Paki fork in the Road?

New estimates may place the Paki mineral
wealth at $3 trillion USD.

Ok its Afghan Minerals, they have to find the Paki Minerals.

“Do not occupy what you cannot transfer,”
Biden asked if the new policy of beginning a significant withdrawal in 2011 was a direct presidential order that couldn’t be countermanded by the military. Obama said yes.
http://www.newsweek.com/2010/05/15/secrets-from-inside-the-obama-war-room.html

Its very important for US to draw down support in Paki also in 2011,
if they do it in Afghan.
In Afghan its US handing over secure sections of Afghan to their control.
Or the surge failing, a draw down of troops any way.
The key to success in Afghan is in PAKI.
US needs to tie Afghan success to Paki's success.
They both succeed or both fail together.
Paki thinks they can succeed while causing Afghan's
failure.
Paki has a history of destabilizing Afghan with the Taliban .

Both Afghan and Paki fear the US draw down of US troops,
fearing a terrorist surge in the vacuum.

Some in Paki, Mil and ISI welcome the withdrawal.
They look at it as an opportunity to destabilize Afghan
with their puppet Taliban ( Omar ).
And will want to focus on the Trillion dollar jackpot
in minerals in Paki, and acquiring those owned by Afghan.

But the ISI must control and stop Taliban violence in
Paki, the dog has learned he can get away with biting
the Master.

And the Taliban will want more than their share of
the golden jack pot.

Paki will have trouble raising the Investment funds
to continue the critical development of its infrastructure
and mining ventures. China and Russia have both lined
up to invest, but they both have strong doubts about
ISI's ability to provide a safe environment for investors
and their money.

On the other hand US is already gearing up with new
social tools to fast track the SysAdmin functions
to connect the Paki gap to the Core, and the Military
power to win the War and maybe the Peace?

US could provide long term guarantees $$$, investment
to both Afghan and Paki if Afpak is de-Talibanized.
Taliban will turn over al Qaeda cult members.

If Afghan and Paki will work together against
the Taliban, joint cross border forces to chase
Taliban across Afghan and a Paki borders,
the US as a trading partner will provide infrastructure
and capital, investments to get the minerals out of the
ground, and drones to pound the Taliban.

Paki might decide to go it alone, slow high risk,
underfunded, stuck in the morass of the GWOT.

Or continue the high trust relationship between
two nuclear powers they have now, Paki and US.
US still has very deep pockets, and the objectives
of Paki and US maybe converging.

Will Paki be the NEW China?
Or the same OLD morass?


Gerald
Anthropologist
Wean Paki off the $1 billion a year GWOT teat
on to the $3 Trillion golden jack pot mineral
teat.
.( confused? learn secret HERE)

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