Internet Anthropologist Think Tank: Major World Paradigm Shift

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    Thursday, May 22, 2008

    Major World Paradigm Shift

    Wheat prices:

    Hubbert peak graph showing the world's oil production peak.Image via WikipediaPeak oil and its effects on the shape of USA's future Military forces.

    Peak oil is the point in time when the maximum rate of global petroleum production is reached, after which the rate of production enters its terminal decline. If global consumption is not mitigated before the peak, an energy crisis may develop because the availability of conventional oil will drop and prices will rise, perhaps dramatically. M. King Hubbert first used the theory in 1956 to accurately predict that United States oil production would peak between 1965 and 1970. His logistic model, now called Hubbert peak theory, has since been used to predict the peak petroleum production of many other countries, and has also proved useful in other limited-resource production-domains. According to the Hubbert model, the production rate of a limited resource will follow a roughly symmetrical bell-shaped curve based on the limits of exploitability and market pressures.

    Image:Hubbert peak oil plot.svg

    Something this chart doesn't show is the relationship of Oil Price to increasing demand and decreasing supply.

    The increasing price of oil has a multiple effect on the price of food, in terms of fertilizer, and production costs and delivery costs.

    We have see this already in the price of wheat from $3.75 a bushel to a high of over $12 a bushel.

    There are psyops in play now blaming USA for the price increases in food, and starvation in some countrys.

    USA must mount its own major internet operation explaining the source and cause of these prices increases.

    Or we face a "FOOD" al Qaeda in our future, and a hungry man is much easier to recruit to insurgency.

    The social destabilization caused by the lack of affordable basic life needs, food, shelter ( heating ) and transportation will cause civil wars and the over throw of many third world governments.

    Some will be USA allies which may call the USA to defend these regimes, which portends more of the same warfare as we have in Paki and Iraq.

    Globalization will also contribute the the decline in living standards in America, and severe stress on the social security systems as basic living costs continue to escalate.

    The Military paradigm for the foreseeable future will be small wars with major threats from non state entities seeking nuclear arms.

    Insurgents with starving families will be a formidable adversary and al Qaeda has established the paradigm for 5GW.

    USA needs to be in the planning stages to handle this new paradigm in the form of cheap food stuffs and Military counter measures.

    We can see it comming, What are we going to do to prepare?

    Winning their hearts and minds is eaiser and cheaper than killing them.

    USA's "hearts and minds" paradigm is in absymial disarray.
    A fundemental basic requirrment is communication, currently the Google translation engine, doesn't cover many of the most critical languages
    needed most right now, Pashton, and Persian.

    USA can't win hearts and minds if they can't talk to them en mass.

    Internet Anthropologist, ad Magnum

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