Iran's confused Paradigm:
Iran has been on a roll since the start of the revolution.
In many respects they are like a juvenile delinquent.
The New Iran is very young,
And inexperienced as a nation regime.
They are still feeling their way, and have been
very successful so far.
Over threw the Sha.
They took US embassy hostage for 444 days
without any real consequences. And befuddled Jimmy Carter.
The got a small spanking for Iraq during their
war but managed to hold their own.
Extended their influence into Afghan and
Pakistan, supplying state of the art IED'.s
to the Taliban.
And become a major player in Lebanon.
They have threatened the State of Israel,
insulted American Presidents.
And have supported non state terrorist
And sponsored Terrorism acts.
Got away with a faked election,
and killed its own people for protesting
and calling them on it.
Even appointed known terrorist to state
Broken the Nuclear non-proliferation treaty
And continue to work toward a nuke weapon of their own.
One part of the Iranian Psyche rejoices in its
victorys, another part of their Psyche is very
Just like a juvenile delinquent, who
has never had to face any conquenses
for their actions.
They don't know their limits,
they don't know they even have limits.
In their experience the USA is a paper
tiger they have successfully manipulated
But they know the Cops are out there.
And Iran has NO idea what will trigger
the Cops into real action.
This scares them, they saw Iraq,
they saw Afghanistan and Pakistan.
And how the Cops handled them.
as they have never really fought the Cops.
They even think maybe they could take the Cops
in an outright fight.
This part of their paradigm scares them.
They have gotten away with everything so far.
And see no reason not to keep pushing the limits.
They have been very, very successful so far on every
Part of their paradigm knows they could get their
heads handed to them, if they screw up real bad.
But they have NO idea what those limits are.
Or where the limits are, so far every time they
pushed they won.
Iran will be less of a threat, and much happier when
they learn these limits.
Right now they are operating in unknown areas,
Once they experience these limits they will be much
eaiser to deal with, and will actually be much happier
knowing exactly where the limits are.
Their self confidence will increase and a decrease in
false bravado, and dangerous adventurism, testing limits.
Right now there is a part of their paradigm that says
"Iran can get away with wiping out Israel."
problematic for troops in Afpak.
But that is temporary, as Iran gets its nose
They don't understand USA's stance towards Iran,
They don't understand why they have gotten away
with so much. They want to know where those limits are.
And will universally understand a Military response,
and when they see how effective it is will accept
it as part of their Paradigm.
Will they start out and all out WAR against the
West? Not when the experience the consequences.
Will the continue to work towards a NUKE?
yes, but they will be negotiating.
And eaiser to work with, knowing the boundaries.
After an attack their confidence will increase from knowing
what their actual power is and where the real limits are.
And will negotiate. Less bravado and less dangerous
adventurism, testing unknown limits.
Much like two men who have fought each other,
then have some mutual respect.
If you've been in a knock down drag them out
fight you understand what I mean.
Cops will readily comprehend this.