US Deer in the headlights of the demonstrators.

US intelligence and administration seem to

be caught like a Deer in the headlights of 

the demonstrators.

Are the demonstrations good or bad even 

for the people? The popular answer is

of course the demonstrators are getting 

rid or abusive regimes.

 But nobody knows whats coming, who

will the next governance be?

Will the people actually be better or worse

off, and again the popular answer is

of course it will be better, but actually

nobody knows.

What is the best for the USA?

And I hear how the Evil US empire

supports all these bad guys.

The US brings alot of pressure against

regimes abusive of its people, but

they have to deal with what ever regime

is in power. 

It is not USA's responsibility to change

bad regimes, they don't have that mandate

or authority.

In the case of Afghan and Pakistan its 

been a 10 year response to an attack in 

USA on 911.

And any future attacks on USA can expect

a heavier response, but US has seen the 

difficulties in trying to change regimes,

the SysAdmin science just isn't there

yet, and its very problematic and expensive.

And US doesn't have a good handle on

Infowar yet, they are getting their asses

kicked by the Paki Mil and Taliban, ISI in

an all out infowar in Pakistan.

There is a wolf chewing on the Paki leg

the Taliban, and Pakistan views US as the

enemy. And providing the Wolf safe havens

in its own country. Pakistan spends more time

protecting the Taliban than fighting them.

Some how the paradigm has gotten turned

upside down.

Who are the leaders of these demonstrations?

Who are they inside? pro-American, Pro-Al qaeda

fundamentalist, secular? 

Nobody knows.

We do know who the demonstrators are.

Most of the people in these countries.

But that doesn't guarantee a good regime or

even a democracy.

US Intelligence has never seen a force like this

before, and missed them on their radar in the

beginning and are scrambling in almost war zones

to better understand WHO they really are.

And one faction says stay out of it.

Its their countries, their choices, their Governments.

And US aid is often spun as having imperial motives.

Intervention for oil.

Public help is suspect, and too little to late,

covert help is viewed as suspect also

Either way interfering in another nations workings

and ulterior motives.

The primary problem is no one knows who the

leaders are in some cases there are no leaders,

and no assurances they will move towards democracy.

Of course everyone roots for the underdog, and against

abusive regimes, but this is a very new paradigm.

And many uncertainties abound.

If it turns out bad, and US intervenes they will be blamed.

However if US does nothing, they will also justly be blamed.

This demonstration force, will of the people is spreading

world wide, it will eventually come to China and Russia and

in some form even come to USA.

But USA can do some things safely .

US can support its fundamental seminal beliefs, 

world wide.

Belief in democracies, freedom of speech

and  personal freedom.

Support actions to insure access to WWW,

and free communication.

USA can find a fundamental mandate,

in its Constitution and support those freedoms

world wide and without fear.

US can't be a witness, a bystander,

they are a world power and we are viewing

an opportunity to demonstrate this leadership

in a new paradigm.

Support fundamental freedoms with both

allies and enemies and act to insure those rights.

Secure communication channels, access to the WWW,

and even cell phone access.

Until the paradigm of Who they are clears up,

US can support human freedoms without regret

or doubt.

Gerald

War Anthropologist

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