The 13 Imam paradigm, possible State suicide.
Do they need a missile delivery system?
My concerns are related to possible suicide bombs, submarine, fishing trawler,
shipping container or even just setting it off on the Afghan border, or next to Israeli border.
And there is that shipment from N Korea? The Navy is shadowing.
Could that be a plutonium kit, for a N. Korean type bomb test.
I know we test a small percentage of shipping containers.
And I guessing they have "scanned" the N Korean ship for radiation.
But the attack on Mumbai, shows the capability to
move a fishing trawler with in range .
A two ton bomb is deliverable.
We know that Iran (uranium) nukes can't be stopped so we are dug in on: not allowing them to export nuke technology, developing a weapons grade laser to knock down any missile ...in boost....no delivery systems allowed. Where we still have some opportunity on nukes is to keep Iran from developing a plutonium bomb by stopping the breeder reactor and heavy water facility they want to bring on line in 6+ years, that would be real trouble.
Just not practical for a lot of technical reasons (mainly weight) to transport a uranium nuke by missile. The Iranians were steered to uranium by us back in 73 and are stuck there. Yes, they can have a nuke but no practical and cheap way to deliver, so they end up blowing themselves up for the benefit of the hysterical press.
NK developed a plutonium bomb with Russian help and have a barely working bomb, however. The attractiveness of plutonium is that you can (relatively easily) make a small and portable weapon. The trick is getting an implosion-weapon to light off, very difficult. The three edges of the sword are 1. portability (favors plutonium) and 2. (relatively) cheap fissile material (favors uranium) and 3. weapon simplicity and reliability (favors uranium). Blast yield is irrelevant. NK and Iran are both stuck right now.
Iran is very hungry for technology and Iranians are fed up with the limited access to all electronic communication. To survive the regime has to modernize and we hold the keys to that access to technology.
The biggest kicker to Iran is opiate addiction, they are by a full percent, the most addicted country in the world. Iran is desparate to work with us on interdiction so we are getting lots of pressure from them and offers of cooperation if opiates are stopped.
Opiates are destroying their economy and productivity. Most transporters are paid in opiates they then resell. Iran needs us badly on this problemn and we need them, Russians and Brits are also major players as opiates are destroying them also.
Word is that Obama is morphing into Bush, reality is a dish served very cold.....