Internet Anthropologist Think Tank: New State: Taliban Swat:

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    Wednesday, February 18, 2009

    New State: Taliban Swat:

    New State: Taliban Swat:
    By Gerald: Internet Anthropologist Think Tank
    1.18.09

    Pakistan has seeded part of Pakistan to
    the Taiban, Swat is now an Independent
    State, not under Paki control.

    NO Civil courts, NO electons.
    The government agreed to end the military operation in Swat

    Excerpts from:  

    Fazlullah has successfully organized a campaign opposing polio vaccinations and has forced the closure girls' schools throughout the region. More than 200 schools have been destroy in Swat since fighting began in 2007. He advocates sharia and violence against the government on broadcasts on his illegal FM radio.

    Fazlullah is the deputy of Baitullah Mehsud's Tehrik-e-Taliban and has waged a two year campaign of suicide attacks and bombings of schools and much of Swat's infrastructure. Fazlullah broadcasts radical sermons on his illegal FM radio station, where he lauds Osama bin Laden and preaches against polio vaccinations, which he claims is a Western plot to infect the Pashtun people with the AIDS virus.

    The peace agreement will ease the pressure on the Taliban in Bajaur, provide a safe haven neighboring areas, and allow the Taliban and allied extremist to concentrate forces in the tribal agency.

    Sufi Mohammed:
    “From the very beginning, I have viewed democracy as a system imposed on us by the infidels. Islam does not allow democracy or elections,” Sufi toldDeutsche Presse-Agentur just days before the Malakand Accord was signed. “I believe the Taliban government formed a complete Islamic state, which was an ideal example for other Muslim countries."

    Since winning the election last spring, the Zardari-Gilani government entered a series of peace agreements with the Taliban throughout the tribal areas and the settled districts of the Northwest Frontier Province. Between March and July of 2008, the government negotiated seven agreements with the Taliban in North WaziristanSwat, Dir, Bajaur, MalakandMohmandKhyber,Orakzai, and Hangu. Negotiations were also underway in South Waziristan,Kohat, and Mardan before fighting in Swat and Bajaur broke out, effectively ending the talks.

    The past peace agreements, which were started under former President Pervez Musharraf's regime in 2004, have only served to grant the Taliban the time it needed to regroup from fighting with the Pakistani military. While the military has been unable or unwilling to dislodge the Taliban from their safe havens, the Taliban had little time to recoup losses and coordinate efforts. The peace agreements gave the Taliban the respite needed to reorganize.

    During the "peace periods" the Taliban would use the time granted to add new recruits, rest and re-arm its forces, and consolidate control over the new-found territory. The peace agreements also served to embolden and restore the morale of the Taliban while demoralizing those who fought against the Taliban and live in the regions. The Taliban would conduct ruthless purges of anyone expected of supporting the government. Hundreds of tribal leaders and others have been murdered and often were mutilated. Almost all would have notes labeling them as "US spies" pinned to their chests.

    Despite the government's objections to criticism of the current agreement, the current Malakand Accord has granted the Taliban control over a region that encompasses more than 1/3 of the Northwest Front Province, effectively cementing the Taliban's control over most of the province and the tribal areas.

    The Taliban's recruiting base has almost doubled, as has its taxation base. The Malakand Division, which is made up of the districts of Malakand, Swat, Shangla, Buner, Dir, and Chitral, has a population of more that 4.3 million according to the 1998 census. The Taliban effectively control the tribal areas (population estimated at 6.5 million in 1998) and many of the bordering districts with millions more. The Taliban also have a strong presence or influence in nearly all of the other districts in the province.

    A senior US military intelligence official who has tracked the situation in Pakistan's tribal areas described the Malakand Accord as "a major win for the bad guys."

    The Taliban have been in effective control of Swat and most of the surrounding regions, the official told The Long War Journal, noting that the Pakistanis living in the region have lived under Fazlullah's brand of sharia since 2007. "The government has simply declined to stop contesting the matter," the official said.

    "What is happening there is a microcosm for what Tehrik-e-Taliban plans to do to the whole of Pakistan," the official said, referring to Baituallah Mehsud's Movement of the Taliban in Pakistan.

    There is evidence the Taliban is beginning to branch out beyond the Northwest Frontier Province as well as from areas in Baluchistan, which have remained quietly under Taliban control. The Taliban have stepped up attacks in the Punjab districts of Dera Ghazi Khan and Mianwali over the past several weeks. The attacks have prompted the Punjab provincial government to consider closing down its borders with the two provinces.

    Excerpts from:

    SOURCE: 

    HERE

    AND HERE:

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    Huge part of Pakistan is now an independent state.

    Taliban and al Qaeda has a safe base of operations.

    This is the 8th "peace treaty" the Paki Government

    has made with the Taliban, and previous 7 have failed.

    The Taliban view this as a great victory and has

    boosted insurgent morale.


    The Paki Government has surrendered a major part

    of Pakisatn to the Taliban.

    The Taliban are defeating the Paki Government and military.


    Gerald

    Internet Anthropologist


    .


    1 Comments:

    Blogger The General said...

    Gerald,
    I wanted to comment on the Taliban Swat situation because it is an important concern, not only in the case of the Obama Administration, but as a strategic exercise in counterinsurgency tactics. I have a more detailed post at my site, http://audiohostem.blogspot.com/, but I am very interested in the Pakistani government's reaction because it completely defaces the construct of counterinsurgency strategy. For one, the truce basically irradiates the idea of sovereignty of a territory, the Swat valley now becomes an issue in international law and international discussion, in regards to what ways it should be recognized. Furthermore, "the step backwards," as James F. Dobbins, the Bush Administration's first envoy to Afghanistan, is now a persistent clash with the Obama administration's hopes for a united front against militant Islamists. I am sure I will be back with more comments, but for now, I am deeply concerned about Pakistan's stability and the overall outlook for the international theater of the "War on Terror."

    2:34 PM  

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