Russia's oil War ?
Photo by Gerald
By Gerald: Internet Anthropologist
The new conflict between Russia and Georgia is a fight Georgia cannot win even with USA's weapons and Training. Some of the historians will remember a like conflict WWII.
Germany had advanced technology's, and toys, but they still lost overwhelmed by the volume of Allied resources. Tiger Tanks against the American Tanks, nicknamed by the troops as Ronsons ( cig. lighters ) because they lit up with one strike. Rockets, jets and the words biggest cannons were no match for the Allied volume of materials,
Same case in Georgia, they will put up an excelllent fight very high kill ratios, but in the end will be defeated by Russias capablity to flood Gerogia with war materials.
If USA backs Gerogia, Russia's paradigm is to side with USA foes somewhere else as payback.
I'm still getting a Backgrounder on Georgia and Russias relationsips and not fully up to speed, so there may be considerations I'm not aware of.
DEBKAfile’s geopolitical experts note that on the surface level, the Russians are backing the separatists of S. Ossetia and neighboring Abkhazia as payback for the strengthening of American influence in tiny Georgia and its 4.5 million inhabitants. However, more immediately, the conflict has been sparked by the race for control over the pipelines carrying oil and gas out of the Caspian region.
The Russians may just bear with the pro-US Georgian president Mikhail Saakashvili’s ambition to bring his country into NATO. But they draw a heavy line against his plans and those of Western oil companies, including Israeli firms, to route the oil routes from Azerbaijan and the gas lines from Turkmenistan, which transit Georgia, through Turkey instead of hooking them up to Russian pipelines.
Saakashvili need only back away from this plan for Moscow to ditch the two provinces’ revolt against Tbilisi. As long as he sticks to his guns, South Ossetia and Abkhazia will wage separatist wars.