Internet Anthropologist Think Tank: Ignore Iran's Nuke.....

Ignore Iran's Nuke.....

By Gerald Internet Anthropologist Think Tank

Andrew Sullivan ASKS a key Question:

And what's so awful about a nuclear stand-off between Iran and Israel in the Middle East? It is not necessarily a stable situation in a region when one country - and one country alone - has nuclear weapons in a region like the Middle East. In fact, it might encourage that country to act militarily with impunity, to over-reach and generate excessive hostility. Nuclear deterrence worked very well for much of the world for a long time in preventing conflict rather than exacerbating it. It may be the one thing preventing an India-Pakistan war. Why is it unthinkable in the Middle East?

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EXCERPTS FROM Thomas P.M. Barnett:

We have been down this path several times with countries like Iran, and know how to balance the containment and rollback and efforts at detente designed for the soft-kill. There is no solid logic for going all wobbly on Iran's nukes. We simply know how to manage that package.

Eventually, Israel has to adjust itself to the reality of a nuclear stand-off. It cannot hold a monopoly forever. It is that simple.

Clinton said it correctly during the campaign (we will nuke Iran if it uses) and has offered the logical extension of our nuclear umbrella to Israel and the region. But pre-emptive war at this time is a fool's errand (Iran will simply redouble its efforts), dangerous to our Iraq and Af-Pak efforts (where previous and ongoing sacrifice must be respected) and a dangerous leap into a post-American world (it will cost us plenty vis-a-vis the New Core powers).

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Assuming that MAD, mutually assured destruction will work with

Iran like it did with Russia maybe naive.

The question of the 13th Imam isn't to be ignored.

Its a belief that that you've got to have Armageddon to bring

on the 13th Imam and the conversion of the world to Islam.

Ahmadinejad is a Twelver, and has called for Israel's destruction.

with the putsch by Ahmadinejad's Revolutionary Guard ..... bringing down..country's international pull..( the regime

maybe at risk, in time, stoping the nuke now may cause them

to redouble their efforts and buy time for the over throw of the twelvers.

Making way for a more reasonable regime of non-twelvers. G )

"We have been down this path several times with countries like Iran, and know how to balance the containment and rollback and efforts at detente designed for the soft-kill. There is no solid logic for going all wobbly on Iran's nukes. We simply know how to manage that package."

Does USA know how to deal with an potentially suicidal state?

The Green movement nor the Mullahs are the ones with the finger

on the Button...The Twelvers are.

Internet Anthropologist Think Tank: Iran will push the button

What happens if Israel does a air strike on Iran's nukes,

and USA sanctions Israel?

Let Israel do some heavy lifting.

If Iran does smuggle a nuke into the border areas,

and sets off a cloud of radio activity over Israel,

I'm sure they will take great comfort in knowing

MAD worked all the time before Iran got a nuke.

Asymmetrical warfare with Nukes is a area