Iran's confused Paradigm: ATTACK

Iran's confused Paradigm:

Iran has been on a roll since the start of the revolution.

In many respects they are like a juvenile delinquent.

The New Iran is very young,

And inexperienced as a nation regime.

They are still feeling their way, and have been

very successful so far.

Over threw the Sha.

They took US embassy hostage for 444 days

without any real consequences. And befuddled Jimmy Carter.

The got a small spanking for Iraq during their

war but managed to hold their own.

They have infiltrated Iraq Another Shia state.

Extended their influence into Afghan and

Pakistan, supplying state of the art IED'.s

to the Taliban.

And become a major player in Lebanon.

They have threatened the State of Israel,

insulted American Presidents.

And have supported non state terrorist

organizations.

And sponsored Terrorism acts.

Got away with a faked election,

and killed its own people for protesting

and calling them on it.

Even appointed known terrorist to state

ministers.

Broken the Nuclear non-proliferation treaty

three times.

And continue to work toward a nuke weapon of their own.

One part of the Iranian Psyche rejoices in its

victorys, another part of their Psyche is very

frightened.

Just like a juvenile delinquent, who

has never had to face any conquenses

for their actions.

They don't know their limits,

they don't know they even have limits.

In their experience the USA is a paper

tiger they have successfully manipulated

and controlled.

But they know the Cops are out there.

And Iran has NO idea what will trigger

the Cops into real action.

This scares them, they saw Iraq,

they saw Afghanistan and Pakistan.

And how the Cops handled them.

They are full of bravado and bluster,

as they have never really fought the Cops.

They even think maybe they could take the Cops

in an outright fight.

This part of their paradigm scares them.

They have gotten away with everything so far.

And see no reason not to keep pushing the limits.

They have been very, very successful so far on every

front.

Part of their paradigm knows they could get their

heads handed to them, if they screw up real bad.

But they have NO idea what those limits are.

Or where the limits are, so far every time they

pushed they won.

Iran will be less of a threat, and much happier when

they learn these limits.

Right now they are operating in unknown areas,

no limits.

Once they experience these limits they will be much

eaiser to deal with, and will actually be much happier

knowing exactly where the limits are.

Their self confidence will increase and a decrease in

false bravado, and dangerous adventurism, testing limits.

Right now there is a part of their paradigm that says

"Iran can get away with wiping out Israel."

After an attack on Iran the initial reaction will be

problematic for troops in Afpak.

But that is temporary, as Iran gets its nose

very bloodied they will get the limits,

and negotiate over them.

They don't understand USA's stance towards Iran,

They don't understand why they have gotten away

with so much. They want to know where those limits are.

And will universally understand a Military response,

and when they see how effective it is will accept

it as part of their Paradigm.

Will they start out and all out WAR against the

West? Not when the experience the consequences.

Will the continue to work towards a NUKE?

yes, but they will be negotiating.

And eaiser to work with, knowing the boundaries.

After an attack their confidence will increase from knowing

what their actual power is and where the real limits are.

And will negotiate. Less bravado and less dangerous

adventurism, testing unknown limits.

Much like two men who have fought each other,

then have some mutual respect.

If you've been in a knock down drag them out

fight you understand what I mean.

Cops will readily comprehend this.

Gerald

Anthropologist

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