party.

Turning the opposition to the regime into Jello.

Egypt will too have its Neda.

Mubarak will use the Army which the 

people respect to restore order,

and use the time to regroup and plan.

He will then call Army off the streets

and release a new group of hard line

thugs to intimidate the people.

And Mubarak has the support of most

Arab Capitals. While this is NOT a religious

uprising it is concentrated in Islamic countrys.

Muslims are finding their voices and demanding

freedom and democracy.

They have seen the failure of the Terrorist paradigm,

and elected a Gandhi type approach.

Gandhi cast out one of the most powerful empires

in the world, drove them out of India.

And gained independence.

Islam has yet to fully understand Gandhi's methods,
Philosophy, non-violent confrontation.
Mohandas Karamchand Gandhi was the pre-eminent 
political and ideological leader of India during the 
Indian independence movement. 

And Martin Luther King, who confronted
the American Government and changed America.

Both were using the same approximate paradigm

and employed it very successfully against very

powerful adversaries and prevailed.

Iranian Green movement failed because of this lack

of a coherent paradigm.

And Egypt's peoples movement has the same flaw.

The only paradigm the Islamic peoples partys

have with a chance of success is an Philosophy

of  non-violent confrontation, and to date

there is no evidence of such a stratagem.

Tunisia was a successful operation, because the

Military intervened on behalf of the people.

Egypt has a slim chance of pulling off a Military
coup d'état, Mubarak will not put the Military
on the people, he will use them to restore order
pull them out and send in his thugs.

The Arab regimes face change, its inevitable,

they fear the insurgent paradigm but its an

animal they know and are some what comfortable

with.

This new "Marching" Paradigm is new.

And they are very uncomfortable with it,

and apply counter insurgent tools against it.

They Crack down.

The Arab regimes are simply tightening down

a pressure cooker that will Blow eventually.

As real world leaders they must adopt change,

to slowly release the pressure, change the 

power structure, and truly democratize their 

countries.

( There are movements/powers afoot world Governments
are still adopting to, learning of, the WWW has enabled
massive crowd sourcing, and force multipliers like Anonymous.
And a demonstrated power in the making exceeding that of US Military.
Effective Regime change. )

Other wise they are despots setting on a 

power keg, not leaders.

This paradigm will work its self out in a 

partnership in the Arab nations.

Between the people and the kings.

Each beating the other into a middle

ground leading to democracy, and

Free Muslims.

The wise leaders will move towards

this goal, the faster the less painful for

the regimes and people it will be.

The Arab people are working out their

paradigm for change, and many will die

in this process.
Blood in the Egyptian Streets.

The Arab regimes are working on crack

downs and many leaders will suffer heavily

in the eyes history for all time.

Despot or enlightened ruler?

Change is in the wind and can't be stopped.

They can slow it or take charge and speed it

up, Control it.

Surprisingly  it looks like mankind still

marches towards enlightenment.

The world take me by a pleasant surprise,

AGAIN.

Gerald

Anthropologist

15 Work arounds for Egyptian Regime black out of WWW.

Wider view Thomas P.M. Barnett 

U vote; What you think will happen;

not what you want to happen.

http://www.wikistrat.com/war-room/

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UPDATE: 02.07.11

Mubarak moves to Infowar stage.

Blame demonstrations for loss of profits, tourists,etc.
Blame protesters and round up leaders, intimidate
injure instill fear.
Wait out media, how long will demonstrators keep
world press attention.
Wait for it to cool down, quietly remove key protesters.
Big error on regimes part, shut off WWW.
That didn't match what state TV and news were
saying, alerted entire Egyptian population
something big was going on and doubled
or tripled number of demonstrators.


Threatened Obama with deadly crack
down on Egyptian people if kept pressuring
on quiting NOW.


Mubarak planning to keep his power structure
in place. And rule by proxy.


Evidence he is not sincere about leaving.
Case against Mubarak: deceits after he agreed to step down.




Doomed Uprising:#Egypt Revolution,a Microcosm of the Arab Masses' Quest for a Share in Power and Resources http://t.co/aUSosaL 


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