Paki Army on the level?

KUMBAR (Qumbar) Ridge

UPDATE:Taliban fighters 'to leave Mingora' - Aljazeera.net

Paki Army on the level?

More than a week ago, the Army claimed that the main town of Mingora was surrounded; subsequent reports indicate, however, that troops are still advancing. Today, the military reported it captured “three-fourths of a ridge”(link) outside of Mingora.
Read more: "Swat offensive stalls as Taliban strike outside the war zone - The Long War Journal" -http://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2009/05/swat_offensive_stall.php#ixzz0GNqwwpRu&A

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From NEO: says, "IT’S CALLED THE KUMBAR (Qumbar) Ridge.

It’s a 3km long ridge, and starts at 34°45'50"N, 72°20'40"E

 

It dominates the south-west corner of Mingora and forms the Eastern side of the Saidu Sharif valley. "

And over a week with choppers and jets they haven't been able to take the ridge.

see photos above.

"And there has been fighting in the northern end of the Saidu sharif valley around the area of the Continental Hotel."Neo.

G

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In the town of Kalam in northern Swat, the military is absent while the Taliban are attempting to overrun the region. The tribesmen raised a lashkar, or tribal militia, and asked the Taliban to leave the region to spare it from military attacks. The lashkar then captured eight Taliban fighters (link).
Read more: "Swat offensive stalls as Taliban strike outside the war zone - The Long War Journal" -http://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2009/05/swat_offensive_stall.php#ixzz0GNsT5zRE&A

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And the Paki Army has left the lashkar in a lurch.

Leaving them to the tenderness of the Taliban.

I've seen the reports of suicide attacks, while I don't

doubt them, could it be collusion?

I await further evidence.

G

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“Except for some parts of the GT (Grand Trunk) road, some mountain tops and the circuit house in Mingora, all of Swat is under the control of the Taliban,” he continued. “If the government really has cleared and taken control of the region, it should bring in the media and let the whole world see it for themselves. I keep moving around, and in several places I have seen army checkpoints with a Taliban checkpoint nearby.”

Read more: "Swat offensive stalls as Taliban strike outside the war zone - The Long War Journal" -http://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2009/05/swat_offensive_stall.php#ixzz0GNx1wpXJ&A

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CHECK BACK FOR MORE.

STORY STILL DEVELOPING.

From our sources inside the Beltway:

It is a scam, sort of.  Kiyani, Gilani and Zardari are pros at skinning us for money.  We threatened to cut off funds, gave them the "or else" routine.  They agreed to clear Buner and make some noise in Swat and in the future, Waziristan.

 
You know they are not serious when they want no intel from us or drone support.  The pattern repeats, big announcements, "heavy fighting going on", "miscreants captured and killed", the PakMil soap opera.  No reporters allowed in to see the noisy charade.
 
Here is the reality, they cut a deal to let Maulana Fazlullah escape to Paktia, Afghanistan.  He is gone with all of his key commanders.  About 1,500 Talibs remain out of 4,000 and are bailing out in small groups to regroup later.  Most went north to Upper Dir or to Afghanistan.  
 
Several hundred, remain in MIngora and are dug in ready to fight to the death.  About 15,000 residents remain there.  Lots of Uzbeks and Tajik and Chechen fighters in Mingora, they have been sold out by Fazlalluh as the price for his escape.  He has ordered them to make a useless last stand, that will take weeks, and make the Pakis look good, that they are ridding Swat of "foreign elements".  All while the Pahktun fighters slip away to fight another day. 
 
The Paki habit is to bring up a lot of armor and aircraft, bomb a lot of empty hillsides, show off prisoners, do the minimum of fighting, claim huge body counts that no one has seen, set up road blocks all over, garrison all the key bridges and crossroads.  Then after enough pressure, negotiate with the Talibs to let them slip away.  Then the triumphant march through town and claims that the writ of law is re-established.
 
We also "laid down the law" that they have to "invade" Waziristan.  Baitullah is still hiding out there but has cut a deal with Maulvi Nazir for safe passage through N Waziristan to Afghanistan also, with most of his fighters.  The Mehsud jirga went to meet with Baitullah yesterday to make preparations for his temporary departure should the Pakis "invade".
 
This buys the Pakis about 6 months and we write checks to our "brave partners" fighting AQ.  The Pakis will bail out before winter, leaving behind garrisons and checkpoints and claiming control.  Obama will wake up to the "Great Game", as the Pakis call it, after the hustle plays out and the Talibs come back to Lower Dir.
 
The real traction is in Afghanistan where our surge is making a big and encouraging impact in the Taliban drug business.  If we do well there cutting off narco-dollars to the Talibs, Pakistan will largely take care of itself.  We confiscated 80,000 pounds of poppy seeds, very good news.  That is nearly their entire seed supply for Helmand Province.

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Gerald

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