Los pepes and Iraq:

Los pepes and Iraq:

There are some similarities
between Iraq and Colombia
re-establishing order.

Los Pepes in Colombia
helped cut Pablo's drug cartel
down to size.
And reduced support for
Pablo. But their methods
were just as violent as the
drug cartel actions.
But they were able to do things
the Government couldn't do.
And brought a powerful hurt
to the drug cartel.

In Iraq some of the neighborhood
movements were armed
and drove al Qaeda out,
the neighborhood intelligence
was more advanced then
even US Intel. They had
defacto spies already in
place. And also brought
a powerful hurt to al Queda.

There are enough tribes
in Afghan that have had
their leaders killed by
the Taliban ( over 200 )
that they may
at some point if armed
and given air support,
like in Iraq would take
on the Taliban.

At some point the Taliban
suicide bombers may bring
a suicide response from
their victims, against the
very tribes sheltering the
Taliban.
If the victims get organized.

While many would view this
as counter productive this
empowerment of the Taliban's
victims will cause great fear
among the Taliban rank and
file, and their support systems.
While returning a feeling of
self protection and power
to the 'victim' tribes.

The Taliban may ask
for talks, and abide by treatys
 if they were faced with
their own insurrection/destruction.

The Taliban are functioning as
gangsters in many parts of
Afghan, looting, robbery
and kidnapping, bank
robbing, drug lords, etc.
Just criminals, with out
honor.

These groups must be
aliened with the Afghan
Government first,
Sysadmin function.
To prevent just another
level of insurgency later.
If they can see an advantage
to working with the Afghan
Government, its a third
front against the Taliban
and embedded within the
population.

A huge advantage in
intelligence collection.

And maybe the final turning
point against al Qaeda and
the criminal Taliban.

Suicide bombing, bombing
market places, bombing Mosques,
killing women and children.
Using even children and female
suicide bombers.
A slaughter of civilians by the
Taliban has an hidden even
secret effect.

The hatred and anger against
the Taliban is real and its there
but maybe hidden by fear and a
feeling of powerlessness.

This indigenous civilian force doesn't
seem to have been tapped,
and this maybe a necessary interim step
towards self governing,
just as it was in Colombia and
Iraq.

Winning the hearts and minds
may have an element of empowering
the victims, to seek revenge and react
offensively for a while against the
Taliban criminals.
Indigenous take the lead
with US support and backing.




G

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