Internet Anthropologist Think Tank: S.Korean arty test Breaking

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    Sunday, December 19, 2010

    S.Korean arty test Breaking

    This blog set to display 20 days of posts. Sorry Blogspot only shows 3 days, waiting for a Google fix, G

     Chris Alemany 
     by brother_corvo
    CKNW reports: A South Korean news agency is reporting military drills on an island bordering North Korea will begin moments from now. 

    We will be posting up dates: stay tuned:
    All OSINT channels open, standing by:
    S.Korean arty test in -4 hrs.

    The scheduled start is 0200 GMT. Loudspeakers on the islands just announced that everyone is to be in the bunkers in 30 minutes. 

    Seoul Waeather

    Clear. High: 41 °F . Wind Calm.

    Active weather map:,%20South%20Korea&type=hyb&rad=0&wxsn=0&svr=0&cams=0&sat=1&sat.num=1&sat.spd=25&sat.opa=85&sat.gtt1=109&sat.gtt2=108&sat.type=VIS&riv=0&mm=0&hur=0,%20South%20Korea&type=hyb&rad=0&wxsn=0&svr=0&cams=0&sat=1&sat.num=1&sat.spd=25&sat.opa=85&sat.gtt1=109&sat.gtt2=108&sat.type=VIS&riv=0&mm=0&hur=0

    20 US military personnel are on the island for medical, communications and intelligence support along with 9 members of the UN Command.
    About 20 reporters are on the island and all but 100 of the 1,300 residents have been evacuated.
    Richardson is urging the NK to allow the drill, he knows it's almost certainly going to happen.
    Sen. McCain is in Seoul now.

    no signs of unusual troop movement or war preparations in North Korea, a person familiar with military surveillance of North Korea said.

    S. Korea issues order to residents of 5 border islands to take cover, in anticipation of live fire drills.

    10 N. Korean soldiers were seen casing the large Christmas tree in DMZ which is scheduled to be lit tomorrow. Maybe a target.

    Daily News from Korea - N.Korea Deploys Rocket Launchers Along West Coast, and some jets. Quoting military source, SK media reports many of those deployed rocket launchers are actually decoys, real ones somewhere else.

    30,000 US troops in S Korea now.

    Our paradigm intel backgrounder:
    NK is testing Obama's resolve like the GOP


     Reuters Top News 
     by JorgeAVela
    FLASH: S.Korea live-fire drill to take place after 1 p.m. (0400 GMT) and to last under two hours - Yonhap quotes def ministry

     s.korea fire train will be PM 1:00(seoul time)

    Delayed because of fog;

    reports N Korea has rolled jets on to tarmac.

    Re the USAF bombers on Guam, 36th Wing says it "cannot comment on operational status of aircraft.

    Yonhap: No live-firing of artillery on Yeonpyeong before 1300 local (0400UTC) due to fog

    S. Korea's 2 KDX(aegis) destroyers and F-15’s are on standby

    Amateur radio affiliate 'Sky Watchers' in Guam reporting 'unusually heavy USAF traffic' at Anderson Air Force Base.

    S Korea armed ready:
    F-15K's AGM-84H SLAM-ER,JDAM and GBU-24 live exercise.

    NK just agreed to IAEA inspectors,

    Wolf Blitzer on CNN says N.Korea agrees to US-ROK-DPRK military hotline, and also to selling 12,000 nuclear fuel rods .

    It would seem N Korea's radar saw US Guam contingent of US Air Force stacked
    off their coast and got scared, made Nuke deals without official negotiation. Radar.

    N Korea Behind scenes negotiation got nuclear concessions, S Korea delaying maybe postpone arty testing to another day? Called NK bluff, 
    Internet Anthropologist Think Tank: Call N Korea's Bluff

    Paradigm Intel:
    NK would loose face and cause tension among the Generals if they don't
    counter attack after SK arty test shots, NK saw a big cloud on radar, forces
    rallyed against them and they blinked, gave up lot of nuke concessions to get
    SK not to fire.
    Now US is trying to find a way to get SK not to fire and not loose face.
    SK stalling while listening to US proposals, G

    CNN report on Yeonpyeong Island evacuation 

    S. Korea issues order to residents of 5 border islands to take cover, in anticipation of live fire drills 

    Dow Jones: South Korea Joint Chiefs Of Staff Say Artillery Drill Hasn't Started Yet

    From source we have found reliable in the past:
    ROK shelling maneuvers into the Yellow Sea on the southside of Yeongpyongdo, AWAY from DPRK and into the sea. 

     media confirm live fire drill underway on Yeonpyeong.

    Will NK keep nuke concessions agreement after SK live fire?

    SK concession for nuke deal:
     military says shells aiming SW away from .

     believed to be firing K-9 self-propelled howitzers, 105mm towed artillery guns, Vulcan guns and 81mm mortars.

     says fighter jets launched to deter  attacks.

    Firing away from NK, NO counter attack expected, G

    NK Nuke concessions:
    "Chances are high that it is bad news rather than good news, although we need to closely review the context of the (reported) agreement," the Cheong Wa Dae official told Yonhap News Agency on the condition of anonymity. "It appears to be a trick aimed at justifying its illegal uranium enrichment program."
    North Korea's nuclear program, especially the uranium-based one, is subject to dismantlement, not simple inspection, he added.

    Problematic: NKorea concessions on nukes, what did they get?

    SK didn't fire 2 hrs as planned? Concession to US on NK?

    closing NK post, unless NK counter attacks: 1:37 pm est

     (via KCNA) retreats from retaliation threat, now says drill not worth a reaction

    War Anthropologist


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