Brink of WAR? Hi Probability.

This blog set to display 20 days of posts. Sorry Blogspot only shows 3 days, waiting for a Google fix, G

WAR PENDING?

Our sources inside the beltway and Paradigm Intel suggest 

a high probability of a strike.
Deployed BSU's, checking other sources, OSINT and Paradigm
engines cranking.

154 tomahawk missiles in theater now.

PACOM has two Combined Joint Task Forces, CJTF 71-1 and CJTF 72-1 in theater.

And some great  platforms.

An SSGN Boomer arrived yesterday, not sure which.

SSN-23 (Jimmy Carter), already in theater, which deployed a Scan Eagle UAV to survey the damage last night. 

 "A likely response will be Tomahawks if this escalates, no aircraft over NK. Targeting is well established, NK airspace will get very crowded and I wouldn't want to be manning anything arty or nuclear."

"Kim Jong-il and Kim Jong-eun turned up at 4th Corps, which was responsible for this shelling, a few days ago. The commander Kim Kyuk-shik is said to be a hardliner against SK and close to both Kim's.


"Everything looks like war.  We've had intel since August that they were planning a 5 island shelling and ....... occupation."

Noise and chatter : Russia on board, China wavering.

Doubt any Cyber operations will be exposed:

Our version of a lighting strike force on N Korea

We expect wave of aircraft after Cruise Missiles.

N. Korea's history of attacks with impunity.
Atrocities Against Americas.

N. Korea begging for IT.

N Korea Military Tactics In A War With US

South Korea vs. North Korea: What Another Korean War Would Look Like

War Alert: Amateur videos as North Korea bombs ... 

1. BBC News - North Korea anger at US-South Korea war games

   Jul 22, 2010 ... The US and South Korea's plans to hold joint military exercises pose a major danger to the region, Pyongyang says.
   www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-pacific-10722218 - Cached - Add to iGoogle

2. North Korea threatens 'nuclear war' over troop exercises | World ...

   Jul 24, 2010 ... Pyongyang ramps up the tension over this weekend's joint US-South Korean wargames in the Sea of Japan.
   www.guardian.co.uk/world/2010/.../north-korea-nuclear-war-threat - Cached
     

U.S. aircraft carrier's arrival off Korean peninsula also sends a message to China http://wapo.st/h5B6lG

Would also send clear msg to Iran. 

 

Paradigm Intel Update:

NKorea's nukes are problematic, Maybe?
NK newly discovered centrifuges were
not running, just like Iran's centrifuges
are down. We think NK got help from
Iran in building their new plant, and
Stuxnet 4.o from Iran. Thank you Iran.

NK may find it has trouble
enriching any thing, or launching anything.
NK communications system is mostly 1950's
best equipment is maybe 1960's. NSA has
them completely bugged, remotely.



The problem US and SK face is if they let
NK attack first then SK faces significant losses.
Tens of thousands dead, if NK nuke doesn't work.
If it does work or they just move it next to the
border and detonate it, casualties will be catastrophic.

Or even if NK just launches an all out artillery strike
against the capitol, again SK would be looking at
huge losses.

The only acceptable paradigm is a preemptive strike.
As soon as US Intel picks up the prelim orders.
Russia is on board, they don't like a Nuclear NK
so close to them.

Now China is a different proposition.
A loosing proposition, they fund 70%
of NK oil and 50% of their food.
China is waiting for assurances
US will not invade NK or occupy
them. Given those assurances,
the removal of NK leadership
would allow NGOs to take over
some of China's foreign aid load.
And currently under this regime
the NK people are not customers
for China's goods,  nor cheap
labor. They don't have the trust
or capital for factories.
All that changes if NK nukes
and military are knocked out.
NK becomes a big trading
partner for China Money from
NK buying and making goods
for China.
Removal of current regime
would allow Western investment
in NK for factories electrical etc.

And it gets rid of a rogue Nuke
power.
IF KN sneezes wrong they will
loose their heads.

Diego Garcia is all lit up right now.
Some concepts from sources inside beltway.

Gerald

War Anthropologist

.

Related articles

• North Korea attack: US and South Korea prepare war games in Yellow Sea (telegraph.co.uk)
• North Korea Attacks South Korea: Analysis (huffingtonpost.com)
• Korea on the brink: South warns of retaliation after North's shellfire strike kills two marines (dailymail.co.uk)
• US warships head to Yellow Sea for war games (cnn.com)
• American aircraft carrier heads for Korea after North, South exchanged fire (calgaryherald.com)
• IATT on the web, who,what, how (warintel.blogspot.com)

What S.Korea is facing weapons wise in N Korea.